*Please be advised* 

If you plan to attend Bill Gates’ keynote speech tomorrow, you must be seated in the auditorium at McCaw Hall by 8:55am tomorrow morning. The auditorium doors will close at exactly 9:00am and no one will be permitted to enter after that time._ These are part of the security procedures for Mr. Gates.

We encourage you to allow plenty of time in the morning to find McCaw Hall, check in at the registration desk (if you did not check-in today), and make your way to the auditorium. We expect lines at the registration desk so please arrive early. Registration will open at 7:45am. 

Join us for an event celebrating the 20th anniversary of the Global Burden of Disease study, September 25–27, 2017, in Seattle. The GBD is the world’s largest systematic, scientific effort to quantify the magnitude of health loss from all major diseases, injuries, and risk factors by age, sex, and population. With 2,303 collaborators in 130 countries and territories, the study examines 332 diseases and injuries and 84 risk factors. The GBD has helped transform health care policy in numerous countries, and has greatly influenced research, policy, and education.

The event is co-hosted by the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) at the University of Washington and The Lancet. This event is primarily organized into a series of plenary and panel sessions, with the exception of one full day of training on September 25 and a special event on September 27 with Bill Gates, Co-Chairman of the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation, and Dr. Jim Yong Kim, President of the World Bank. Mr. Gates and Dr. Kim will be delivering keynote addresses between 9 am and 12:30 pm on Wednesday, September 27, at McCaw Hall in Seattle. Admission is free, though seating capacity is limited. To register for the keynote addresses, visit: 

Recordings Agenda

Webcast recordings

Click here to view all recordings from they symposium. Dr. Jim Kim's Keynote will be available October 6.

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Explore GBD estimates with the GBD Compare data visualization tool


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9-10AM  History and Evolution: Main Themes of the GBD

Historical perspective on where the GBD has progressed since its inception

Presenter: Alan Lopez, University of Melbourne

Moderator: Jeremy Smith, Author


  • Trevor Mundel, Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation
  • Emmanuela Gakidou, IHME, University of Washington
  • Richard Horton, The Lancet

10-11:15AM  Epidemiological Transition and Progress Toward Improving Health

Examining trends in the epidemiological transition and what they mean for accelerating progress toward better health

Presenter: Theo Vos, IHME, University of Washington

Moderator: Rafael Lozano, IHME, University of Washington


  • Thomas Bollyky, Council on Foreign Relations
  • Isabella Maina, Kenya Ministry of Health
  • Yohannes Kinfu, University of Canberra

11:15-11:45AM  BREAK, Lobby

11:45AM-1PM  Emerging Challenges as Seen Through the GBD

Key drivers and indicators on risks and challenges for the future

Presenter: Stephen Lim, IHME, University of Washington

Moderator: George Mensah, US National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute


  • Ritu Sadana, World Health Organization
  • Louisa Degenhardt, University of New South Wales
  • Stein Emil Vollset, Norwegian Institute of Public Health 
  • Mohsen Naghavi, IHME, University of Washington                  

1-2:30PM  LUNCH

On your own. Please refer to map in the program for directions to the Seattle Center Armory, where several restaurants are located.

2:30-3:45PM  Comparative Risk Assessment

Highlighting the risk factors we can address to improve health

Presenter: Ashkan Afshin, IHME, University of Washington

Moderator: David Blazes, Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation


  • Salim Yusuf, McMaster University
  • Michael Brauer, The University of British Columbia
  • Marissa Reitsma, IHME, University of Washington
  • Claudia Stein, World Health Organization       

3:45-4:15PM                       Expanding the GBD to Include Planetary Health

Introduction: Ellen Goldberg, IHME, University of Washington

Presenter: Richard Horton, The Lancet

4:15-6PM  Poster Session and Reception, Lobby

Theme: What is the next great breakthrough paper on the GBD? 


Morning theme: Value and Power of the GBD

9-10AM  Keynote: Bill Gates, Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation

Introduction: Ana Mari Cauce, University of Washington

Moderator: Julio Frenk, University of Miami


10:15-11:15AM  Keynote: Jim Kim, World Bank

Introduction: Christopher Murray, IHME, University of Washington

Moderator: Julio Frenk, University of Miami

11:15-11:30AM  TRANSITION

11:30AM-12:30PM  Panel Discussion

Moderator: Jane Halton, University of Sydney and Canberra, ANZ Bank


  • Julio Frenk, University of Miami
  • Paul Romer, World Bank
  • Peter Piot, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine
  • Kim Longfield, Consultant, formerly of Population Services International

12:30-2PM  LUNCH

On your own. Please refer to map in the program for directions to the Seattle Center Armory, where several restaurants are located.

2-3:30PM  The Impact and Relevance of Localizing Disease Burden

Key collaborators in countries with subnational estimates share insights

Presenter: Duncan Selbie, Public Health England

Moderator: J.V.R. Prasada Rao, UNAIDS


  • Xiaofeng Liang, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention
  • Maria de Fatima Marinho de Souza, Ministry of Health, Brazil
  • Jeffrey Duchin, Public Health – Seattle & King County
  • Laura Dwyer-Lindgren, IHME, University of Washington

3:30-4PM  BREAK, Lobby

4-5:15PM  The Next 20 Years of the GBD

Analysis of both scientific advancements and policy impact

Assessing the “big picture” of health in both pessimistic and optimistic scenarios

Presenter: Christopher Murray, IHME, University of Washington

Moderator: Trevor Sutton, GBD Independent Advisory Council, Python Hill Advisers


  • Natasha Azzopardi-Muscat, European Public Health Association, Islands & Small States Institute at the University of Malta
  • Joshua Salomon, Stanford University
  • Ed Whiting, Wellcome Trust

5:15-5:30PM  Closing Remarks

Christopher Murray, IHME, University of Washington

Join the conversation with #GBD20th