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GBD Publications


chart of mortality due to police violence by state
September 30, 2021
Fatal police violence by race and state in the USA, 1980-2019: a network meta-regression
Research Article
This study examines the presence and extent of under-reporting of police violence in US Government-run vital registration data, offers a method for correcting under-reporting in these datasets, and presents revised estimates of deaths due to police violence in the USA.
chart of annual average ambient particulate matter concentration, 2019
September 28, 2021
Ambient and household PM2.5 pollution and adverse perinatal outcomes: A meta- regression and analysis of attributable global burden for 204 countries and territories
Research Article
We estimated the global burden of low birth weight (LBW) and preterm birth (PTB) and impacts on reduced birth weight and gestational age (GA), attributable to ambient and household PM2.5 pollution in 2019.
chart of HIV incidence-to-mortality ratio
September 27, 2021
Global, regional, and national sex-specific burden and control of the HIV epidemic, 1990–2019, for 204 countries and territories: the Global Burden of Diseases Study 2019
Research Article
This study assesses the current sex-specific HIV burden in 204 countries and territories and measures progress in the control of the epidemic.
September 23, 2021
Global, regional, and national sex differences in the global burden of tuberculosis by HIV status, 1990–2019: results from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019
Research Article
We aimed to assess the levels and trends of the global burden of tuberculosis, with an emphasis on investigating differences in sex by HIV status for 204 countries and territories from 1990 to 2019.
Chart of the distribution of the top ten contributors to redistributed and misclassified HIV deaths over time for all ages and sexes combined in included countries
September 21, 2021
Accounting for misclassified and unknown cause of death data in vital registration systems for estimating trends in HIV mortality
Research Article
 In this study, we describe the methods developed by the Global Burden of Disease Study to account for the misclassified cause of death data from vital registration systems for estimating HIV mortality in 132 countries and territories.
September 3, 2021
Global, regional, and national burden of stroke and its risk factors, 1990–2019: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019
Research Article
Regularly updated data on stroke and its pathological types, including data on their incidence, prevalence, mortality, disability, risk factors, and epidemiological trends, are important for evidence-based stroke care planning and resource allocation. The Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) aims to provide a standardised and comprehensive measurement of these metrics at global, regional, and national levels.
age-standardised YLDs due to bone fractures by sex
August 19, 2021
Global, regional, and national burden of bone fractures in 204 countries and territories, 1990–2019: a systematic analysis from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019
Research Article
We aimed to measure the global, regional, and national incidence, prevalence, and years lived with disability (YLDs) of fractures from 1990 to 2019.
August 19, 2021
Estimating the cause-specific relative risks of non-optimal temperature on daily mortality: a two-part modelling approach applied to the Global Burden of Disease Study
Research Article
We aimed to estimate the global and regional burden due to non-optimal temperature exposure.
August 17, 2021
Global, regional, and national progress towards Sustainable Development Goal 3.2 for neonatal and child health: all-cause and cause-specific mortality findings from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019
Research Article
To understand current rates, recent trends, and potential trajectories of child mortality for the next decade, we present the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2019 findings for all-cause mortality and cause-specific mortality in children younger than 5 years of age, with multiple scenarios for child mortality in 2030 that include the consideration of potential effects of COVID-19, and a novel framework for quantifying optimal child survival.
Trends in rates of tracheal, bronchus, and lung cancers
August 16, 2021
Global, regional, and national burden of respiratory tract cancers and associated risk factors from 1990 to 2019: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019
Research Article
We aimed to provide global, regional, and national estimates of the burden of tracheal, bronchus, and lung cancer and larynx cancer and their attributable risks from 1990 to 2019.
model performance for step 1 and step 2
July 14, 2021
Estimating global and regional disruptions to routine childhood vaccine coverage during the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020: a modelling study
Research Article
The COVID-19 pandemic and efforts to reduce SARS-CoV-2 transmission substantially affected health services worldwide. To better understand the impact of the pandemic on childhood routine immunisation, we estimated disruptions in vaccine coverage associated with the pandemic in 2020, globally and by Global Burden of Disease (GBD) super-region.
figure showing relationships between national DTP3 coverage and SDI
July 12, 2021
Measuring routine childhood vaccination coverage in 204 countries and territories, 1980–2019: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2020, Release 1
Research Article
Drawing from the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2020, Release 1, we did a systematic analysis of global, regional, and national vaccine coverage trends using a statistical framework, by vaccine and over time.
HAQ Index for US states
June 28, 2021
Variation in Health Care Access and Quality Among US States and High-Income Countries With Universal Health Insurance Coverage
Research Article
Does personal health care access and quality vary across ages among high-income countries and US states, and does any observed variation associate with insurance coverage?
Chart of percent change in mean incidence rate in 2000 versus 2015
June 5, 2021
Incidence of HIV in Sub-Saharan Africa, 2000–2015: The Interplay Between Social Determinants and Behavioral Risk Factors
Research Article
HIV incidence in sub-Saharan Africa declined substantially between 2000 and 2015. In this analysis, we consider the relative associations of nine structural and individual determinants with this decline.
 Chart from article showing rates of smoking tobacco for males and females by GBD super-region
May 27, 2021
Spatial, temporal, and demographic patterns in prevalence of smoking tobacco use and initiation among young people in 204 countries and territories, 1990–2019
Research Article
The study models two indicators: prevalence of current smoking tobacco use among young adults aged 15-24 years, and the age at which current smokers aged 20-54 years in 2019 began smoking regularly.
May 27, 2021
Spatial, temporal, and demographic patterns in prevalence of chewing tobacco use in 204 countries and territories, 1990–2019: a systematic analysis from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019
Research Article
We estimated prevalence of chewing tobacco use with a modelling strategy that used information on multiple types of smokeless tobacco products.
May 27, 2021
Spatial, temporal, and demographic patterns in prevalence of smoking tobacco use and attributable disease burden in 204 countries and territories, 1990–2019: a systematic analysis from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019
Research Article
We estimated the prevalence of smoking tobacco use and attributable disease burden for 204 countries and territories, by age and sex, from 1990 to 2019.
May 13, 2021
Prevalence of Visual Acuity Loss or Blindness in the US
Research Article
Per this study, uncorrectable visual acuity loss and blindness are even larger drivers of health burden in the US than was previously known.
map of southern africa
May 7, 2021
Changes in body mass index, obesity, and overweight in Southern Africa development countries, 1990 to 2019: Findings from the Global Burden of Disease, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study
Research Article
An epidemiological analysis of the prevalence of high BMI, stroke, IHD, and T2DM was conducted for 16 Southern Africa Development Community (SADC) using Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors (GBD) Study data.
March 11, 2021
Hearing loss prevalence and years lived with disability, 1990–2019: findings from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019
Research Article
Hearing loss has adverse effects on cognition, language development, and social well-being. We present updated estimates from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) study on the prevalence of hearing loss in 2019, as well as its associated disability. 

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