Biography
David Pigott, DPhil, is Assistant Professor of Health Metrics Sciences at the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) at the University of Washington. He is a faculty member in the Geospatial team, focusing on improving the spatial resolution at which disease burden and metrics are considered, expanding and refining existing techniques to a wider number of pathogens and sequelae. He also leads work defining at-risk areas for a number of pathogens with pandemic potential and quantifying heterogeneities in global response capacity.
Dr. Pigott studied at the University of Oxford, UK, first for an undergraduate degree in Biological Sciences, then a DPhil investigating the spatial epidemiology of a variety of pathogens, including the leishmaniases and a number of zoonotic hemorrhagic fevers.
IHME was established at the University of Washington in Seattle in 2007. Its mission is to deliver to the world timely, relevant, and scientifically valid evidence to improve health policy and practice.
Bollyky TJ, Castro E, Aravkin AY, et al. Assessing COVID-19 pandemic policies and behaviours and their economic and educational trade-offs across US states from Jan 1, 2020, to July 31, 2022: an observational analysis. The Lancet. 23 March 2023. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(23)00461-0.
COVID-19 Forecasting Team. Past SARS-CoV-2 infection protection against re-infection: a systematic review and meta-analysis. The Lancet. 16 February 2023. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(22)02465-5.
Reiner RC, LBD Triple Burden Collaborators, Hay SI. The overlapping burden of the three leading causes of disability and death in sub-Saharan African children. Nature Communications. 6 December 2022. doi: 10.1038/s41467-022-34240-6.
GBD 2019 Snakebite Envenomation Collaborators. Global mortality of snakebite envenoming between 1990 and 2019. Nature. 25 October 2022. doi: 10.1038/s41467-022-33627-9.
Global Burden of Disease Long COVID Collaborators. Estimated global proportions of individuals with persistent fatigue, cognitive, and respiratory symptom clusters following symptomatic COVID-19 in 2020 and 2021. JAMA. 10 October 2022. doi: 10.1001/jama.2022.18931.
Schmidt, C.A., Cromwell, E.A., Hill, E. et al. The prevalence of onchocerciasis in Africa and Yemen, 2000–2018: a geospatial analysis. BMC Med 20, 293 (2022). https://doi.org/10.1186/s12916-022-02486-y.
GBD 2019 LRI Collaborators. Age–sex differences in the global burden of lower respiratory infections and risk factors, 1990–2019: results from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019. The Lancet Infectious Diseases. 11 August 2022. doi: 10.1016/S1473-3099(22)00510-2.
GBD 2019 Human Resources for Health Collaborators. Measuring the availability of human resources for health and its relationship to universal health coverage: estimates for 204 countries and territories from 1990 to 2019. The Lancet. 23 May 2022. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(22)00532-3.
COVID-19 Excess Mortality Collaborators. Estimating excess mortality due to the COVID-19 pandemic: a systematic analysis of COVID-19-related mortality, 2020–21. The Lancet. 10 March 2022. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(21)02796-3.
The Gender Equality Metrics team and the COVID-19 Forecasting team at Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation. Quantifying the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic on gender equality in health, social, and economic indicators. The Lancet. 2 March 2022. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(22)00008-3.
COVID-19 Forecasting Team. Variation in the COVID-19 infection–fatality ratio by age, time, and geography during the pre-vaccine era: a systematic analysis. The Lancet. 24 February 2022. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(21)02867-1.
COVID-19 National Preparedness Collaborators. Pandemic preparedness and COVID-19: an exploratory analysis of infection and fatality rates, and contextual factors associated with preparedness in 177 countries, from Jan 1, 2020, to Sept 30, 2021. The Lancet. 1 February 2022. doi:10.1016/S0140-6736(22)00172-6.
Friedman J, Liu P, Troeger CE, Carter A, Reiner RC, Barber RM, Collins J, Lim SS, Pigott DM, Vos T, Hay SI, Murray CJL, Gakidou E. Predictive performance of international COVID-19 mortality forecasting models. Nature Communications. 10 May 2021. doi: 10.1038/s41467-021-22457-w.
Local Burden of Disease Vaccine Coverage Collaborators. Mapping routine measles vaccination in low- and middle-income countries. Nature. 16 December 2020. doi: 10.1038/s41586-020-03043-4.
IHME COVID-19 Forecasting Team. Modeling COVID-19 scenarios for the United States. Nature Medicine. 23 October 2020. doi:10.1038/s41591-020-1132-9.
GBD 2019 Universal Health Coverage Collaborators. Measuring universal health coverage based on an index of effective coverage of health services in 204 countries and territories, 1990–2019: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019. The Lancet. 27 August 2020. doi:10.1016/S0140-6736(20)30750-9.
Local Burden of Disease WaSH Collaborators. Mapping geographical inequalities in access to drinking water and sanitation facilities in low-income and middle-income countries, 2000–17. The Lancet Global Health. August 2020. doi:10.1016/S2214-109X(20)30278-3.
Hardcastle AN, Osborne JCP, Ramshaw RE, Hulland EN, Morgan JD, Miller-Petrie MK, Hon J, Earl L, Rabinowitz P, Wasserheit JN, Gilbert M, Robinsons TP, Wint GRW, Shirude S, Hay SI, Pigott DM. Informing Rift Valley Fever preparedness by mapping seasonally varying environmental suitability. International Journal of Infectious Diseases. 29 July 2020. doi: 10.1016/j.ijid.2020.07.043.
Local Burden of Disease Diarrhoea Collaborators. Mapping geographical inequalities in childhood diarrhoeal morbidity and mortality in low-income and middle-income countries, 2000–17: analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017. The Lancet. 6 May 2020. doi:10.1016/S0140-6736(20)30114-8.
Xu B, Gutierrez B, Mekaru S, Sewalk K, Goodwin L, Loskill A, Cohn EL, Hswen Y, Hill SC, Cobo MM, Zarebski AE, Li S, Wu C-H, Hulland E, Morgan JD, Wang L, O'Brien K, Scarpino SV, Brownstein JS, Pybus OG, Pigott DM, Kraemer MUG. Epidemiological data from the COVID-19 outbreak, real-time case information. Scientific Data. 24 March 2020. doi:10.1038/s41597-020-0448-0.
James SL, Lucchesi LR, Bisignano C, et al. Morbidity and mortality from road injuries: results from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017. Injury Prevention. DATE; 0:1-11. doi:10.1136/injuryprev-2019-043302.
Lalloo R, Lucchesi LR, Bisignano C, et al. Epidemiology of facial fractures: incidence, prevalence and years lived with disability estimates from the Global Burden of Disease 2017 study. Injury Prevention. 8 January 2020; 0:1-9. doi:10.1136/injuryprev-2019-043297.
Local Burden of Disease Child Growth Failure Collaborators. Mapping child growth failure across low- and middle-income countries. Nature. 8 January 2020. doi:10.1038/s41586-019-1878-8.
Hulland EN, Wiens KE, Shirude S, Morgan JD, Bertozzi-Villa A, Farag TH, Fullman N, Kraemer MUG, Miller-Petrie MK, Gupta V, Reiner RC, Rabinowitz P, Wasserheit JN, Bell BP, Hay SI, Weiss DJ, Pigott DM. Travel time to health facilities in areas of outbreak potential: maps for guiding local preparedness and response. BMC Medicine. 30 December 2019. doi:10.1186/s12916-019-1459-6.
Local Burden of Disease Educational Attainment Collaborators. Mapping disparities in education across low- and middle-income countries. Nature. 25 December 2019. doi:10.1038/s41586-019-1872-1.
Ramshaw RE, Letourneau ID, Hong AY, Hon J, Morgan JD, Osborne JCP, Shirude S, Van Kerkhove MD, Hay SI, Pigott DM. A database of geopositioned Middle East Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus occurrences. Scientific Data, 13 December 2019; 6(318). doi:10.1038/s41597-019-0330-0.
Deribe K, Simpson H, Cano J, Pigott DM, Weaver ND, Cromwell EA, Brady OJ, Pullan RL, Noor Am, Argaw D, Murray CJL, Brooker SJ, Hay SI, Newport MJ, Davey G. Mapping the global distribution of podoconiosis: Applying an evidence consensus approach. PLoS Neglected Tropical Diseases. 2 December 2019. doi:10.1371/journal.pntd.0007925.
Reiner RC, Welgan CA, Casey DC, et al. Identifying residual hotspots and mapping lower respiratory infection morbidity and mortality in African children from 2000 to 2017. Nature Microbiology. 30 September 2019. doi:10.1038/s41564-019-0562-y.
Messina JP, Brady OJ, Golding N, Kraemer MUG, Wint GRW, Ray SE, Pigott DM, Shearer FM, Johnson K, Earl L, Marczak LB, Shirude S, Weaver ND, Gilbert M, Velayudhan R, Jones P, Jaenisch T, Scott TW, Reiner RC, Hay SI. The current and future global distribution and population at risk of dengue. Nature Microbiology. 10 June 2019. doi:10.1038/s41564-019-0476-8.
Hill E, Hall J, Letourneau ID, Donkers K, Shirude S, Pigott DM, Hay SI, Cromwell EA. A database of geopositioned onchocerciasis prevalence data. Scientific Data. 22 May 2019. doi:10.1038/s41597-019-0079-5.
Dwyer-Lindgren L, Cork MA, Sligar A, et al. Mapping HIV prevalence in sub-Saharan Africa between 2000 and 2017. Nature. 15 May 2019. doi:10.1038/s41586-019-1200-9.
Haakenstad A, Harle AC, Tsakalos G, Micah AE, Tao T, Anjomshoa M, Cohen J, Fullman N, Hay S, Mestrovic T, Mohammed S, Mousavi SM, Nixon MR, Pigott D, Tran K, Murray CJL, Dieleman JL. Tracking spending on malaria by source in 106 countries, 2000–16: an economic modelling study. The Lancet Infectious Disease. 24 April 2019. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/S1473-3099(19)30165-3
Mosser JF, Gagne-Maynard W, Rao PC, et al. Mapping diphtheria-pertussis-tetanus vaccine coverage in Africa, 2000–2016: a spatial and temporal modelling study. The Lancet. 5 April 2019. doi:10.1016/S0140-6736(19)30226-0.
Kraemer MUG, Golding N, Bisanzio D, Bhatt S, Pigott DM, Ray SE, Brady OJ, Brownstein JS, Faria NR, Cummings DAT, Pybus OG, Smith DL, Tatem AJ, Hay SI, Reiner RC. Utilizing general human movement models to predict the spread of emerging infectious diseases in resource poor settings. Scientific Reports. 26 March 2019; 9(5151). doi:10.1038/s41598-019-41192-3.
Deribe K, Mbituyumuremyi A, Bosco MJ, et al. Geographical distribution and prevalence of podoconiosis in Rwanda: a cross-sectional country-wide survey. The Lancet Global Health. 26 March 2019. doi:10.1016/S2214-109X(19)30072-5.
Kraemer MUG, Reiner RC, Brady OJ, et al. Past and future spread of the arbovirus vectors Aedes aegypti and Aedes albopictus. Nature Microbiology. 4 March 2019. doi:10.1038/s41564-019-0376-y.
GBD 2017 Influenza Collaborators. Mortality, morbidity, and hospitalisations due to influenza lower respiratory tract infections, 2017: an analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017. The Lancet Respiratory Medicine. 12 Dec 2018. doi:10.1016/S2213-2600(18)30496-X.
GBD 2017 Population and Fertility Collaborators. Population and fertility by age and sex for 195 countries and territories, 1950–2017: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017. The Lancet. 8 Nov 2018;392:1995-2051. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(18)32278-5.
GBD 2017 Mortality Collaborators. Global, regional, and national age-sex-specific mortality and life expectancy, 1950–2017: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017. The Lancet. 8 Nov 2018;392:1684-735. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(18)31891-9.
GBD 2017 Causes of Death Collaborators. Global, regional, and national age-sex-specific mortality for 282 causes of death in 195 countries and territories, 1980–2017: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017. The Lancet. 8 Nov 2018;392:1736-88. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(18)32203-7.
GBD 2017 Disease and Injury Incidence and Prevalence Collaborators. Global, regional, and national incidence, prevalence, and years lived with disability for 354 diseases and injuries for 195 countries and territories, 1990–2017: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017. The Lancet. 8 Nov 2018;392:1789–858. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(18)32279-7.
GBD 2017 DALYs and HALE Collaborators. Global, regional, and national disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) for 359 diseases and injuries and healthy life expectancy (HALE) for 195 countries and territories, 1990–2017: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017. The Lancet. 8 Nov 2018;392:1859–922. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(18)32335-3.
GBD 2017 SDG Collaborators. Measuring progress from 1990 to 2017 and projecting attainment to 2030 of the health-related Sustainable Development Goals for 195 countries and territories: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017. The Lancet. 8 Nov 2018; 392:2091–138. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(18)32281-5.
Reiner RC, Graetz N, Casey, DC, et al. Variation in childhood diarrheal morbidity and mortality in Africa, 2000–2015. New England Journal of Medicine. 2018 Sept 19.
Longbottom J, Shearer FM, Devine M, Alcoba G, Chappuis F, Weiss DJ, Ray SE, Ray N, Warrell DA, Ruiz de Castañeda R, Williams DJ, Hay SI, Pigott DM. Vulnerability to snakebite envenoming: a global mapping of hotspots. The Lancet. 12 July 2018. doi:10.1016/S0140-6736.
GBD 2016 Healthcare Access and Quality Collaborators. Measuring performance on the Healthcare Access and Quality Index for 195 countries and territories and selected subnational locations: a systematic analysis from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016. The Lancet. 23 May 2018.
Osgood-Zimmerman A, Millear AI, Stubbs RW, et al. Mapping child growth failure in Africa between 2000 and 2015. Nature. 28 Feb 2018. doi:10.1038/nature25760
Pigott DM, Deshpande A, Letourneau I, et al. Local, national, and regional viral haemorrhagic fever pandemic potential in Africa: a multistage analysis. The Lancet. 11 Oct 2017.
GBD 2016 Mortality Collaborators. Global, regional, and national under-5 mortality, adult mortality, age-specific mortality, and life expectancy, 1970–2016: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016. The Lancet. 14 Sept 2017: 390;1084–1150.
GBD 2016 Causes of Death Collaborators. Global, regional, and national age-sex specific mortality for 264 causes of death, 1980–2016: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016. The Lancet. 14 Sept 2017: 390;1151–210.
GBD 2016 DALYs and HALE Collaborators. Global, regional, and national disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) for 333 diseases and injuries and healthy life expectancy (HALE) for 195 countries and territories, 1990–2016: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016. The Lancet. 14 Sept 2017: 390;1260-344.
GBD 2016 Disease and Injury Incidence and Prevalence Collaborators. Global, regional, and national incidence, prevalence, and years lived with disability for 328 diseases and injuries for 195 countries, 1990–2016: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016. The Lancet. 14 Sept 2017: 390; 1211–59.
GBD 2016 SDG Collaborators. Measuring progress and projecting attainment on the basis of past trends of the health-related Sustainable Development Goals in 188 countries: an analysis from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016. The Lancet. 12 Sept 2017: 390; 1423–59.
GBD 2015 DALYs and HALE Collaborators. Global, regional, and national disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) for 315 diseases and injuries and healthy life expectancy (HALE), 1990–2015: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2015. The Lancet. 2016 Oct 7; 388:1603–1658.
GBD 2015 Mortality and Causes of Death Collaborators. Global, regional, and national life expectancy, all-cause mortality, and cause-specific mortality for 249 causes of death, 1980–2015: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2015. The Lancet. 2016 Oct 7; 388:1459–1544.
GBD 2015 Disease and Injury Incidence and Prevalence Collaborators. Global, regional, and national incidence, prevalence, and years lived with disability for 310 diseases and injuries, 1990–2015: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2015. The Lancet. 2016 Oct 7; 388:1545–1602.
Lim SS, Allen K, Bhutta ZA, et al. Measuring the health-related Sustainable Development Goals in 188 countries: a baseline analysis from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2015. The Lancet. 2016 Sep 21. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(16)31467-2.
Pigott DM, Millear AI, Earl L, Morozoff C, Han BA, Shearer FM, Weiss DJ, Brady OJ, Kraemer MUG, Moyes CL, Bhatt S, Gething PW, Golding N, Hay SI. Updates to the zoonotic niche map of Ebola virus disease in Africa. eLife. 2016; 5:e16412. doi: 10.7554/eLife.16412.
Nsoesie EO, Kraemer MU, Golding N, Pigott DM, Brady OJ, Moyes CL, Johansson MA, Gething PW, Velayudhan R, Khan K, Hay SI, Brownstein JS. Global distribution and environmental suitability for chikungunya virus, 1952 to 2015. Eurosurveillance. 2016;21(20):pii=30234. doi: 10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2016.21.20.30234.
Messina JP, Kraemer MUG, Brady OJ, Pigott DM, Shearer FM, Weiss DJ, Golding N, Ruktanonchai W, Gething PW, Cohn E, Brownstein JS, Khan K, Tatem AJ, Jaenisch T, Murray CJL, Marinho F, Scott TW, Hay SI. Mapping global environmental suitability for Zika virus. eLife. 2016 Apr 19. doi: 10.7554/eLife.15272.
Messina JP, Pigott DM, Golding N, Duda KA, Brownstein JS, Weiss DJ, Gibson H, Robinson TP, Gilbert M, Wint GRW, Nuttall PA, Gething PW, Myers MF, George DB, Hay SI. The global distribution of Crimean-Congo hemorrhagic fever. Transactions of the Royal Society of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene. 2015 July 4;109:1-11. doi: 10.1093/trstmh/trv050.
UG Kraemer MUG, Sinka ME, Duda KA, Mylne AQN, Shearer FM, Barker CM, Moore CG, Carvalho RG, Coelho GE, Bortel WV, Hendrickx G, Schaffner F, Elyazar IRF, Teng HJ, Brady OJ, Messina JP, Pigott DM, Scott TW, Smith DL, Wint GRW, Golding N, Hay SI. The global distribution of the arbovirus vectors Aedes aegypti and Ae. albopictus. eLife. 2015 June 30. doi: 10.7554/eLife.08347.
Pigott DM, Howes RE, Wiebe A, Battle KE, Golding N, Gething PW, Dowell SF, Farag TH, Garcia AJ, Kimball AM, Krause LK, Smith CH, Brooker SJ, Kyu HH, Vos T, Murray CJL, Moyes CL, Hay SI. Prioritizing infectious disease mapping. PLOS Neglected Tropical Diseases. 2015 Jun 10. doi: 10.1371/journal.pntd.0003756.
Mylne AQN, Pigott DM, Longbottom J, Shearer F, Duda KA, Messina JP, Weiss DJ, Moyes CL, Golding N, Hay SI. Mapping the zoonotic niche of Lassa fever in Africa. Transactions of the Royal Society of Tropical Medicine & Hygiene. 2015 Jan 11; 109(8): 483-492. doi: 10.1093/trstmh/trv047.
Pigott DM, Golding N, Mylne A, Huang Z, Weiss DJ, Brady OJ, Kraemer MU, Hay SI. Mapping the zoonotic niche of Marburg virus disease in Africa. Transactions of the Royal Society of Tropical Medicine & Hygiene. 2015 Jun; 109(6):336–378. doi: 10.1093/trstmh/trv024.
Messina JP, Brady OJ, Pigott DM, Golding N, Kraemer MUG, Scott TW, Wint GRW, Smith DL, Hay SI. The many projected futures of dengue. Nature Reviews Microbiology. 2015 March 2; 13:230-239. doi:10.1038/nrmicro3430.
Mylne A, Brady OJ, Huang Z, Pigott DM, Golding N, Kraemer MUG, Hay SI. A comprehensive database of the geographic spread of past human Ebola outbreaks. Scientific Data. 2014 Oct 23; 1:140042. doi: 10.1038/sdata.2014.42.
Pigott DM, Golding N, Mylne A, Huang Z, Henry AJ, Weiss DJ, Brady OJ, Kraemer MUG, Smith DL, Moyes CL, Bhatt S, Gething PW, Horby PW, Bogoch II, Brownstein JS, Mekaru SR, Tatem AJ, Khan K, Hay SI. Mapping the zoonotic niche of Ebola virus disease in Africa. eLife. 2014 Sep 8; 3:e04395. doi: 10.7554/eLife.04395.
Pigott DM, Bhatt S, Golding N, Duda KA, Battle KE, Brady OJ, Messina JP, Balard Y, Bastien P, Pratlong F, Brownstein JS, Freifeld CC, Mekaru SR, Gething PW, George DB, Myers MF, Reithinger R, Hay SI. Global distribution maps of the leishmaniases. eLife. 2014 Jun 27; 1:140042. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.7554/eLife.02851.
Messina JP, Brady OJ, Scott TW, Zou C, Pigott DM, Duda KA, Bhatt S, Katzelnick L, Howes RE, Battle KE, Simmons CP, Hay SI. Global spread of dengue virus types: mapping the 70-year history. Trends in Microbiology. 2014 March; 22(3):138-146. doi:10.1016/j.tim.2013.12.011.
Hay SI, Battle KE, Pigott DM, Smith DL, Moyes CL, Bhatt S, Brownstein JS, Collier N, Myers MF, George DB, Gething PW. Global mapping of infectious disease. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B. 2013 Feb 4; 368(1614). doi:10.1098/rstb.2012.0250.
