Last week, the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation published two studies revealing health and education disparities on the African continent. What is significant about these studies is not only the results, but also the process that was used to arrive at them, known as “precision mapping.” With the support of the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation, IHME is mapping a range of global health metrics using 5x5 kilometer units.
Biography
Simon I. Hay, DPhil, DSc, FMedSci is a Professor in the Department of Health Metrics Sciences in the School of Medicine at the University of Washington, and Director of Research Strategy at the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME). His career has focused on spatial and temporal aspects of infectious disease epidemiology to support the more rational implementation of disease control.
As Director of Research Strategy, Prof. Hay leads the strategic planning for research across IHME, primarily through developing an integrated portfolio of work that best presents the continued innovation and results of the Institute’s annually produced global public goods. He guides IHME’s geospatial research, leading work to identify common problems, solutions, and innovations in local disease burden and small area estimation. He also fosters strategic partnerships with inter-governmental organizations, government agencies, and other key user groups.
Prof. Hay obtained his doctorates from the University of Oxford, where he remains a member of congregation. He has published >500 peer-reviewed and other contributions, including two research monographs; these are cited collectively >45,000 times each year, leading to an h-index of >185 and >195,000 lifetime citations.
Prof. Hay was awarded the Scientific Medal (2008) of the Zoological Society of London and the Back Award (2012) of the Royal Geographical Society for research contributing to public health policy. He has also been awarded the Bailey K. Ashford Medal (2013) of the American Society of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene (ASTMH) and the Chalmers Memorial Medal (2015) of the Royal Society of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene (RSTMH), both for exceptional contributions to tropical medicine. Recently, Prof. Hay received the “10 to End” innovator prize from Malaria No More (2019). The prize is presented for innovation helping to make the end of malaria possible in our lifetimes.
Prof. Hay has been elected to the Board of Trustees of the RSTMH and served as its 52nd President (2013–2015). He has also been elected to the fellowship of the American Society of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene (FASTMH), the Royal College of Physicians of Edinburgh (FRCP Edin), the Academy of Medical Sciences (FMedSci), and the American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS).
GBD 2019 Hepatitis B Collaborators. Global, regional, and national burden of hepatitis B, 1990–2019: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019. The Lancet Gastroenterology & Hepatology. 20 June 2022. doi: 10.1016/S2468-1253(22)00124-8.
GBD US Health Disparities Collaborators. Life expectancy by county, race, and ethnicity in the USA, 2000–19: a systematic analysis of health disparities. The Lancet. 16 June 2022. doi: 10.1016/ S0140-6736(22)00876-5.
GBD 2019 Human Resources for Health Collaborators. Measuring the availability of human resources for health and its relationship to universal health coverage: estimates for 204 countries and territories from 1990 to 2019. The Lancet. 23 May 2022. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(22)00532-3.
Fitzgerald R, Manguerra H, Kassebaum NJ, et al. Current dichotomous metrics obscure trends in severe and extreme child growth failure. Science Advances. 20 May 2022. doi: 10.1126/sciadv.abm8954.
COVID-19 Cumulative Infection Collaborators. Estimating global, regional, and national daily and cumulative infections with SARS-CoV-2 through Nov 14, 2021: a statistical analysis. The Lancet. 8 April 2022. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(22)00484-6.
GBD 2019 Colorectal Cancer Collaborators. Global, regional, and national burden of colorectal cancer and its risk factors, 1990–2019: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019. The Lancet Gastroenterology & Hepatology. 7 April 2022. doi: 10.1016/S2468-1253(22)00044-9.
GBD 2019 Iran Collaborators. Health system performance in Iran: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019. The Lancet. 6 April 2022. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(21)02751-3.
Castelpietra G, Skrindo Knudsen AK, et al. The burden of mental disorders, substance use disorders and self-harm among young people in Europe, 1990–2019: Findings from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019. The Lancet Regional Health. 1 April 2022. doi:10.1016/j.lanepe.2022.100341.
Armocida B, Monasta L, Sawyer S, et al. Burden of non-communicable diseases among adolescents aged 10–24 years in the EU, 1990–2019: a systematic analysis of the Global Burden of Diseases Study 2019. The Lancet Child Adolescent Health. 24 March 2022. doi: 10.1016/S2352-4642(22)00073-6.
GBD 2019 Ethiopia Subnational-Level Disease Burden Initiative Collaborators. Progress in health among regions of Ethiopia, 1990–2019: a subnational country analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019. The Lancet. 13 March 2022. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(21)02868-3.
Pedroza Velandia P, Miller-Petrie MK, Chen C, Chakrabarti S, Chapin A, Hay S, Tsakalos G, Wimo A, Dieleman JL. Global and regional spending on dementia care from 2000–2019 and expected future health spending scenarios from 2020–2050: An economic modelling exercise. eClinicalMedicine. 12 March 2022. doi: 10.1016/j.eclinm.2022.101337.
COVID-19 Excess Mortality Collaborators. Estimating excess mortality due to the COVID-19 pandemic: a systematic analysis of COVID-19-related mortality, 2020–21. The Lancet. 10 March 2022. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(21)02796-3.
GBD 2019 Ageing Collaborators. Global, regional, and national burden of diseases and injuries for adults 70 years and older: systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease 2019 Study. BMJ. 10 March 2022. doi: 10.1136/bmj-2021-068208.
The Gender Equality Metrics team and the COVID-19 Forecasting team at Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation. Quantifying the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic on gender equality in health, social, and economic indicators. The Lancet. 2 March 2022. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(22)00008-3.
COVID-19 Forecasting Team. Variation in the COVID-19 infection–fatality ratio by age, time, and geography during the pre-vaccine era: a systematic analysis. The Lancet. 24 February 2022. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(21)02867-1.
Bollyky TJ, Graetz N, Dieleman J, Miller-Petrie MK, Schoder D, Joyce S, Guillot M, Hay SI. Growing up and moving out: Migration and the demographic transition in low- and middle-income nations. Population Studies. 23 February 2022. doi: 10.1080/00324728.2022.2034919.
GBD 2019 Diabetes Mortality Collaborators. Diabetes mortality and trends before 25 years of age: an analysis of the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019. The Lancet Diabetes & Endocrinology. 7 February 2022. doi: 10.1016/S2213-8587(21)00349-1.
COVID-19 National Preparedness Collaborators. Pandemic preparedness and COVID-19: an exploratory analysis of infection and fatality rates, and contextual factors associated with preparedness in 177 countries, from Jan 1, 2020, to Sept 30, 2021. The Lancet. 1 February 2022. doi:10.1016/S0140-6736(22)00172-6.
Antimicrobial Resistance Collaborators. Global burden of bacterial antimicrobial resistance in 2019: a systematic analysis. The Lancet. 20 January 2022. doi:10.1016/S0140-6736(21)02724-0.
Achoki T, Sartorius B, Watkins D, et al. Health trends, inequalities and opportunities in South Africa’s provinces, 1990–2019: findings from the Global Burden of Disease 2019 Study. Journal of Epidemiology & Community Health. 19 January 2022. doi: 10.1136/jech-2021-217480.
GBD 2019 Dementia Forecasting Collaborators. Estimation of the global prevalence of dementia in 2019 and forecasted prevalence in 2050: an analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019. The Lancet Public Health. 6 January 2022. doi: 10.1016/ S2468-2667(21)00249-8.
Global Burden of Disease 2019 Cancer Collaboration. Cancer Incidence, Mortality, Years of Life Lost, Years Lived With Disability, and Disability-Adjusted Life Years for 29 Cancer Groups From 2010 to 2019. JAMA Oncology. 30 December 2021. doi: 10.1001/jamaoncol.2021.6987.
GBD 2019 Adolescent Young Adult Cancer Collaborators. The global burden of adolescent and young adult cancer in 2019: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019. The Lancet Oncology. 03 December 2021. doi: 10.1016/S1470-2045(21)00581-7.
Ma Q, Li R, Wang L, Yin P, Wang Y, Yan C, Ren Y, Zhengmin, Vaughn MG, McMillin SE, Hay SI, Naghavi M, Cai M, Wang C, Zhang Z, Zhou M, Hualiang L, Yang Y. Temporal trend and attributable risk factors of stroke burden in China, 1990–2019: an analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019. The Lancet Public Health. 29 November 2021. doi: 10.1016/S2468-2667(21)00228-0.
Ross JM, Xie Y, Wang Y, Collins JK, Horst C, Doody JB, Lindstedt P, Ledesma JR, Shapiro AE, Hay SI, Kyu HH, Flaxman AD. Estimating the population at high risk for tuberculosis through household exposure in high-incidence countries: a model-based analysis. EClinicalMedicine. 21 November 2022. doi:10.1016/j.eclinm.2021.101206.
Browne AJ, Chipeta MG, Haines-Woodhouse G, Kumaran EPA, Kashef Hamadani BH, Zaraa S, Henry NJ, Deshpande A, Reiner RC, Day NPJ, Lopez AD, Dunachie S, Moore CE, Stergachis A, Hay SI, Dolecek C. Global antibiotic consumption and usage in humans, 2000–18: a spatial modelling study. The Lancet Planetary Health. 11 November 2021. doi: 10.1016/S2542-5196(21)00280-1.
GBD 2019 Adolescent Mortality Collaborators. Global, regional, and national mortality among young people aged 10–24 years, 1950–2019: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019. The Lancet. 30 October 2021. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(21)01546-4.
Kinyoki D, Osgood-Zimmerman AE, Bhattacharjee NV, Local Burden of Disease Anaemia Collaborators, Kassebaum NJ, Hay SI. Anemia prevalence in women of reproductive age in low- and middle-income countries between 2000 and 2018. Nature Medicine. 12 October 2021. doi: 10.1038/s41591-021-01498-0.
GBD 2019 Police Violence US Subnational Collaborators. Fatal police violence by race and state in the USA, 1980-2019: a network meta-regression. The Lancet. 30 September 2021. doi: 10.016/S0140-6736(21)01609-3
GBD 2019 HIV Collaborators. Global, regional, and national sex-specific burden and control of the HIV epidemic, 1990–2019, for 204 countries and territories: the Global Burden of Diseases Study 2019. The Lancet HIV. 27 September 2021. doi: 10.1016/S2352-3018(21)00152-1.
GBD 2019 Tuberculosis Collaborators. Global, regional, and national sex differences in the global burden of tuberculosis by HIV status, 1990–2019: results from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019. The Lancet Infectious Diseases. 23 September 2021. doi: 10.1016/S1473-3099(21)00449-7.
Global Burden of Disease 2020 Health Financing Collaborator Network. Tracking development assistance for health and for COVID-19: a review of development assistance, government, out-of-pocket, and other private spending on health for 204 countries and territories, 1990–2050. The Lancet. 22 September 2021. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(21)01258-7.
GBD 2019 Stroke Collaborators. Global, regional, and national burden of stroke and its risk factors, 1990–2019: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019. The Lancet Neurology. 3 September 2021. doi: 10.1016/S1474-4422(21)00252-0.
GBD 2019 Fractures Collaborators. Global, regional, and national burden of bone fractures in 204 countries and territories, 1990–2019: a systematic analysis from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019. The Lancet Healthy Longevity. 19 August 2021. doi: 10.1016/S2666-7568(21)00172-0.
Burkart KG, Brauer M, Aravkin AY, Godwin WW, Hay SI, He J, Iannucci VC, Larson SL, Lim SS, Liu J, Murray CJL, Zheng P, Zhou M, Stanaway JD. Estimating the cause-specific relative risks of non-optimal temperature on daily mortality: a two-part modelling approach applied to the Global Burden of Disease Study. The Lancet. 19 August 2021. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(21)01700-1.
GBD 2019 Under-5 Mortality Collaborators. Global, regional, and national progress towards Sustainable Development Goal 3.2 for neonatal and child health: all-cause and cause-specific mortality findings from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019. The Lancet. 17 August 2021. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(21)01207-1.
GBD 2019 Respiratory Tract Cancers Collaborators. Global, regional, and national burden of respiratory tract cancers and associated risk factors from 1990 to 2019: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019. The Lancet Respiratory Medicine. 16 August 2021. doi: 10.1016/S2213-2600(21)00164-8.
Causey K, Fullman N, Sorensen RJD, Galles NC, Zheng P, Aravkin A, Danovaro-Holliday MC, Martinez-Piedra R, Sodha SV, Velandia-Gonzalez MP, Gacic-Dobo M, Castro E, He J, Schipp M, Deen A, Hay SI, Lim SS, Mosser JF. Estimating global and regional disruptions to routine childhood vaccine coverage during the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020: a modelling study. The Lancet. 15 July 2021. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(21)01337-4.
GBD 2020, Release 1, Vaccine Coverage Collaborators. Measuring routine childhood vaccination coverage in 204 countries and territories, 1980–2019: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2020, Release 1. The Lancet. 14 July 2021. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(21)00984-3.
Bhattacharjee NV, Schaeffer LE, Hay SI, Local Burden of Disease Exclusive Breastfeeding Collaborators. Mapping inequalities in exclusive breastfeeding in low- and middle-income countries, 2000–2018. Nature Human Behaviour. 3 June 2021. doi:.10.1038/s41562-021-01108-6.
Local Burden of Disease HIV Collaborators. Subnational mapping of HIV incidence and mortality among individuals aged 15–49 years in sub-Saharan Africa, 2000–18: a modelling study. The Lancet HIV. 1 June 2021. doi:10.1016/S2352-3018(21)00051-5.
Reitsma MB, Flor LS, Mullany C, Gupta V, Hay SI, Gakidou E. Spatial, temporal, and demographic patterns in prevalence of smoking tobacco use and initiation among young people in 204 countries and territories, 1990–2019. The Lancet Public Health. 27 May 2021. doi:10.1016/S2468-2667(21)00102-X.
GBD 2019 Chewing Tobacco Collaborators. Spatial, temporal, and demographic patterns in prevalence of chewing tobacco use in 204 countries and territories, 1990–2019: a systematic analysis from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019. The Lancet Public Health. 27 May 2021. doi: 10.1016/S2468-2667(21)00065-7.
GBD 2019 Tobacco Collaborators. Spatial, temporal, and demographic patterns in prevalence of smoking tobacco use and attributable disease burden in 204 countries and territories, 1990–2019: a systematic analysis from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019. The Lancet. 27 May 2021. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(21)01169-7.
Friedman J, Liu P, Troeger CE, Carter A, Reiner RC, Barber RM, Collins J, Lim SS, Pigott DM, Vos T, Hay SI, Murray CJL, Gakidou E. Predictive performance of international COVID-19 mortality forecasting models. Nature Communications. 10 May 2021. doi: 10.1038/s41467-021-22457-w.
GA Roth, S Emmons-Bell, HM Alger, SM Bradley, SR Das, JA de Lemos, E Gakidou, MSV Elkind, S Hay, JL Hall, CO Johnson, DA Morrow, F Rodriguez, C Rutan, S Shakil, R Sorensen, L Stevens, TY Wang, J Walchok, J Williams, C Murray. Trends in Patient Characteristics and COVID-19 In-Hospital Mortality in the United States During the COVID-19 Pandemic. JAMA Netw Open. 3 May 2021. doi: 10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2021.8828.
Local Burden of Disease HIV Collaborators. Mapping subnational HIV mortality in six Latin American countries with incomplete vital registration systems. BMC Medicine. 8 January 2021. doi: 10.1186/s12916-020-01876-4.
Wiens KE, Schaeffer LE, Sow SO, Ndoye B, Cain CJ, Baumann MM, Johnson KB, Lindstedt PA, Blacker BF, Bhutta ZA, Cormier NM, Daoud F, Earl L, Farag T, Khalil IA, Kinyoki DK, Larson HJ, LeGrand KE, Cook AJ, Malta DC, Mansson JC, Mayala BK, Mokdad AH, Ogbuanu IU, Sankoh O, Sartorius B, Topor-Madry R, Troeger CE, Welgan CA, Werdecker A, Hay SI, Reiner RC. Oral rehydration therapies in Senegal, Mali, and Sierra Leone: a spatial analysis of changes over time and implications for policy. BMC Medicine. 21 December 2020. doi: 10.1186/s12916-020-01857-7.
Local Burden of Disease Vaccine Coverage Collaborators. Mapping routine measles vaccination in low- and middle-income countries. Nature. 16 December 2020. doi: 10.1038/s41586-020-03043-4.
GBD 2019 Blindness and Vision Impairment Collaborators. Causes of blindness and vision impairment in 2020 and trends over 30 years, and prevalence of avoidable blindness in relation to VISION 2020: the Right to Sight: an analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study. The Lancet Global Health. 1 December 2020. doi:10.1016/S2214-109X(20)30489-7.
GBD 2019 Blindness and Vision Impairment Collaborators. Trends in prevalence of blindness and distance and near vision impairment over 30 years: an analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study. The Lancet Global Health. 1 December 2020. doi: 10.1016/S2214-109X(20)30425-3.
IHME COVID-19 Forecasting Team. Modeling COVID-19 scenarios for the United States. Nature Medicine. 23 October 2020. doi:10.1038/s41591-020-1132-9.
GBD 2019 Universal Health Coverage Collaborators. Measuring universal health coverage based on an index of effective coverage of health services in 204 countries and territories, 1990–2019: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019. The Lancet. 27 August 2020. doi:10.1016/S0140-6736(20)30750-9.
Deribe K, Simpson H, Pullan RL, Bosco MJ, Wanji S, Weaver ND, Murray CJL, Newport MJ, Hay SI, Davey G, Cano J. Predicting the environmental suitability and population at risk of podoconiosis in Africa. PLoS Neglected Tropical Diseases. 27 August 2020. doi:10.1371/journal.pntd.0008616.
Local Burden of Disease WaSH Collaborators. Mapping geographical inequalities in access to drinking water and sanitation facilities in low-income and middle-income countries, 2000–17. The Lancet Global Health. August 2020. doi:10.1016/S2214-109X(20)30278-3.
Hardcastle AN, Osborne JCP, Ramshaw RE, Hulland EN, Morgan JD, Miller-Petrie MK, Hon J, Earl L, Rabinowitz P, Wasserheit JN, Gilbert M, Robinsons TP, Wint GRW, Shirude S, Hay SI, Pigott DM. Informing Rift Valley Fever preparedness by mapping seasonally varying environmental suitability. International Journal of Infectious Diseases. 29 July 2020. doi: 10.1016/j.ijid.2020.07.043.
Local Burden of Disease Diarrhoea Collaborators. Mapping geographic inequalities in oral rehydration therapy coverage in low- and middle-income countries, 2000–17. The Lancet Global Health. August 2020. doi:10.1016/S2214-109X(20)30230-8.
Cork MA, Wilson KF, Perkins S, Collison ML, Deshpande A, Eaton JW, Earl L, Haeuser E, Justman JE, Kinyoki DK, Mayala BK, Mosser JF, Murray CJL, Nkengasong JN, Piot P, Sartorius B, Schaeffer LE, Serfes AL, Sligar A, Steuben KM, Tanser FC, VanderHeide JD, Yang M, Wabiri N, Hay SI, Dwyer-Lindgren L. Mapping male circumcision for HIV prevention efforts in sub-Saharan Africa. BMC Medicine. 7 July 2020. doi:10.1186/s12916-020-01635-5.
Vollset SE, Goren E, Yuan C-W, Cao J, Smith AE, Hsiao T, Bisignano C, Azhar GS, Castro E, Chalek J, Dolgart AJ, Frank T, Fukutaki K, Hay SI, Lozano R, Mokdad AH, Nandakumar V, Pierce M, Pletcher M, Robalik T, Steuben KM, Wunrow HY, Zlavog BS, Murray CJL. Fertility, mortality, migration, and population scenarios for 195 countries and territories from 2017 to 2100: a forecasting analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study. The Lancet. 14 July 2020. doi:10.1016/S0140-6736(20)30677-2.
GBD Chronic Respiratory Disease Collaborators. Prevalence and attributable health burden of chronic respiratory diseases, 1990–2017: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017. The Lancet Respiratory Medicine. 1 June 2020. doi:10.1016/S2213-2600(20)30105-3.
India State-Level Disease Burden Initiative CGF Collaborators. Mapping of variations in child stunting, wasting and underweight within the states of India: the Global Burden of Disease Study 2000–2017. EClinicalMedicine. 12 May 2020. doi:10.1016/j.eclinm.2020.100317.
India State-Level Disease Burden Initiative Child Mortality Collaborators. Subnational mapping of under-5 and neonatal mortality trends in India: the Global Burden of Disease Study 2000–17. The Lancet. 11 May 2020. doi:10.1016/S0140-6736(20)30471-2.
Local Burden of Disease Diarrhoea Collaborators. Mapping geographical inequalities in childhood diarrhoeal morbidity and mortality in low-income and middle-income countries, 2000–17: analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017. The Lancet. 6 May 2020. doi:10.1016/S0140-6736(20)30114-8.
Global Burden of Disease Health Financing Collaborator Network. Health sector spending and spending on HIV/AIDS, tuberculosis, and malaria, and development assistance for health: progress towards Sustainable Development Goal 3. The Lancet. 23 April 2020. doi:10.1016/S0140-6736(20)30608-5.
LBD Double Burden of Malnutrition Collaborators. Mapping local patterns of childhood overweight and wasting in low- and middle-income countries between 2000 and 2017. Nature Medicine. 20 April 2020. doi:10.1038/s41591-020-0807-6.
Friedman J, York H, Graetz N, Woyczynski L, Whisnant J, Hay SI, Gakidou E. Measuring and forecasting progress towards the education-related SDG targets. Nature. 15 April 2020. doi:10.1038/s41586-020-2198-8.
GBD 2017 Oesophageal Cancer Collaborators. The global, regional, and national burden of oesophageal cancer and its attributable risk factors in 195 countries and territories, 1990–2017: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017. The Lancet Gastroenterology & Hepatology. 1 April 2020. doi:10.1016/S2468-1253(20)30007-8.
Yadgir S, Johnson CO, Aboyans V, Adebayo OM, Adedoyin RA, Afarideh M, Alahdab F, Alashi A, Alipour V, Arabloo J, Azari S, Barthelemy CM, Benziger CP, Berman AE, Bijani A, Carrero JJ, Carvalho F, Daryani A, Duraes AR, Esteghamati A, Farid TA, Farzadfar F, Fernandes E, Filip I, Gad MM, Hamidi S, Hay SI, Ilesanmi OS, Irvani SSN, Jurisson M, Kasaeian A, Kengne AP, Khan AR, Kisa A, Kisa S, Kolte D, Manafi N, Manafi A, Mensah GA, Mirrakhimov EM, Mohammad Y, Mokdad AH, Negoi RI, Nguyen HLT, Nguyen TH, Nixon MR, Otto CM, Patel S, Pilgrim T, Radfar A, Rawaf DL, Rawaf S, Rawasia WF, Rezapour A, Roever L, Saad AM, Saadatagah S, Senthilkumaran S, Sliwa K, Tesfay BE, Tran BX, Ullah I, Vaduganathan M, Vasankari TJ, Wolfe CDA, Yonemoto N, Roth GA. Global, Regional, and National Burden of Calcific Aortic Valve and Degenerative Mitral Valve Diseases, 1990-2017. Circulation. 29 March 2020. doi: 10.1161/CIRCULATIONAHA.119.043391.
Harris MJ, Hay SI, Drake JM. Early warning signals of malaria resurgence in Kericho, Kenya. Biology Letters. 18 March 2020. doi:10.1098/rsbl.2019.0713.
Crowe CS, Massenburg BB, Morrison SD, Chang J, Friedrich JB, Abady GG, Alahdab F, Alipour V, Arabloo J, Asaad M, Banach M, Bijani A, Borzi AM, Briko NI, Castle CD, Cho DY, Chung MT, Daryani A, Demoz GT, Dingels ZV, Do HT, Fischer F, Fox JT, Fukumoto T, Gebre AK, Gebremichael B, Haagsma JA, Haj-Mirzaian A, Handiso DW, Hay SI, Hoang CL, Irvani SSN, Jozwiak JJ, Kalhor R, Kasaeian A, Khader YS, Khalilov R, Khan EA, Khundkar R, Kisa S, Kisa A, Liu Z, Majdan M, Manafi N, Manafi A, Manda A-L, Meretoja TJ, Miller TR, Mohammadian-Hafshejani A, Mohammadpourhodki R, Bandpei MAM, Mokdad AH, Naimzada MD, Ndwandwe DE, Nguyen CT, Bguyen HLT, Olagunju AT, Olagunju TO, Pham HQ, Pribadi DRA, Rabiee N, Ramezanzadeh K, Ranganathan K, Roberts NLS, Roever L, Safari S, Samy AM, Riera LS, Sahabi S, Smarandache C-G, Sylte DO, Tesfay BE, Tran BX, Ullah I, Vahedi P, Vahedian-Azimi A, Vos T, Woldeyes DH, Wondmieneh AB, Zhang Z-J, James SL. Global trends of hand and wrist trauma: a systematic analysis of fracture and digit amputation using the Global Burden of Disease 2017 Study. Injury Prevention. 13 March 2020. doi:10.1136/injuryprev-2019-043495.
GBD 2017 Gastro-oesophageal Reflux Disease Collaborators. The global, regional, and national burden of gastro-oesophageal reflux disease in 195 countries and territories, 1990–2017: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017. The Lancet Gastroenterology & Hepatology. 13 March 2020. doi: 10.1016/S2468-1253(19)30408-X.
GBD 2017 Oral Disorders Collaborators. Global, Regional, and National Levels and Trends in Burden of Oral Conditions from 1990 to 2017: A Systematic Analysis for the Global Burden of Disease 2017 Study. Journal of Dental Research. 2 March 2020. doi:10.1177/0022034520908533.
El Bcheraoui C, Mimche H, Miangotar Y, Krish VS, Ziegeweid F, Krohn KJ, Ekat MH, Nansseu JR, Dimbuene ZT, Olsen HE, Tine RCK, Odell CM, Troeger CE, Kassebaum NJ, Farag T, Hay SI, Mokdad AH. Burden of disease in francophone Africa, 1990–2017: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017. The Lancet Global Health. March 2020. doi:10.1016/S2214-109X(20)30024-3.
Franklin RC, Peden AE, Hamilton EB, Bisignano C, Castle CD, Dingels ZV, Hay SI, Liu Z, Mokdad AH, Roberts NLS, Sylte DO, Vos T, Abady GG, Abosetugn AE, Ahmed R, Alahdab F, Andrei CL, Antonio CAT, Arabloo J, Arba AAK, Badiye AD, Bakkannavar SM, Banach M, Banik PC, Banstola A, Barker-Collo SL, Barzegar A, Bayati M, Bhardwaj P, Bhaumik S, Bhutta ZA, Bijani A, Boloor A, Carvalho F, Chowdhury MAK, Chu D-T, Colquhoun SM, Dagne H, Dagnew B, Dandona L, Dandona R, Daryani A, Dharmaratne SD, Forooshani ZSD, Do HT, Driscoll TR, Eagan AW, El-Khatib Z, Fernandes E, Filip I, Fischer F, Gebremichael B, Gupta G, Haagsma JA, Hassan S, Hendrie D, Hoang CL, Hole MK, Holla R, Hostiuc S, Househ M, Ilesanmi OS, Inbaraj LR, Irvani SSN, Islam MM, Ivers RQ, Jayatilleke AU, Joukar F, Kalhor R, Kanchan T, Kapoor N, Kasaeian A, Khan M, Khan EA, Khubchandani J, Krishan K, Kumar GA, Lauriola P, Lopez AD, Madadin M, Majdan M, Maled V, Manafi N, Manafi A, McKee M, Meles HG, Menezes RG, Meretoja TJ, Miller TR, Mithra P, Mohammadian-Hafshejani A, Mohammadpourhodki R, Mohebi F, Molokhia M, Mustafa G, Negoi I, Nguyen CT, Nguyen HLT, Olagunju AT, Olagunju TO, Padubidri JR, Pakshir K, Pathak A, Polinder S, Pribadi DRA, Rabiee N, Radfar A, Rana SM, Rickard J, Safari S, Salamanti P, Samy AM, Sarker AR, Schwebel DC, Senthilkumaran S, Shaahmadi F, Shaikh MA, Shin JI, Singh PK, Soheili A, Stokes MA, Suleria HAR, Tarigan IU, Temsah M-H, Tesfay BE, Valdez PR, Veisani Y, Ye P, Yonemoto N, Yu C, Yusefzadeh H, Zaman SB, Zhang Z-J, James SL. The burden of unintentional drowning: global, regional and national estimates of mortality from the Global Burden of Disease 2017 Study. Injury Prevention. 20 February 2020. doi:10.1136/injuryprev-2019-043484.
GBD Chronic Kidney Disease Collaboration. Global, regional, and national burden of chronic kidney disease, 1990–2017: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017. The Lancet. 13 February 2020. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(20)30045-3.
GBD 2016 Occupational Risk Factors Collaborators. Global and regional burden of disease and injury in 2016 arising from occupational exposures: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016. Occupational and Environmental Medicine. 13 February 2020. doi: 10.1136/oemed-2019-106008.
GBD 2016 Occupational Carcinogens Collaborators. Global and regional burden of cancer in 2016 arising from occupational exposure to selected carcinogens: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016. Occupational and Environmental Medicine. 13 February 2020. doi:10.1136/oemed-2019-106012.
GBD 2016 Occupational Chronic Respiratory Risk Factors Collaborators. Global and regional burden of chronic respiratory disease in 2016 arising from non-infectious airborne occupational exposures: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016. Occupational and Environmental Medicine. 13 February 2020. doi:10.1136/oemed-2019-106013.
GBD 2017 Cirrhosis Collaborators. The global, regional, and national burden of cirrhosis by cause in 195 countries and territories, 1990–2017: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017. The Lancet Gastroenterology & Hepatology. 22 January 2020. doi: 10.1016/S2468-1253(19)30349-8.
Zimmerman MS, Smith AGC, Sable CA, Echko MM, Wilner LB, Olsen HE, Atalay HT, Awasthi A, Bhutta ZA, Boucher JL, Castro F, Cortesi PA, Dubey M, Fischer F, Hamidi S, Hay SI, Hoang CL, Hugo-Hamman CT, Jenkins KJ, Kar A, Khalil IA, Kumar RK, Kwan GF, Mengistu DT, Mokdad AH, Naghavi M, Negesa L, Negoi I, Negoi RI, Nguyen CT, Nguyen HLT, Nguyen LH, Nguyen SH, Nguyen TH, Nixon MR, Noubiap JJ, Patel S, Peprah EK, Reiner RC, Roth GA, Temsah MH, Tovani-Palone MR, Towbin JA, Tran BX, Tran TT, Truong NT, Vos T, Vosoughi K, Weintraub RG, Weldegwergs KG, Zaidi Z, Zheleva B, Zuhlke LJ, Murray CJL, Martin GR, Kassebaum NJ. Global, regional, and national burden of congenital heart disease, 1990–2017: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017. The Lancet Child & Adolescent Health. 21 January 2020; doi: 10.1016/S2352-4642(19)30402-X.
Rudd KE, Johnson SC, Agesa KM, Shackelford KA, Tsoi D, Kievlan DR, Colombara DV, Ikuta KS, Kissoon N, Finfer S, Fleischmann-Struzek C, Machado FR, Reinhart KK, Rowan K, Seymour CW, Watson RS, West TE, Marinho F, Hay SI, Lozano R, Lopez AD, Angus DC, Murray CJL, Naghavi M. Global, regional, and national sepsis incidence and mortality, 1990–2017: analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study. The Lancet. 16 January 2020; doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(19)32989-7.
James SL, Lucchesi LR, Bisignano C, Castle CD, Dingels ZV, Fox JT, Hamilton EB, Henry NJ, Krohn KJ, Liu Z, McCracken D, Nixon MR, Roberts NLS, Sylte DO, Adsuar JC, Arora A, Briggs AM, Collado-Mateo D, Cooper C, Dandona L, Dandona R, Ellingsen CL, Fereshtehnejad SM, Gill TK, Haagsma JA, Hendrie D, Jurisson M, Kumar GA, Lopez AD, Miazgowski T, Miller TR, Mini GK, Mirrakhimov EM, Mohamadi E, Olivares PR, Rahim F, Riera LS, Villafaina S, Yano Y, Hay SI, Lim SS, Mokdad AH, Naghavi M, Murray CJL. The global burden of falls: global, regional, and national estimates of morbidity and mortality from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017. Injury Prevention. 15 January 2020; doi: 10.1136/injuryprev-2019-043286.
James SL, Lucchesi LR, Bisignano C, Castle CD, Dingels ZV, Fox JT, Hamilton EB, Liu Z, McCracken D, Nixon MR, Sylte DO, Roberts NLS, Adebayo OM, Aghamolaei T, Alghnam SA, Aljunid SM, Almasi-Hashiani A, Badawi A, Behzadifar M, Behzadifar M, Bekru ET, Bennett DA, Chapman JR, Deribe K, Adema BD, Fatahi Y, Gelaw BK, Getahun EA, Hendrie D, Henok A, de Hidru H, Hosseinzadeh M, Hu G, Jahani MA, Jakovljevic M, Jalilian F, Joseph N, Karami M, Kelbore AG, Khan MN, Kim YJ, Koul PA, La Vecchia C, Linn S, Majdzadeh R, Mehndiratta MM, Memiah PTN, Mengesha MM, Merie HE, Miller TR, Mirzaei-Alavijeh M, Darwesh AM, Mezerji NMC, Mohammadibakhsh R, Moodley Y, Moradi-Lekah M, Musa KI, Nascimento BR, Nikbakhsh R, Nyasulu PS, Bali AO, Onwujekwe OE, Pati S, Kalhori RP, Salehi F, Shahabi S, Shallo SA, Shamsizadeh M, Sharafi Z, Shukla SR, Sobhiyeh MR, Soriano JB, Sykes BL, Tabares-Seisdedos R, Tadesse DBB, Tefera YM, Tehrani-Banihashemi A, Tlou B, Topor-Madry R, Wiangkham T, Taseri M, Yaya S, Yenesew MA, Younis MZ, Ziapour A, Zodpey S, Pigott DM, Reiner RC, Hay SI, Mokdad AH, Lopez AD. Morbidity and mortality from road injuries: results from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017. Injury Prevention. DATE; 0:1-11. doi:10.1136/injuryprev-2019-043302.
Lalloo R, Lucchesi LR, Bisignano C, Castle CD, Dingels ZV, Fox JT, Hamilton EB, Liu Z, Roberts NLS, Sylte DO, Alahdab F, Alipour V, Alsharif U, Arabloo J, Bagherzadeh M, Banach M, Bijani A, Crowe CS, Daryani A, Do HP, Doan LP, Fischer F, Gebremeskel GG, Haagsma JA, Haj-Mirzaian A, Haj-Mirzaian A, Hamidi S, Hoang CL, Irvani SSN, Kasaeian A, Khader YS, Khalilov R, Khoja AT, Kiadaliri AA, Majdan M, Manaf N, Manafi A, Massenburg BB, Mohammadian-Hafshejani A, Morrison SD, Nguyen TH, Nguyen SH, Nguyen CT, Olagunju TO, Otstavnov N, Polinder S, Rabiee N, Rabiee M, Ramezanzadeh K, Ranganathan K, Rezapour A, Safari S, Samy AM, Riera LS, Shaikh MA, Tran BX, Vahedi P, Vahedian-Azimi P, Zhang P, Pigott DM, Hay SI, Mokdad AH, James SL. Epidemiology of facial fractures: incidence, prevalence and years lived with disability estimates from the Global Burden of Disease 2017 study. Injury Prevention. 8 January 2020; 0:1-9. doi:10.1136/injuryprev-2019-043297.
Local Burden of Disease Child Growth Failure Collaborators. Mapping child growth failure across low- and middle-income countries. Nature. 8 January 2020. doi:10.1038/s41586-019-1878-8.
Haagsma JA, James SL, Castle CD, Dingels ZV, Fox JT, Hamilton EB, Liu Z, Lucchesi LR, Roberts NLS, Sylte DO, Adebayo OM, Ahmadi A, Ahmed MB, Aichour MTE, Alahdab F, Alghnam SA, Aljunid SM, Al-Raddadi RM, Alsharif U, Altirkawi K, Anjomshoa M, Antonio CAT, Appiah SCY, Aremu O, Arora A, Asayesh H, Assadi R, Awasthi A, Quintanilla BPA, Balalla S, Banstola A, Barker-Collo SL, Bärnighausen TW, Bazargan-Hejazi S, Bedi N, Behzadifar M, Behzadifar M, Benjet C, Bennett DA, Bensenor IM, Bhaumik S, Bhutta ZA, Bijani A, Borges G, Borschmann R, Bose D, Boufous S, Brazinova A, Rincon JCC, Cárdenas R, Carrero JJ, Carvalho F, Castañeda-Orjuela CA, Catalá-López F, Choi JYJ, Christopher DJ, Crowe CS, Dalal K, Daryani A, Davitoiu DV, Degenhardt L, De Leo D, De Neve JW, Deribe K, Dessie GA, deVeber GA, Dharmaratne SD, Doan LP, Dolan KA, Driscoll TR, Dubey M, El-Khatib Z, Ellingsen CL, El Sayed Zaki M, Endries AY, Eskandarieh S, Faro A, Fereshtehnejad SM, Fernandes E, Filip I, Fischer F, Franklin RC, Fukumoto T, Gezae KE, Gill TK, Goulart AC, Grada A, Guo Y, Gupta R, Haghparast Bidgoli H, Haj-Mirzaian A, Haj-Mirzaian A, hamadeh RR, Hamidi S, Haro JM, Hassankhani H, Hassen HY, Havmoeller R, Hendrie D, Henok A, Hijar M, Hole MK, Rad EH, Hossain N, Hostiuc S, Hu G, Igumbor EU, Ilesanmi OS, Iravni SSN, Islam SMS, Ivers RQ, Jacobsen KH, Jahanmehr N, Jakovljevic M, Jayatilleke AU, Jha RP, Jonas JB, Shushtari ZJ, Jozwiak JJ, Jürisson M, Kabir A, Kalani R, Kasaeian A, Kelbore AG, Kengne AP, Khader YS, Khafaie MA, Khalid N, Khan EA, Khoja AT, Kiadaliri AA, Kim YE, Kim D, Kisa A, Koyanagi A, Defo BK, Bicer BK, Kumar M, Lalloo R, Lam H, Lami FH, Lansingh VC, Leasher JL, Li S, Linn S, Lunevicius R, Machado FR, Magdy Abd El Razek H, Magdy Abd El Razek M, Mahotra NB, Majdan M, Majeed A, Malekzadeh R, Malik MA, Malta DC, Manda AL, Mansournia MA, Massenburg BB, Maulik PK, Meheretu HAA, Mehndiratta MM, Melese A, Mendoza W, Mengesha MM, Meretoja TJ, Teretoja A, Mestrovic T, Miazgowski T, Miller TR, Mini GK, Mirrakhimov EM, Moazen B, Mezerji NMG, Mohammadibakhsh R, Mohammed S, Molokhia M, Monasta L, Mondello S, Montero-Zamora PA, Moodley Y, Moosazadeh M, Moradi G, Moradi-Lakeh M, Morawska L, Moreno Vel squez I, Morrison SD, Moschos MM, Mousavi SM, Murthy S, Musa KI, Naik G, Najafi F, Nangia V, Nascimento BR, Ndwandwe DE, Negoi I, Nguyen TH, Nguyen SH, Nguyen LH, Nguyen HLT, Ningrum DNA, Nirayo YL, Ofori-Asenso R, Ogbo FA, Oh IH, Oladimeji O, Olagunju AT, Olagunju TO, Olivares PR, Orpana HM, Otstavnov SS, P A M, Pakhale S, Park EK, Patton GC, Pesudovs K, Phillips MR, Polinder S, Prakash S, Radfar A, Rafay A, Rafiei A, Rahimi S, Rahimi-Movaghar V, Rahman MA, Rai RK, Ramezanzadeh K, Rawaf S, Rawaf DL, Renzaho AMN, Resnikoff S, Rezaeian S, Roever L, Ronfani L, Roshandel G, Sabde YD, Saddik B, Salamati P, Salimi Y, Salz I, Samy AM, Sanabria J, Sanchez Riera L, Santric Milicevic MM, Satpathy M, Sawhney M, Sawyer SM, Saxena S, Saylan M, Schneider IJC, Schwebel DC, Seedat S, Sepanlou SG, Shaikh MA Shams-Beyranvand M, Shamsizadeh M, Sharif-Alhoseini M, Shiekh A, Shen J, Shigematsu M, Shiri M, Shiue I, Silva JP, Singh JA, Sinha DN, Soares Filho AM, Soriano JB, Soshnikov S, Soyiri IN, Starodubov VI, Stein DJ, Stokes MA, Sufiyan MB, Sunshine JE, Sykes BL, Tabarés-Seisdedos R, Tabb KM, Tehrani-Banihashemi A, Tessema GA, Thakur JS, Tran KB, Tran BX, Tudor Car L, Uthman OA, Uzochukwu BSC, Valdez PR, Varavikova E, Vasconcelos AMN, Venketasubramanian N, Violante FS, Vlassov V, Waheed Y, Wang YP, Wijeratne T, Winkler AS, Yadav P, Yano Y, Yenesew MA, Yip P, Yisma E, Yonemoto N, Younis MZ, Yu C, Zafar S, Zaidi Z, Zaman SB, Zamani M, Zhao Y, Zodpey S, Hay SI, Lopez AD, Mokdad AH, Vos T. Burden of injury along the development spectrum: associations between the Socio-demographic Index and disability-adjusted life year estimates from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017. Injury Prevention. 8 January 2020; 0:1-15. doi:10.1136/injuryprev-2019-043296.
Browne AJ, Hamadani BHK, Kumaran EAP, Rao P, Longbottom J, Harriss E, Moore CE, Dunachie S, Basnyat B, Baker S, Lopez AD, Day NPJ, Hay SI, Dolecek C. Drug-resistant enteric fever worldwide, 1990 to 2018: a systematic review and meta-analysis. BMC Medicine. 3 January 2020. doi:10.1186/s12916-019-1443-1.
Hulland EN, Wiens KE, Shirude S, Morgan JD, Bertozzi-Villa A, Farag TH, Fullman N, Kraemer MUG, Miller-Petrie MK, Gupta V, Reiner RC, Rabinowitz P, Wasserheit JN, Bell BP, Hay SI, Weiss DJ, Pigott DM. Travel time to health facilities in areas of outbreak potential: maps for guiding local preparedness and response. BMC Medicine. 30 December 2019. doi:10.1186/s12916-019-1459-6.
Local Burden of Disease Educational Attainment Collaborators. Mapping disparities in education across low- and middle-income countries. Nature. 25 December 2019. doi:10.1038/s41586-019-1872-1.
James SL, Lucchesi LR, Bisignano C, Castle CD, Dingels ZV, Fox JT, Hamilton EB, Henry NJ, McCracken D, Roberts NLS, Sylte DO, Ahmadi A, Ahmed MB, Alahdab F, Alipour V, Andualem Z, Antonio CAT, Arabloo J, Badiye AD, Bagherzadeh M, Banstola A, Barnighausen TW, Barzegar A, Bayati M, Bhaumik S, Bijani A, Bukhman G, Carvalho F, Crowe CS, Dalal K, Daryani A, Nasab MD, Do HT, Do HP, Endries AY, Fernandes E, Filip I, Fischer F, Fukumoto T, Gebremedhin KBB, Gebremeskel GG, Gilani SA, Haagsma JA, Hamidi S, Hostiuc S, Househ M, Igumbor EU, Ilesanmi OS, Irvani SSN, Jayatilleke AU, Kahsay A, Kapoor N, Kasaeian A, Khader YS, Khalil IA, Khan EA, Khazaee-Pool M, Kokubo Y, Lopez AD, Madadin M, Majdan M, Maled V, Malekzadeh R, Manafi N, Manafi A, Mangalam S, Massenburg BB, Meles HG, Menezes RG, Meretoja TJ, Miazgowski B, Miller TR, Mohammadian-Hafshejani A, Mohammadpourhodki R, Morrison SD, Negoi I, nguyen TH, Nguyen SH, Nguyen CT, Nixon MR, Olagunju AT, Olagunju TO, Padubidri JR, Polinder S, Rabiee N, Rabiee M, Radfar A, Rahimi-Movaghar V, Rawaf S, Rawaf DL, Rezapour A, Rickard J, Roro EM, Roy N, Safari-Faramani R, Salamati P, Samy AM, Satpathy M, Sawhney M, Schwebel DC, Senthilkumaran S, Sepanlou SG, Shigematsu M, Soheili A, Stokes MA, Tohidinik HR, Tran BX, Valdez PR, Wijeratne T, Yisma E, Zaidi Z, Zamani M, Zhang ZJ, Hay S, Mokdad A. Epidemiology of injuries from fire, heat and hot substances: global, regional and national morbidity and mortality estimates from the Global Burden of Disease 2017 study. Injury Prevention. 19 December 2019; 0:1-10. doi: 10.1136/injuryprev-2019-043299.
Ramshaw RE, Letourneau ID, Hong AY, Hon J, Morgan JD, Osborne JCP, Shirude S, Van Kerkhove MD, Hay SI, Pigott DM. A database of geopositioned Middle East Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus occurrences. Scientific Data, 13 December 2019; 6(318). doi:10.1038/s41597-019-0330-0.
Deribe K, Simpson H, Cano J, Pigott DM, Weaver ND, Cromwell EA, Brady OJ, Pullan RL, Noor Am, Argaw D, Murray CJL, Brooker SJ, Hay SI, Newport MJ, Davey G. Mapping the global distribution of podoconiosis: Applying an evidence consensus approach. PLoS Neglected Tropical Diseases. 2 December 2019. doi:10.1371/journal.pntd.0007925.
GBD 2017 Lower Respiratory Infections Collaborators. Quantifying risks and interventions that have affected the burden of lower respiratory infections among children younger than 5 years: an analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017. The Lancet Infectious Diseases. 30 October 2019. doi:10.1016/S1473-3099(19)30410-4.
GBD 2017 Diarrhoeal Disease Collaborators. Quantifying risks and interventions that have affected the burden of diarrhoea among children younger than 5 years: an analysis of the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017. The Lancet Infectious Diseases. 30 October 2019. doi:10.1016/S1473-3099(19)30559-6.
GBD 2017 Stomach Cancer Collaborators. The global, regional, and national burden of stomach cancer in 195 countries, 1990–2017: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease study 2017. The Lancet Gastroenterology & Hepatology. 21 October 2019. doi:10.1016/S2468-1253(19)30328-0.
GBD 2017 Pancreatic Cancer Collaborators. The global, regional, and national burden of pancreatic cancer and its attributable risk factors in 195 countries and territories, 1990–2017: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017. The Lancet Gastroenterology & Hepatology. 21 October 2019. doi:10.1016/S2468-1253(19)30347-4.
GBD 2017 Colorectal Cancer Collaborators. The global, regional, and national burden of colorectal cancer and its attributable risk factors in 195 countries and territories, 1990–2017: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017. The Lancet Gastroenterology & Hepatology. 21 October 2019. doi:10.1016/S2468-1253(19)30345-0.
GBD 2017 Inflammatory Bowel Disease Collaborators. The global, regional, and national burden of inflammatory bowel disease in 195 countries and territories, 1990–2017: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017. The Lancet Gastroenterology & Hepatology. 21 October 2019. doi:10.1016/S2468-1253(19)30333-4.
Local Burden of Disease 2017 Child Mortality Collaborators. Mapping 123 million neonatal, infant, and child deaths between 2000 and 2017. Nature. 16 October 2019. doi:10.1038/s41586-019-1545-0.
Reiner RC, Welgan CA, Casey DC, Troeger CE, Baumann MM, Nguyen QP, Swartz SJ, Blacker BF, Deshpande A, Mosser JF, Osgood-Zimmerman AE, Earl L, Marczak LB, Munro SB, Miller-Petrie MK, Kemp GR, Frostad J, Wiens KE, Lindstedt PA, Pigott DM, Dwyer-Lindgren L, Ross JM, Burstein R, Graetz N, Rao PC, Khalil IA, Weaver ND, Ray SE, David I, Farag T, Brady OJ, Kraemer MUG, Smith DL, Bhatt S, Weiss DJ, Gething PW, Kassebaum NJ, Mokdad AH, Murray CJL, Hay SI. Identifying residual hotspots and mapping lower respiratory infection morbidity and mortality in African children from 2000 to 2017. Nature Microbiology. 30 September 2019. doi:10.1038/s41564-019-0562-y.
Global Burden of Disease Cancer Collaboration. Global, Regional, and National Cancer Incidence, Mortality, Years of Life Lost, Years Lived With Disability, and Disability-Adjusted Life-Years for 29 Cancer Groups, 1990 to 2017. JAMA Oncology. 27 September 2019;5(12):1-21. doi:10.1001/jamaoncol.2019.2996.
GBD 2017 Non-Typhoidal Salmonella Invasive Disease Collaborators. The global burden of non-typhoidal salmonella invasive disease: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017. The Lancet Infectious Diseases. 24 September 2019. doi:10.1016/S1473-3099(19)30418-9.
Cooper L, Kang SY, Bisanzio D, Maxwell K, Rodriguez-Barraquer I, Greenhouse B, Drakeley C, Arinaitwe E, Staedke SG, Gething PW, Eckhoff P, Reiner RC, Hay SI, Dorsey G, Kamya MR, Lindsay SW, Grenfell BT, Smith DL. Pareto rules for malaria super-spreaders and super-spreading. Nature Communication. 2 September 2019; 10(1):1-9. doi:10.1038/s41467-019-11861-y.
GBD 2017 HIV Collaborators. Global, regional, and national incidence, prevalence, and mortality of HIV, 1980–2017, and forecasts to 2030, for 195 countries and territories: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study 2017. The Lancet HIV. 14 August 2019. doi:10.1016/S2352-3018(19)30196-1.
GBD 2017 Childhood Cancer Collaborators. The global burden of childhood and adolescent cancer in 2017: an analysis of the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017. The Lancet Oncology. 29 July 2019. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/S1470-2045(19)30339-0
Bhattacharjee NV, Schaeffer LE, Marczak LB, Ross JM, Swartz SJ, Albright J, Gardner WM, Shields C, Sligar A, Schipp MF, Pickering BV, Henry NJ, Johnson KB, Louie C, Cork MA, Steuben KM, Lazzar-Atwood A, Lu D, Kinyoki DK, Osgood-Zimmerman A, Earl L, Mosser JF, Deshpande A, Burstein R, Woyczynski LP, Wilson KF, VanderHeide JD, Wiens KE, Reiner RC, Piwoz EG, Rawat R, Sartorius B, Weaver ND, Nixon MR, Smith DL, Kassebaum NJ, Gakidou E, Lim SS, Mokdad AH, Murray CJL, Dwyer-Lindgren L, Hay SI. Mapping exclusive breastfeeding in Africa between 2000 and 2017. Nature Medicine. 22 July 2019. doi:10.1038/s41591-019-0525-0.
Zhou M, Wang H, Zeng X, Yin P, Zhu J, Chen W, Li X, Wang L, Wang L, Liu Y, Liu J, Zhang M, Qi J, Yu S, Afshin A, Gakidou E, Glenn S, Krish VS, Miller-Petrie MK, Mountjoy-Venning WC, Mullany EC, Redford SB, Maghavi M, Hay SI, Wang L, Murray CJL, Liang X. Mortality, morbidity, and risk factors in China and its provinces, 1990–2017: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017. The Lancet. 24 June 2019. doi:10.1016/S0140-6736(19)30427-1.
Weiss DJ, Lucas TCD, Nguyen M, Nandi AK, Bisanzio D, Battle KE, Cameron E, Twohig KA, Pfeffer DA, Rozier JA, Gibson HS, Rao PC, Casey D, Bertozzi-Villa A, Collins EL, Dalrymple U, Gray N, Harris JR, Howes RE, Kang SY, Keddie Sh, May D, Rumisha S, Thorn MP, Barber R, Fullman N, Hunyh CK, Kulikoff X, Kutz MJ, Lopez AD, Mokdad AH, Naghavi M, Nguyen G, Shackelford KA, Vos T, Wang H, Smith DL, Lim SS, Murray CJL, Bhatt S, Hay SI, Gething PW. Mapping the global prevalence, incidence, and mortality of Plasmodium falciparum, 2000–17: a spatial and temporal modelling study. The Lancet. 19 June 2019. doi:10.1016/S0140-6736(19)31097-9.
Battle KE, Lucas TCD, Nguyen M, Howes RE, Nandi AK, Twohig KA, Pfeffer DA, Cameron E, Rao PC, Casey D, Gibson HS, Rozier JA, Dalrymple U, Keddie SH, Collins EL, Harris JR, Guerra CA, Thorn MP, Bisanzio D, Fullman N, Huynh CK, Kulikoff X, Kutz MJ, Lopez AD, Mokdad AH, Naghavi M, Nguyen G, Shackelford KA, Vos T, Wang H, Lim SS, Murray CJL, Price RN, Baird JK, Smith DL, Bhatt S, Weiss DJ, Hay SI, Gething PW. Mapping the global endemicity and clinical burden of Plasmodium vivax, 2000–17: a spatial and temporal modelling study. The Lancet. 19 June 2019. doi:10.1016/S0140-6736(19)31096-7
Messina JP, Brady OJ, Golding N, Kraemer MUG, Wint GRW, Ray SE, Pigott DM, Shearer FM, Johnson K, Earl L, Marczak LB, Shirude S, Weaver ND, Gilbert M, Velayudhan R, Jones P, Jaenisch T, Scott TW, Reiner RC, Hay SI. The current and future global distribution and population at risk of dengue. Nature Microbiology. 10 June 2019. doi:10.1038/s41564-019-0476-8.
Hill E, Hall J, Letourneau ID, Donkers K, Shirude S, Pigott DM, Hay SI, Cromwell EA. A database of geopositioned onchocerciasis prevalence data. Scientific Data. 22 May 2019. doi:10.1038/s41597-019-0079-5.
Dwyer-Lindgren, L, Cork MA, Sligar A, Steuben KM, Wilson KF, Provost NR, Mayala BK, VanderHeide JD, Collison ML, Hall JB, Biehl MH, Carter A, Frank T, Douwes-Schultz D, Burstein R, Casey DC, Deshpande A, Earl L, El Bcheraoui C, Farag TH, Henry NJ, Kinyoki D, Marczak LB, Nixon MR, Osgood-Zimmerman A, Pigott D, Reiner RC, Ross JM, Schaeffer LE, Smith DL, Weaver ND, Wiens KE, Eaton JW, Justman JE, Opio A, Sartorius B, Tanser F, Wabiri N, Piot P, Murray CJL, Hay SI. Mapping HIV prevalence in sub-Saharan Africa between 2000 and 2017. Nature. 15 May 2019. doi:10.1038/s41586-019-1200-9.
GBD 2017 Child and Adolescent Health Collaborators. Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors in Child and Adolescent Health, 1990 to 2017. JAMA Pediatrics. 29 April 2019. doi:10.1001/jamapediatrics.2019.0337.
Global Burden of Disease Health Financing Collaborator Network. Past, present, and future of global health financing: a review of development assistance, government, out-of-pocket, and other private spending on health for 195 countries, 1995–2050. The Lancet. 24 April 2019. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(19)30841-4
Haakenstad A, Harle AC, Tsakalos G, Micah AE, Tao T, Anjomshoa M, Cohen J, Fullman N, Hay S, Mestrovic T, Mohammed S, Mousavi SM, Nixon MR, Pigott D, Tran K, Murray CJL, Dieleman JL. Tracking spending on malaria by source in 106 countries, 2000–16: an economic modelling study. The Lancet Infectious Disease. 24 April 2019. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/S1473-3099(19)30165-3
Mosser JF, Gagne-Maynard W, Rao PC, Osgood-Zimmerman A, Fullman N, Graetz N, Burstein R, Updike RL, Liu PY, Ray SE, Earl L, Deshpande A, Casey DC, Dwyer-Lindgren L, Cromwell EA, Pigott DM, Shearer FM, Larson HJ, Weiss DJ, Bhatt S, Gething PW, Murray CJL, Lim SS, Reiner RC, Hay SI. Mapping diphtheria-pertussis-tetanus vaccine coverage in Africa, 2000–2016: a spatial and temporal modelling study. The Lancet. 5 April 2019. doi:10.1016/S0140-6736(19)30226-0.
GBD 2017 Diet Collaborators. Health effects of dietary risks in 195 countries, 1990–2017: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017. The Lancet. 2 April 2019. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(19)30041-8.
Kraemer MUG, Golding N, Bisanzio D, Bhatt S, Pigott DM, Ray SE, Brady OJ, Brownstein JS, Faria NR, Cummings DAT, Pybus OG, Smith DL, Tatem AJ, Hay SI, Reiner RC. Utilizing general human movement models to predict the spread of emerging infectious diseases in resource poor settings. Scientific Reports. 26 March 2019; 9(5151). doi:10.1038/s41598-019-41192-3.
Deribe K, Mbituyumuremyi A, Bosco MJ, Giorgi E, Ruberanziza E, Bayisenge U, Leonard U, Bikorimana JP, Rucogoza A, Turate I, Rusanganwa A, Pigott DM, Pullan RL, Noor AM, Enquselassie F, Condo JU, Murray CJL, Brooker SJ, Hay SI, Newport MJ, Davey G. Geographical distribution and prevalence of podoconiosis in Rwanda: a cross-sectional country-wide survey. The Lancet Global Health. 26 March 2019. doi:10.1016/S2214-109X(19)30072-5.
GBD 2016 Neurology Collaborators. Global, regional, and national burden of neurological disorders, 1990–2016: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016. The Lancet Neurology. 14 March 2019. doi:10.1016/S1474-4422(18)30499-X.
GBD 2016 Stroke Collaborators. Global, regional, and national burden of stroke, 1990–2016: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016. The Lancet Neurology. 11 March 2019. doi:10.1016/S1474-4422(19)30034-1.
Brady OJ, Osgood-Zimmerman A, Kassebaum NJ, Ray SE, de Araújo VEM, da Nóbrega AA, Frutuoso LCV, Lecca RCR, Stevens A, Zoca de Oliveira B, de Lima JM, Bogoch II, Mayaud P, Jaenisch T, Mokdad AH, Murray CJL, Hay SI, Reiner RC, Marinho F. The association between Zika virus infection and microcephaly in Brazil 2015–2017: An observational analysis of over 4 million births. PLoS Medicine. 5 March 2019. doi:10.1371/journal.pmed.1002755.
Kraemer MUG, Reiner RC, Brady OJ, Messina JP, Gilbert M, Pigott DM, Yi D, Johnson K, Earl L, Marczak LB, Shirude S, Weaver ND, Bisanzio D, Perkins TA, Lai S, Lu X, Jones P, Coelho GE, Carvalho RG, Bortel WV, Marsboom C, Hendrickx G, Schaffner F, Moore CG, Nax HH, Bengtsson L, Wetter E, Tatem AJ, Brownstein JS, Smith DL, Lambrechts L, Cauchemez S, Linard C, Faria NR, Pybus OG, Scott TW, Liu Q, Yu H, Wint GRW, Hay SI, Golding N. Past and future spread of the arbovirus vectors Aedes aegypti and Aedes albopictus. Nature Microbiology. 4 March 2019. doi:10.1038/s41564-019-0376-y.
GBD 2016 Brain and Other CNS Cancer Collaborators. Global, regional, and national burden of brain and other CNS cancer, 1990–2016: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016. The Lancet Neurology. 20 Feb 2019. doi:10.1016/S1474-4422(18)30468-X.
GBD 2017 Typhoid and Paratyphoid Collaborators. The global burden of typhoid and paratyphoid fevers: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017. The Lancet Infectious Diseases. 18 Feb 2019. doi:10.1016/ S1473-3099(18)30685-6.
GBD 2016 Epilepsy Collaborators. Global, regional, and national burden of epilepsy, 1990–2016: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016. The Lancet Neurology. 14 Feb 2019. doi:10.1016/S1474-4422(18)30454-X.
Naghavi M., on behalf of the Global Burden of Disease Self-Harm Collaborators. Global, regional, and national burden of suicide mortality 1990 to 2016: systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016. BMJ. 6 Feb 2019; 364:I94. doi:10.1136/bmj.l94.
GBD 2016 Multiple Sclerosis Collaborators. Global, regional, and national burden of multiple sclerosis 1990–2016: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016. The Lancet Neurology. 21 Jan 2019. doi:10.1016/ S1474-4422(18)30443-5.
GBD 2016 Lifetime Risk of Stroke Collaborators. Global, Regional, and Country-Specific Lifetime Risks of Stroke, 1990 and 2016. The New England Journal of Medicine. 19 Dec 2018. doi:10.1056/NEJMoa1804492.
GBD 2017 Influenza Collaborators. Mortality, morbidity, and hospitalisations due to influenza lower respiratory tract infections, 2017: an analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017. The Lancet Respiratory Medicine. 12 Dec 2018. doi:10.1016/S2213-2600(18)30496-X.
GBD 2016 Meningitis Collaborators. Global, regional, and national burden of meningitis, 1990–2016: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016. The Lancet Neurology. 1 Dec 2018;17(12):1061–82. doi:10.1016/S1474-4422(18)30387-9.
GBD Tuberculosis Collaborators. Global, regional, and national burden of tuberculosis, 1990–2016: results from the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors 2016 Study. The Lancet Infectious Diseases. 1 Dec 2018. doi:10.1016/S1473-3099(18)30625-X.
GBD 2016 Dementia Collaborators. Global, regional, and national burden of Alzheimer's disease and other dementias, 1990–2016: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016. The Lancet Neurology. 26 Nov 2018. doi:10.1016/S1474-4422(18)30403-4.
GBD 2016 Traumatic Brain Injury and Spinal Cord Injury Collaborators. Global, regional, and national burden of traumatic brain injury and spinal cord injury, 1990–2016: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016. The Lancet Neurology. 26 Nov 2018. doi:10.1016/S1474-4422(18)30415-0.
GBD 2017 Population and Fertility Collaborators. Population and fertility by age and sex for 195 countries and territories, 1950–2017: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017. The Lancet. 8 Nov 2018;392:1995-2051. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(18)32278-5.
GBD 2017 Mortality Collaborators. Global, regional, and national age-sex-specific mortality and life expectancy, 1950–2017: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017. The Lancet. 8 Nov 2018;392:1684-735. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(18)31891-9.
GBD 2017 Causes of Death Collaborators. Global, regional, and national age-sex-specific mortality for 282 causes of death in 195 countries and territories, 1980–2017: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017. The Lancet. 8 Nov 2018;392:1736-88. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(18)32203-7.
GBD 2017 Disease and Injury Incidence and Prevalence Collaborators. Global, regional, and national incidence, prevalence, and years lived with disability for 354 diseases and injuries for 195 countries and territories, 1990–2017: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017. The Lancet. 8 Nov 2018;392:1789–858. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(18)32279-7.
GBD 2017 DALYs and HALE Collaborators. Global, regional, and national disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) for 359 diseases and injuries and healthy life expectancy (HALE) for 195 countries and territories, 1990–2017: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017. The Lancet. 8 Nov 2018;392:1859–922. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(18)32335-3.
GBD 2017 Risk Factor Collaborators. Global, regional, and national comparative risk assessment of 84 behavioural, environmental and occupational, and metabolic risks or clusters of risks for 195 countries and territories, 1990–2017: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017. The Lancet. 8 Nov 2018;392:1923-94. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(18)32225-6.
GBD 2017 SDG Collaborators. Measuring progress from 1990 to 2017 and projecting attainment to 2030 of the health-related Sustainable Development Goals for 195 countries and territories: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017. The Lancet. 8 Nov 2018; 392:2091–138. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(18)32281-5.
GBD 2016 Motor Neuron Disease Collaborators. Global, regional, and national burden of motor neuron diseases 1990–2016: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016. The Lancet Neurology. 5 Nov 2018. doi:10.1016/S1474-4422(18)30404-6.
GBD 2016 Alcohol and Drug Use Collaborators. The global burden of disease attributable to alcohol and drug use in 195 countries and territories, 1990–2016: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016. The Lancet Psychiatry. 1 Nov 2018. doi:10.1016/S2215-0366(18)30337-7.
Burstein R, Wang H, Reiner RC, Hay SI. Development and validation of a new method for indirect estimation of neonatal, infant, and child mortality trends using summary birth histories. PLOS Medicine. 31 Oct 2018. doi:10.1371/journal.pmed.1002687.
Wiens KE, Woyczynski LP, Ledesma JR, Ross JM, Zenteno-Cuevas R, Goodridge A, Ullah I, Mathema B, Siawaya JFL, Biehl MH, Ray SE, Bhattacharjee NV, Henry NJ, Reiner RC, Kyu HH, Murray CJL, Hay SI. Global variation in bacterial strains that cause tuberculosis disease: a systematic review and meta-analysis. BMC Medicine. 30 Oct 2018;16(1):196. doi:10.1186/s12916-018-1180-x.
Achoki T, Miller-Petrie MK, Glenn SD, Kalra N, Lesego A, Gathecha GK, Alam U, Kiarie HW, Maina IW, Adetifa IMO, Barsosio HC, Degfie TT, Keiyoro PN, Kiirithio DN, Kinfu Y, Kinyoki DK, Kisia JM, Krish VS, Lagat AK, Mooney MD, Moturi WN, Newton CRJ, Ngunjiri JW, Nixon MR, Soti DO, Van De Vijver S, Yonga G, Hay SI, Murray CJL, Naghavi M. Health disparities across the counties of Kenya and implications for policy makers, 1990–2016: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016. The Lancet Global Health. 25 October 2018. doi:10.1016/S2214-109X(18)30472-8.
Steel N, Ford JA, Newton JN, Davis ACJ, Vos T, Naghavi M, Glenn S, Hughes A, Dalton AM, Stockton D, Humphreys C, Dallat M, Schmidt J, Flowers J, Fox S, Abubakar I, Aldridge RW, Baker A, Brayne C, Brugha T, Capewell S, Car J, Cooper C, Ezzati M, Fitzpatrick J, Greaves F, Hay R, Hay S, Kee F, Larson HJ, Lyons RA, Majeed A, McKee M, Rawaf S, Rutter H, Saxena S, Sheikh A, Smeeth L, Viner RM, Vollset SE, Williams HC, Wolfe C, Woolf A, Murray CJLM. Changes in health in the countries of the UK and 150 English Local Authority areas 1990–2016: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016. The Lancet. 24 Oct 2018. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/.
GBD 2016 Headache Collaborators . Global, regional, and national burden of migraine and tension-type headache, 1990–2016: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016. The Lancet Neurology. 1 Nov 2018; 17(11):954-976. doi: 10.1016/S1474-4422(18)30322-3.
GBD 2016 Parkinson's Disease Collaborators. Global, regional, and national burden of Parkinson’s disease, 1990–2016: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016. The Lancet Neurology. 1 October 2018. doi:10.1016/S1474-4422(18)30295-3.
Khalil IA, Troeger C, Blacker BF, Rao PC, Brown A, Atherly DE, Brewer TG, Engmann CM, Houpt ER, Kang G, Kotloff KL, Levine MM, Luby SP, MacLennan CA, Pan WK, Pavlinac PB, Platts-Mills JA, Qadri F, Riddle MS, Ryan ET, Shoultz DA, Steele AD, Walson JL, Sanders JW, Mokdad AH, Murray CJL, Hay SI, Reiner RC. Morbidity and mortality due to shigella and enterotoxigenic Escherichia coli diarrhoea: the Global Burden of Disease Study 1990–2016. The Lancet Infectious Diseases. 25 September 2018. doi:10.1016/S1473-3099(18)30475-4.
Reiner RC, Graetz N, Casey, DC, Troeger C, Garcia GM, Mosser JF, Deshpande A, Swartz SJ, Ray SE, Blacker BF, Rao PC, Osgood-Zimmerman A, Burstein R, Pigott DM, Davis IM, Letourneau ID, Earl L, Ross JM, Khalil IA, Farag TH, Brady OJ, Kraemer MUG, Smith DL, Bhatt S, Weiss DJ, Gething PW, Kassebaum NJ, Mokdad AH, Murray CJL, Hay SI. Variation in childhood diarrheal morbidity and mortality in Africa, 2000–2015. New England Journal of Medicine. 2018 Sept 19.
GBD 2016 Lower Respiratory Infections Collaborators. Estimates of the global, regional, and national morbidity, mortality, and aetiologies of lower respiratory infections in 195 countries, 1990–2016: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016. The Lancet Infectious Diseases. 19 September 2018. doi:10.1016/S1473-3099(18)30407-9.
GBD 2016 Diarrhoeal Disease Collaborators. Estimates of the global, regional, and national morbidity, mortality, and aetiologies of diarrhoea in 195 countries: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016. The Lancet Infectious Diseases. 19 September 2018. doi:10.1016/S1473-3099(18)30424-9.
Ross JM, Henry NJ, Dwyer-Lindgren LA, de Paula Lobo A, Marinho de Souza F, Biehl MH, Ray SE, Reiner RC, Stubbs RW, Wiens KE, Earl L, Kutz MJ, Bhattacharjee NV, Kyu HH, Naghavi M, Hay SI. Progress toward eliminating TB and HIV deaths in Brazil, 2001–2015: a spatial assessment. BMC Medicine. 6 September 2018. doi:10.1186/s12916-018-1131-6.
GBD 2016 Injury Collaborators. Global Mortality From Firearms, 1990-2016. JAMA. 28 Aug 2018; 320(8):792-814. doi:10.1001/jama.2018.10060.
Troeger C, Khalil IA, Rao PC, Cao S, Blacker BF, Ahmed T, Armah G, Bines JE, Brewer TG, Colombara DV, Kang G, Kirkpatrick BD, Kirkwood CD, Mwenda JM, Parashar UD, Petri WA, Riddle MS, Steele AD, Thompson RL, Walson JL, Sanders JW, Mokdad AH, Murray CJL, Hay SI, Reiner, RC. Rotavirus vaccination and the global burden of rotavirus diarrhea among children younger than 5 years. JAMA Pediatrics. 13 Aug 2018. doi:10.1001/jamapediatrics.2018.1960
Browne A, Rao P, Longbottom J, Harriss E, Basnyat B, Baker S, Day N, Hay S, Dolecek C. Antimicrobial drug resistance in Salmonella Typhi and Paratyphi isolates worldwide, 1990 to 2017: A systematic review of the literature. International Journal of Infectious Diseases. 1 August 2018. doi:10.1016/j.ijid.2018.04.3717.
GBD 2016 Greece Collaborators. The burden of disease in Greece, health loss, risk factors, and health financing, 2000–16: an analysis of the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016. The Lancet Public Health. 25 July 2018. doi:10.1016/S2468-2667(18)30130-0.
Longbottom J, Shearer FM, Devine M, Alcoba G, Chappuis F, Weiss DJ, Ray SE, Ray N, Warrell DA, Ruiz de Castañeda R, Williams DJ, Hay SI, Pigott DM. Vulnerability to snakebite envenoming: a global mapping of hotspots. The Lancet. 12 July 2018. doi:10.1016/S0140-6736.
Mboi N, Surbakti IM, Trihandini I, Elyazar I, Smith KH, Ali PB, Kosen S, Flemons K, Ray SE, Cao J, Glenn SD, Miller-Petrie MK, Mooney MD, Ried JL, Ningrum DNA, Idris F, Siregar KN, Harimuti P, Bernstein RS, Pangetsu T, Sidharta Y, Naghavi M, Murray CJL, Hay SI. On the road to universal health care in Indonesia, 1990–2016: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016. The Lancet. 28 June 2018. doi:10.1016/S0140-6736(18)30595-6.
Khalil IA, Troeger C, Rao PC, Blacker BF, Brown A, Brewer TG, Colombara DV, Hostos ELD, Engmann C, Guerrant RL, Haque R, Houpt ER, Kang G, Korpe PS, Kotloff KL, Lima AAM, Petri WA, Platts-Mills JA, Shoultz DA, Forouzanfar MH, Hay SI, Reiner RC, Mokdad AH. Morbidity, mortality, and long-term consequences associated with diarrhoea from Cryptosporidium infection in children younger than 5 years: a meta-analyses study. The Lancet Global Health. 1 Jul 2018. doi:10.1016/S2214-109X(18)30283-3
Hay SI, Rao PC, Dolecek C, Day NPJ, Stergachis A, Lopez AD, Murray CJL. Measuring and mapping the global burden of antimicrobial resistance. BMC Medicine. 4 June 2018. doi:10.1186/s12916-018-1073-z.
Hay SI, Rao PC, Dolecek C, Day NPJ, Stergachis A, Lopez AD, Murray CJL. Measuring and mapping the global burden of antimicrobial resistance. BMC Medicine. 4 Jun 2018; 16:78. doi.org:10.1186/s12916-018-1073-z.
Global Burden of Disease Cancer Collaboration. Global, regional, and national cancer incidence, mortality, years of life lost, years lived with disability, and disability-adjusted life years for 29 cancer groups, 1990 to 2016. JAMA Oncology. 2 June 2018. doi:10.1001/jamaoncol.2018.2706
GBD 2016 Healthcare Access and Quality Collaborators. Measuring performance on the Healthcare Access and Quality Index for 195 countries and territories and selected subnational locations: a systematic analysis from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016. The Lancet. 23 May 2018.
Global Burden of Disease Health Financing Collaborator Network. Trends in future health financing and coverage: future health spending and universal health coverage in 188 countries, 2016–40. The Lancet. 17 Apr 2018.
Global Burden of Disease Health Financing Collaborator Network. Spending on health and HIV/AIDS: domestic health spending and development assistance in 188 countries, 1995–2015. The Lancet. 17 Apr 2018.
US Burden of Disease Collaborators. The State of US Health, 1990-2016: Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Among US States. JAMA. 10 April 2018; 319(14):1-33. doi:10.1001/jama.2018.0158
Osgood-Zimmerman A, Millear AI, Stubbs RW, Shields C, Pickering BV, Earl L, Graetz N, Kinyoki DK, Ray SE, Bhatt S, Browne AJ, Burstein R, Cameron E, Casey DC, Deshpande A, Fullman N, Gething PW, Gibson HS, Henry NJ, Herrero M, Krause LK, Letourneau ID, Levine AJ, Liu PY, Longbottom J, Mayala BK, Mosser JF, Noor AM, Pigott DM, Piwoz EG, Rao P, Rawat R, Reiner RC, Smith DL, Weiss DJ, Wiens KE, Mokdad AH, Lim SS, Murray CJL, Kassebaum NJ, Hay SI. Mapping child growth failure in Africa between 2000 and 2015. Nature. 28 Feb 2018. doi:10.1038/nature25760
Graetz N, Friedman J, Osgood-Zimmerman A, Burstein R, Biehl MH, Shields C, Mosser JF, Casey DC, Deshpande A, Earl L, Reiner RC, Ray SE, Fullman N, Levine AJ, Stubbs RW, Mayala BK, Longbottom J, Browne AJ, Bhatt S, Weiss DJ, Gething PW, Mokdad AH, Lim SS, Murray CJLM, Gakidou E, Hay SI. Mapping local variation in educational attainment across Africa. Nature. 28 Feb 2018. doi:10.1038/nature25761
GBD Tuberculosis Collaborators. The global burden of tuberculosis: results from the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors (GBD) 2015 Study. Lancet Infectious Diseases. 2018; 18(3):261-284. PMCID: PMC5831985
India State-level Disease Burden Initiative Collaborators. Nations within a nation: variations in epidemiological transition across the states of India, 1990–2016 in the Global Burden of Disease Study. The Lancet. 13 Nov 2017. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(17)32804-0
Pigott DM, Deshpande A, Letourneau I, Morozoff C, Reiner Jr RC, Kraemer MUG, Brent SE, Bogoch II, Khan K, Biehl MH, Burstein R, Earl L, Fullman N, Messina JP, Mylne AQN, Moyes CL, Shearer FM, Bhatt S, Brady OJ, Gething PW, Weiss DJ, Tatem AJ, Caley L, De Groeve T, Vernaccini L, Golding N, Horby P, Kuhn JH, Laney SJ, Ng E, Piot P, Sankoh O, Murray CJL, Hay SI. Local, national, and regional viral haemorrhagic fever pandemic potential in Africa: a multistage analysis. The Lancet. 11 Oct 2017.
Global Burden of Disease Liver Cancer Collaboration. The burden of primary liver cancer and underlying etiologies from 1990 to 2015 at the global, regional, and national level. JAMA Oncology. 5 Oct 2017. doi:10.1001/jamaoncol.2017.3055.
Golding N, Burstein R, Longbottom J, Browne AJ, Fullman N, Osgood-Zimmerman A, Earl L, Bhatt S, Cameron E, Casey DC, Dwyer-Lindgren L, Farag TH, Flaxman AD, Fraser MS, Gething PW, Gibson HS, Graetz N, Krause LK, Kulikoff XR, Lim SS, Mappin B, Morozoff C, Reiner RC Jr, Sliger A, Smith DL, Wang H, Weiss DJ, Murray CJL, Moyes CL, Hay SI. Mapping under-5 and neonatal mortality in Africa, 2000–15: a baseline analysis for the Sustainable Development Goals. The Lancet
GBD 2015 Neurological Disorders Collaborator Group. Global, regional, and national burden of neurological disorders during 1990–2015: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2015. The Lancet Neurology. 17 Sept 2017. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/S1474-4422(17)30299-5.
GBD 2016 Mortality Collaborators. Global, regional, and national under-5 mortality, adult mortality, age-specific mortality, and life expectancy, 1970–2016: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016. The Lancet. 14 Sept 2017: 390;1084–1150.
GBD 2016 Causes of Death Collaborators. Global, regional, and national age-sex specific mortality for 264 causes of death, 1980–2016: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016. The Lancet. 14 Sept 2017: 390;1151–210.
GBD 2016 DALYs and HALE Collaborators. Global, regional, and national disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) for 333 diseases and injuries and healthy life expectancy (HALE) for 195 countries and territories, 1990–2016: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016. The Lancet. 14 Sept 2017: 390;1260-344.
GBD 2016 Disease and Injury Incidence and Prevalence Collaborators. Global, regional, and national incidence, prevalence, and years lived with disability for 328 diseases and injuries for 195 countries, 1990–2016: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016. The Lancet. 14 Sept 2017: 390; 1211–59.
GBD 2016 Risk Factors Collaborators. Global, regional, and national comparative risk assessment of 84 behavioural, environmental and occupational, and metabolic risks or clusters of risks, 1990–2016: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016. The Lancet. 14 Sept 2017: 390;1345-1422.
GBD 2016 SDG Collaborators. Measuring progress and projecting attainment on the basis of past trends of the health-related Sustainable Development Goals in 188 countries: an analysis from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016. The Lancet. 12 Sept 2017: 390; 1423–59.
GBD 2015 LRI Collaborators. Estimates of the global, regional, and national morbidity, mortality, and aetiologies of lower respiratory tract infections in 195 countries: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2015. The Lancet Infectious Diseases. 23 Aug 2017. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/S1473-3099(17)30396-1
GBD 2015 Chronic Respiratory Disease Collaborators. Global, regional, and national deaths, prevalence, disability-adjusted life years, and years lived with disability for chronic obstructive pulmonary disease and asthma, 1990–2015: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2015. The Lancet Respiratory Medicine. 16 Aug 2017.
GBD 2015 Eastern Mediterranean Region Collaborators. Maternal mortality and morbidity burden in the Eastern Mediterranean Region: findings from the Global Burden of Disease 2015 study. International Journal of Public Health. 7 Aug 2017.
GBD 2015 Eastern Mediterranean Region Collaborators. The burden of mental disorders in the Eastern Mediterranean region, 1990–2015: findings from the global burden of disease 2015 study. International Journal of Public Health. 7 Aug 2017.
GBD 2015 Eastern Mediterranean Region Collaborators. Transport injuries and deaths in the Eastern Mediterranean Region: findings from the Global Burden of Disease 2015 study. International Journal of Public Health. 7 Aug 2017.
GBD 2015 Eastern Mediterranean Region Collaborators. Neonatal, infant, and under-5 mortality and morbidity burden in the Eastern Mediterranean Region: findings from the Global Burden of Disease 2015 study. International Journal of Public Health. 7 Aug 2017.
GBD 2015 Eastern Mediterranean Region Collaborators. Burden of vision loss in the Eastern Mediterranean region, 1990–2015: findings from the Global Burden of Disease 2015 study. International Journal of Public Health. 7 Aug 2017.
GBD 2015 Eastern Mediterranean Region Collaborators. Danger ahead: the burden of diseases, injuries, and risk factors 3 in the Eastern Mediterranean Region, 1990–2015. International Journal of Public Health. 7 Aug 2017.
GBD 2015 Eastern Mediterranean Region Collaborators. Adolescent health in the Eastern Mediterranean Region: findings from the Global Burden of Disease 2015 study. International Journal of Public Health. 7 Aug 2017.
GBD 2015 Eastern Mediterranean Region Collaborators. Burden of cancer in the Eastern Mediterranean Region, 2005–2015: findings from the Global Burden of Disease 2015 study. International Journal of Public Health. 7 Aug 2017.
GBD 2015 Eastern Mediterranean Region Collaborators. Burden of cardiovascular diseases in the Eastern Mediterranean Region, 1990–2015: findings from the Global Burden of Disease 2015 study. International Journal of Public Health. 7 Aug 2017.
GBD 2015 Eastern Mediterranean Region Collaborators. Diabetes mellitus and chronic kidney disease in the Eastern Mediterranean Region: findings from the Global Burden of Disease 2015 study. International Journal of Public Health. 7 Aug 2017.
GBD 2015 Eastern Mediterranean Region Collaborators. Burden of diarrhea in the Eastern Mediterranean Region, 1990–2015: findings from the Global Burden of Disease 2015 study. International Journal of Public Health. 7 Aug 2017.
GBD 2015 Eastern Mediterranean Region Collaborators. Trends in HIV/AIDS morbidity and mortality in Eastern Mediterannean countries, 1990-2015: findings from the Global Burden of Disease 2015 study. International Journal of Public Health. 7 Aug 2017.
GBD 2015 Eastern Mediterranean Region Collaborators. Intentional injuries in the Eastern Mediterranean Region, 1990–2015: findings from the Global Burden of Disease 2015 study. International Journal of Public Health. 7 Aug 2017.
GBD 2015 Eastern Mediterranean Region Collaborators. Burden of lower respiratory infections in the Eastern Mediterranean Region, 1990–2015: findings from the Global Burden of Disease 2015 study. International Journal of Public Health. 7 Aug 2017.
GBD 2015 Eastern Mediterranean Region Collaborators. Burden of obesity in the Eastern Mediterranean Region: findings from the Global Burden of Disease 2015 study. International Journal of Public Health. 7 Aug 2017.
The GBD 2015 Obesity Collaborators. Health effects of overweight and obesity in 195 countries over 25 years. New England Journal of Medicine. 12 Jun 2017. DOI: 10.1056/NEJMoa1614362
GBD Diarrheal Diseases Collaborators. Estimates of global, regional, and national morbidity, mortality, and aetiologies of diarrheal diseases: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2015. The Lancet Infectious Diseases. 2017 Jun 1. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/PII
GBD 2015 Healthcare Access and Quality Collaborators. Healthcare Access and Quality Index based on mortality from causes amenable to personal healthcare in 195 countries and territories, 1990–2015: a novel analysis from the Global Burden of Disease 2015 study. The Lancet. 2017 May 18.
Global, regional, and national burden of cardiovascular diseases for 10 causes, 1990 to 2015. Journal of the American College of Cardiology. 17 May 2017. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jacc.2017.04.052.
Global Burden of Disease Health Financing Collaborator Network. Future and potential spending on health 2015–2040: development assistance for health, and government, prepaid private, and out-of-pocket health spending in 184 countries. The Lancet. 19 April 2017. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(17)30873-5
Global Burden of Disease Health Financing Collaborator Network. Evolution and patterns of global health financing 1995–2014: development assistance for health, and government, prepaid private, and out-of-pocket health spending in 184 countries. The Lancet. 19 April 2017. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(17)30874-7
GBD 2015 Tobacco Collaborators. Smoking prevalence and attributable disease burden in 195 countries and territories, 1990–2015: a systematic analysis from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2015. The Lancet. 2017 April 7;14:48. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(17)30819-X
The Global Burden of Disease Child and Adolescent Health Collaboration. Child and adolescent health from 1990 to 2015: Findings from the Global Burden of Disease, Injuries, and Risk Factors 2015 Study. JAMA Pediatrics. 2017;171(6):1-21. doi:10.1001/jamapediatrics.2017.0250.
Gething PW, Casey DC, Weiss DJ, Bisanzio D, Bhatt S, Cameron E, Battle KE, Dalrymple U, Rozier J, Rao PC, Kutz MJ, Barber RM, Huynh C, Shackelford KA, Coates MM, Nguyen G, Fraser MS, Kulikoff R, Wang H, Naghavi M, Smith DL, Murray CJL, Hay SI, Lim SS. Mapping Plasmodium falciparum Mortality in Africa between 1990 and 2015. The New England Journal of Medicine. 2016 Oct 10. DOI: 10.1056/NEJMoa1606701
GBD 2015 Maternal Mortality Collaborators. Global, regional, and national levels of maternal mortality, 1990–2015: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2015. The Lancet. 2016 Oct 7; 388:1775–1812.
GBD 2015 Mortality and Causes of Death Collaborators. Global, regional, and national life expectancy, all-cause mortality, and cause-specific mortality for 249 causes of death, 1980–2015: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2015. The Lancet. 2016 Oct 7; 388:1459–1544.
GBD 2015 Child Mortality Collaborators. Global, regional, national, and selected subnational levels of stillbirths, neonatal, infant, and under-5 mortality, 1980–2015: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2015. The Lancet. 2016 Oct 7; 388:1725–1774.
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*Authors listed alphabetically
†Corresponding author
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Kraemer MUG, Perkins TA, Cummings DAT, Zakar R, Hay SI, Smith DL, Reiner RC. Big city, small world: Density, contact rates, and transmission of dengue across Pakistan. bioRxiv. 2015 Apr 27;018481. doi: 10.1101/018481.
Messina JP, Pigott DM, Duda KA, Brownstein JS, Myers MF, George DB, Hay SI. A global compendium of human Crimean-Congo haemorrhagic fever virus occurrence. Scientific Data. 2015 Apr 14. doi:10.1038/sdata.2015.16.
Pigott DM, Golding N, Mylne A, Huang Z, Weiss DJ, Brady OJ, Kraemer MU, Hay SI. Mapping the zoonotic niche of Marburg virus disease in Africa. Transactions of the Royal Society of Tropical Medicine & Hygiene. 2015 Jun; 109(6):336–378. doi: 10.1093/trstmh/trv024.
Messina JP, Brady OJ, Pigott DM, Golding N, Kraemer MUG, Scott TW, Wint GRW, Smith DL, Hay SI. The many projected futures of dengue. Nature Reviews Microbiology. 2015 March 2; 13:230-239. doi:10.1038/nrmicro3430.
Messina JP, Brady OJ, Pigott DM, Golding N, Kraemer MUG, Scott TW, Wint GRW, Smith DL, Hay SI. The many projected futures of dengue. Nature Reviews Microbiology. 2015 Mar 2; 13:230–9. doi:10.1038/nrmicro3430.
Brady OJ, Godfray HCJ, Tatem AJ, Gething PW, Cohen JM, McKenzie FE, Alex Perkins T, Reiner RC, Tusting LS, Scott TW, Lindsay SW, Hay SI, Smith DL. Adult vector control, mosquito ecology and malaria transmission. International Health. 2015 Mar; 7(2): 121–9. doi: 10.1093/inthealth/ihv010.
Hollm-Delgado MG, Piel FB, Weiss DJ, Howes RE, Stuart EA, Hay SI, Black RE. Vitamin A supplements, routine immunization, and the subsequent risk of Plasmodium infection among children under 5 years in sub-Saharan Africa. eLife Sciences. 2015 Feb 3; 4:e03925. doi: 10.7554/eLife.03925#sthash.RdUb7iGI.dpuf.
Bogoch II, Creatore MI, Cetron MS, Brownstein JS, Pesik N, Miniota J, Tam T, Hu W, Nicolucci A, Ahmed S, Yoon JW, Berry I, Hay SI, Anema A, Tatem AJ, MacFadden D, German M, Khan K. Assessment of the potential for international dissemination of Ebola virus via commercial air travel during the 2014 West African outbreak. The Lancet. 2015 Jan 3; 385(9962):29-35. doi:10.1016/S0140-6736(14)61828-6.
Mylne A, Brady OJ, Huang Z, Pigott DM, Golding N, Kraemer MUG, Hay SI. A comprehensive database of the geographic spread of past human Ebola outbreaks. Scientific Data. 2014 Oct 23; 1:140042. doi: 10.1038/sdata.2014.42.
Pigott DM, Golding N, Mylne A, Huang Z, Henry AJ, Weiss DJ, Brady OJ, Kraemer MUG, Smith DL, Moyes CL, Bhatt S, Gething PW, Horby PW, Bogoch II, Brownstein JS, Mekaru SR, Tatem AJ, Khan K, Hay SI. Mapping the zoonotic niche of Ebola virus disease in Africa. eLife. 2014 Sep 8; 3:e04395. doi: 10.7554/eLife.04395.
Pigott DM, Bhatt S, Golding N, Duda KA, Battle KE, Brady OJ, Messina JP, Balard Y, Bastien P, Pratlong F, Brownstein JS, Freifeld CC, Mekaru SR, Gething PW, George DB, Myers MF, Reithinger R, Hay SI. Global distribution maps of the leishmaniases. eLife. 2014 Jun 27; 1:140042. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.7554/eLife.02851.
Messina JP, Brady OJ, Scott TW, Zou C, Pigott DM, Duda KA, Bhatt S, Katzelnick L, Howes RE, Battle KE, Simmons CP, Hay SI. Global spread of dengue virus types: mapping the 70-year history. Trends in Microbiology. 2014 March; 22(3):138-146. doi:10.1016/j.tim.2013.12.011.
Smith DL, Cohen JM, Chiyaka C, Johnston G, Gething PW, Gosling R, Buckee CO, Laxminarayan R, Hay SI, Tatem AJ. A sticky situation: the unexpected stability of malaria elimination. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences. 5 Aug 2013; 368(1623): 20120145. doi:10.1098/rstb.2012.0145.
Bhatt S, Gething PW, Brady OJ, Messina JP, Farlow AW, Moyes CL, Drake JM, Brownstein JS, Hoen AG, Sankoh O, Myers MF, George DB, Jaenisch T, Wint GRW, Simmons CP, Scott TW, Farrar JJ, Hay SI. The global distribution and burden of dengue. Nature. 2013 April 25; 496:504-507. doi:10.1038/nature12060.
Hay SI, George DB, Moyes CL, Brownstein JS. Big data opportunities for global infectious disease surveillance. PLoS Medicine. 2013 April 2; 10(4). doi:10.1371/journal.pmed.1001413.
Chiyaka C, Tatem AJ, Cohen JM, Gething PW, Johnston G, Gosling R, Laxminarayan R, Hay SI, Smith DL. The Stability of Malaria Elimination. Science. 22 Feb 2013; 339(6122): 909–10. doi:10.1126/science.1229509
Hay SI, Battle KE, Pigott DM, Smith DL, Moyes CL, Bhatt S, Brownstein JS, Collier N, Myers MF, George DB, Gething PW. Global mapping of infectious disease. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B. 2013 Feb 4; 368(1614). doi:10.1098/rstb.2012.0250.
The malERA Consultative Group on Modeling. A Research Agenda for Malaria Eradication: Modeling. PLoS Med. 25 Jan 2011; 8(1):e1000403. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pmed.1000403
March 6, 2018
September 29, 2017
The Lancet Infectious Diseases
The Lancet Infectious Diseases profiles IHME Director of Geospatial Science Dr. Simon Hays.
