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COVID-19 resources

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COVID-19 estimate downloads


The projections were last updated at 2:00 p.m. Pacific, December 16, 2022.

After December 16, 2022, IHME will pause its COVID-19 modeling for the foreseeable future. Past estimates and COVID-related resources will remain publicly available via healthdata.org/covid. 

Download the most recent estimates at the links below:

  • Data dictionary
  • Data release information sheet
  • Checksum (sha-256)
  • Data sources
Reference scenario
  • Reference scenario 2020
  • Reference scenario 2021
  • Reference scenario 2022
  • Reference scenario 2023
80% mask use scenario
  • 80% mask use scenario 2020
  • 80% mask use scenario 2021
  • 80% mask use scenario 2022
  • 80% mask use scenario 2023
Antiviral access scenario
  • Antiviral access scenario 2020
  • Antiviral access scenario 2021
  • Antiviral access scenario 2022
  • Antiviral access scenario 2023

Please contact us with any questions or concerns.

View past estimates here.


COVID-19 resources

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  • Home
  • Research and analysis
    • Global Burden of Disease (GBD)
    • Health policy and planning
    • Health by location
    • Health risks and issues
    • Diseases and injuries
    • Training on our research
    • Research and news library
  • Data tools and practices
    • Interactive data visuals
    • Data sources
    • How we collect data
    • Data practices
    • Verbal autopsy tool
    • Training on tools
    • Data for the private sector
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    • News media
    • Blogs
    • Events
    • Media contacts
  • About us
    • Vision and mission
    • Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion
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    • Careers
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