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GBD Publications


model performance for step 1 and step 2
July 14, 2021
Estimating global and regional disruptions to routine childhood vaccine coverage during the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020: a modelling study
Research Article
The COVID-19 pandemic and efforts to reduce SARS-CoV-2 transmission substantially affected health services worldwide. To better understand the impact of the pandemic on childhood routine immunisation, we estimated disruptions in vaccine coverage associated with the pandemic in 2020, globally and by Global Burden of Disease (GBD) super-region.
figure showing relationships between national DTP3 coverage and SDI
July 12, 2021
Measuring routine childhood vaccination coverage in 204 countries and territories, 1980–2019: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2020, Release 1
Research Article
Drawing from the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2020, Release 1, we did a systematic analysis of global, regional, and national vaccine coverage trends using a statistical framework, by vaccine and over time.
HAQ Index for US states
June 28, 2021
Variation in Health Care Access and Quality Among US States and High-Income Countries With Universal Health Insurance Coverage
Research Article
Does personal health care access and quality vary across ages among high-income countries and US states, and does any observed variation associate with insurance coverage?
Chart of percent change in mean incidence rate in 2000 versus 2015
June 5, 2021
Incidence of HIV in Sub-Saharan Africa, 2000–2015: The Interplay Between Social Determinants and Behavioral Risk Factors
Research Article
HIV incidence in sub-Saharan Africa declined substantially between 2000 and 2015. In this analysis, we consider the relative associations of nine structural and individual determinants with this decline.
 Chart from article showing rates of smoking tobacco for males and females by GBD super-region
May 27, 2021
Spatial, temporal, and demographic patterns in prevalence of smoking tobacco use and initiation among young people in 204 countries and territories, 1990–2019
Research Article
The study models two indicators: prevalence of current smoking tobacco use among young adults aged 15-24 years, and the age at which current smokers aged 20-54 years in 2019 began smoking regularly.
May 27, 2021
Spatial, temporal, and demographic patterns in prevalence of chewing tobacco use in 204 countries and territories, 1990–2019: a systematic analysis from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019
Research Article
We estimated prevalence of chewing tobacco use with a modelling strategy that used information on multiple types of smokeless tobacco products.
May 27, 2021
Spatial, temporal, and demographic patterns in prevalence of smoking tobacco use and attributable disease burden in 204 countries and territories, 1990–2019: a systematic analysis from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019
Research Article
We estimated the prevalence of smoking tobacco use and attributable disease burden for 204 countries and territories, by age and sex, from 1990 to 2019.
May 13, 2021
Prevalence of Visual Acuity Loss or Blindness in the US
Research Article
Per this study, uncorrectable visual acuity loss and blindness are even larger drivers of health burden in the US than was previously known.
map of southern africa
May 7, 2021
Changes in body mass index, obesity, and overweight in Southern Africa development countries, 1990 to 2019: Findings from the Global Burden of Disease, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study
Research Article
An epidemiological analysis of the prevalence of high BMI, stroke, IHD, and T2DM was conducted for 16 Southern Africa Development Community (SADC) using Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors (GBD) Study data.
March 11, 2021
Hearing loss prevalence and years lived with disability, 1990–2019: findings from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019
Research Article
Hearing loss has adverse effects on cognition, language development, and social well-being. We present updated estimates from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) study on the prevalence of hearing loss in 2019, as well as its associated disability. 
March 8, 2021
Mapping Yearly Fine Resolution Global Surface Ozone through the Bayesian Maximum Entropy Data Fusion of Observations and Model Output for 1990–2017
Research Article
Estimates of ground-level ozone concentrations are necessary to determine the human health burden of ozone. To support the Global Burden of Disease Study, we produce yearly fine resolution global surface ozone estimates from 1990 to 2017 through a data fusion of observations and models. 
 Trend of estimated quality of care index (QCI) in five different socio‐demographic index (SDI) quintiles in comparison to global trend and in different age categories. B. Trend of estimated gender disparity ratio (GDR) in five SDI quintiles in comparison to global trend and in different age categories.
March 5, 2021
Global, regional, and national burden and quality of care index (QCI) of thyroid cancer: A systematic analysis of the Global Burden of Disease Study 1990–2017
Research Article
Over the past decades, TC incidence rates have been increasing. TC quality of care (QOC) has yet to be well understood. We aimed to assess the quality of TC care and its disparities.
Global prevalence by eating disorder diagnosis, sex, and age in 2019
March 3, 2021
The hidden burden of eating disorders: an extension of estimates from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019
Research Article
Anorexia nervosa and bulimia nervosa are the only eating disorders included in the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2019, yet binge-eating disorder and other specified feeding or eating disorder (OSFED) are more prevalent. 
Estimated Hib/pneumococcal meningitis mortality and incidence amongst children aged 1–59 months according to model in relation to the proportion of children unimmunised with Hib vaccine and pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV) over time.
February 13, 2021
The Global Burden of Meningitis in Children: Challenges with Interpreting Global Health Estimates
Research Article
Three major global health models estimating meningitis mortality as a syndrome and/or by causative pathogen were identified and compared for the baseline year 2015. 
December 21, 2020
The health and economic impact of air pollution in the states of India: the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019
Research Article
The association of air pollution with multiple adverse health outcomes is becoming well established, but its negative economic impact is less well appreciated. It is important to elucidate this impact for the states of India.
December 16, 2020
National burden of cancer in Italy, 1990–2017: a systematic analysis for the global burden of disease study 2017
Research Article
We monitored the burden of cancer in Italy and its trends over the last three decades, providing estimates of cancer incidence, mortality, years of life lost, years lived with disability, and disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs), for cancer overall and 30 cancer sites using data from the Global Burden of Disease study 2017.
December 9, 2020
Global Burden of Cardiovascular Diseases and Risk Factors, 1990–2019
Research Article
This paper reviews the magnitude of total CVD burden, including 13 underlying causes of cardiovascular death and 9 related risk factors, using estimates from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) Study 2019. 
December 8, 2020
Prevalence and causes of vision loss in China from 1990 to 2019: findings from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019
Research Article
This study aimed to assess the prevalence, causes, and regional distribution of vision impairment and blindness in China in 1990 and 2019.
December 4, 2020
Global prevalence of traumatic non-fatal limb amputation
Research Article
Global burden of disease estimates can provide valuable insight into amputation prevalence due to traumatic causes and global prosthetists needed to treat traumatic amputations.
December 1, 2020
Trends in prevalence of blindness and distance and near vision impairment over 30 years: an analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study
Research Article
We aimed to extensively update estimates of global vision loss burden, presenting estimates for 2020, temporal change over three decades between 1990–2020, and forecasts for 2050.

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