Print

Analyze forecasts and alternative better and worse scenarios from 2017 to 2040 for 250 causes of death, life expectancy, years of life lost (YLLs) as well as risk-attributable deaths and YLLs. Use treemaps, arrow diagrams, decomposition plots, line charts, maps and others to compare across countries and with regions of the world. Explore patterns and trends by country age and gender. Drill from a global view into specific details. 

Interact with the visualization

 

BROWSER ISSUES

  • Use the latest version of Chrome, Edge, Internet Explorer (currently IE11), or Firefox.
  • Make sure to disable compatibility mode in Internet Explorer. In some cases, it renders a site unusable.
  • Use Ctrl+0 to reset the browser zoom. Sometimes having the browser zoomed in or out interferes with the layout or a few mouse-dependent properties.
  • If the visualization isn't loading or looks distorted, try clearing your cache. See http://www.wikihow.com/Clear-Your-Browser's-Cache for pointers.

Terms and conditions of use: 

For terms and conditions of use, please visit http://www.healthdata.org/about/terms-and-conditions

Citation: 

Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME). GBD Foresight Visualization. Seattle, WA: IHME, University of Washington, 2018. Available from https://vizhub.healthdata.org/gbd-foresight. (Accessed [INSERT DATE])

Related Content

Infographics

GBD 2016 Study Highlights: Forecasting
Health forecasts and alternative future scenarios can influence long-term planning and investments. The study shows that people’s health can improve, but such improvement demands attention, resou...

News releases

How healthy will we be in 2040?
A new scientific study of forecasts and alternative scenarios for life expectancy and major causes of death in 2040 shows all countries are likely to experience at least a slight increase in lifesp...

Publications

Forecasting life expectancy, years of life lost, and all-cause and cause-specific mortality for 250 causes of death: reference and alternative scenarios for 2016–40 for 195 countries and territories using data from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016
Understanding potential trajectories in health and drivers of health is crucial to guiding long-term investments and policy implementation. This study provides a novel approach to modeling life exp...

Related GHDx Records

Global Life Expectancy, All-Cause Mortality, and Cause-Specific Mortality Forecasts 2016-2040

Projects

Future Health Scenarios
IHME’s Future Health Scenarios research examines a wide range of potential health outcomes, including life expectancy, causes of death, and alternative landsca...