This talk will review progress in infectious disease mapping, examining the data and methods available and how these have been applied to infectious disease cartography. Prof. Hay will show that the spatial understanding of most infectious diseases globally is wanting. He will then systematically evaluate the landscape of opportunity for improvement. Feasible (and funded) approaches to rapid improvement will then be outlined. The final stages of the talk will cover potential synergies in the mapping of all infectious diseases with potential future directions of the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) and related projects. He concludes by examining how these techniques, with some modest ambition, might be also extended to risk factor and covariate mapping and their projection.
Professor Simon Hay, BSc, DPhil, DSc, FRCP (Edin), FRSA, FLS, FRGS, FASTMH, CBiol FSB, FRSPSoc, obtained his doctorates from the University of Oxford, where he is now a member of congregation, a Research Fellow in the Sciences and Mathematics at St. John’s College, and a Professor of Epidemiology at the Department of Zoology. He investigates spatial and temporal aspects of infectious disease epidemiology to support the more rational implementation of disease control and intervention strategies.
He is funded by a Wellcome Trust Senior Research Fellowship renewal that allows him to manage the Spatial Ecology and Epidemiology Group, an international collaboration of researchers, from a wide variety of academic disciplines, aiming to improve the cartography of infectious disease. His most recent research is focused on accurately defining human populations at risk of malaria and its burden at global, regional, and national scales through the Malaria Atlas Project. He also now chairs a similar EU-funded initiative – IDAMS – to do the same for dengue. Most recently he has embarked on a new project hoping to use big data to expand these techniques to a much wider range of diseases of the tropics.
Professor Hay has published over 250 peer-reviewed and other contributions, including two research monographs; these are cited collectively more than 1,800 times per year, leading to an h-index of >67 and >16,000 lifetime citations. He was elected to the Board of Trustees of the Royal Society of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene in 2012 and to its Presidency in 2013. He was awarded the Scientific Medal of the Zoological Society of London (2008), the Back Award of the Royal Geographical Society (2012), for research contributing to public health policy and the Bailey K. Ashford Medal of the American Society of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene (2013), for distinguished work in tropical medicine.