The projections were last updated at 5:00 p.m. Pacific, January 21, 2022. This page contains summaries of the results for 230+ locations, special analyses, explanations of the methods, and other tools to help understand our COVID-19 projections.
For information on reported vs. total deaths in our projections, please see our special analysis.
To project future COVID-19 trends, IHME uses the available data on vaccine efficacy, summarized here.
Read summaries of the latest results for 230+ locations, including WHO regions, national, and subnational locations.
IHME director and lead modeler Dr. Christopher J.L. Murray shares insights from our latest COVID-19 model run.
Cases of major depressive disorder and anxiety disorders increased by more than a quarter worldwide in 2020 due to the COVID-19 pandemic, according to the first global estimates of impacts of the pandemic on mental health, published in The Lancet.
Our updated modeling strategy now estimates total COVID-19 mortality, including unreported deaths due to COVID-19.
Our updated modeling strategy now includes the Omicron variant and factors in waning natural and vaccine-derived immunity.