COVID-19 Model | Key Assumptions Published September 14, 2020 Dr. Christopher J.L. Murray discusses key assumptions behind our COVID-19 model's forecast of a winter surge in COVID-19 deaths: seasonality and declining vigilance with mask-wearing and social distancing Back to top Related Video Q&A: Populations are now living longer, but not necessarily in better health News release Health improvements occurred worldwide since 2010 despite COVID-19 pandemic, but progress was uneven Infographic Disease burden: successes and challenges Video Q&A: How did the COVID-19 pandemic impact lower respiratory infection burden?
News release Health improvements occurred worldwide since 2010 despite COVID-19 pandemic, but progress was uneven