The projections were last updated at 3:30 p.m. Pacific, May 6, 2022. As the pandemic continues to recede, IHME will update its COVID-19 models and forecasts at the beginning of each month. In the meantime, our researchers will keep track of any developments that might require more frequent updates. To be alerted of new COVID-19 insights, subscribe to our newsletter.
This page contains summaries of the results for 230+ locations, special analyses, explanations of the methods, and other tools to help understand our COVID-19 projections.
For information on reported vs. total deaths in our projections, please see our special analysis.
Low levels of government and social trust, as well as higher levels of government corruption, are strongly correlated to higher COVID-19 infection rates around the world, according to a new peer-reviewed study published today in The Lancet.