Summary Conflict and terrorism was responsible for 63 000 deaths (95% UI 57 200–69 300) in 2019. Of these deaths, 47 500 (43 100–52 300) occurred in locations with low SDIs and 34 (31–37) occurred in locations with high SDIs.

Definition Conflict is armed violence between states, governments, and societies with destruction, mortality, and use of military forces. Terrorism is the unlawful or threatened use of force or violence against individuals to achieve political, religious, or ideological objectives.

Total sources
Incidence 0
Prevalence 0
Remission 0
Causes of death 6894
Other 0
Table 1: Total sources used in GBD 2019 estimation
What is new in GBD 2019?
  • •The Armed Conflict Location & Event Data Project (ACLED) and Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP) were updated to include new estimates for recent years.
  • •Location mapping was improved by implementing a hierarchy, with the most trusted method for mapping raw data to GBD locations implemented first and all other methods following in succession, ensuring the results retained the most accurate information from each hierarchy level. The location mapping hierarchy utilised string matching, GPS coordinates, and feedback from collaborators.
  • •Events spanning multiple years were split using rates informed by the number of months covered in each year.
  • •Collaborators provided updates to key fatal discontinuity events that improved accuracy of estimates.
Prevalence
Incidence
Deaths
YLLs
YLDs
DALYs
Cases
(millions)
Rate (per 100 000)
Cases
(millions)
Rate (per 100 000)
Deaths
(millions)
Rate (per 100 000)
YLLs
(millions)
Rate (per 100 000)
YLDs
(millions)
Rate (per 100 000)
DALYs
(millions)
Rate (per 100 000)
2019
Both Sexes
63·9
(38·6
to 101)
794·2
(480·7
to 1250·2)
9·80
(8·16
to 11·6)
133·2
(110·8
to 157·2)
0·0630
(0·0572
to 0·0693)
0·8
(0·8
to 0·9)
3·56
(3·23
to 3·91)
48·4
(44·0
to 53·3)
2·71
(1·68
to 4·45)
33·8
(20·9
to 55·2)
6·26
(4·99
to 8·22)
82·2
(66·0
to 106·8)
Females
23·9
(13·4
to 40·5)
604·4
(342·3
to 1023·6)
3·86
(3·22
to 4·56)
108·8
(90·1
to 128·8)
0·0247
(0·0224
to 0·0272)
0·7
(0·6
to 0·7)
1·38
(1·25
to 1·52)
39·0
(35·4
to 42·9)
1·06
(0·600
to 1·81)
26·9
(15·3
to 46·0)
2·44
(1·90
to 3·31)
66·0
(51·8
to 88·4)
Males
40·1
(24·6
to 61·4)
988·7
(609·6
to 1513·2)
5·94
(4·91
to 7·01)
157·7
(130·7
to 186·2)
0·0383
(0·0348
to 0·0421)
1·0
(0·9
to 1·1)
2·17
(1·97
to 2·39)
57·7
(52·4
to 63·5)
1·65
(1·06
to 2·60)
40·8
(26·1
to 64·1)
3·82
(3·09
to 5·00)
98·6
(80·3
to 127·5)
Percentage change 2010-19
Both Sexes
21·3%
(13·9
to 27·1)
8·3%
(1·2
to 13·8)
–10·4%
(–13·4
to –6·6)
–14·0%
(–16·7
to –10·5)
15·6%
(14·6
to 16·4)
8·3%
(7·4
to 9·1)
3·9%
(2·9
to 4·6)
0·5%
(–0·4
to 1·2)
11·8%
(2·4
to 20·3)
0·7%
(–8·2
to 8·7)
7·2%
(3·5
to 9·9)
0·6%
(–3·5
to 3·1)
Females
21·7%
(13·7
to 28·0)
10·0%
(1·9
to 16·0)
4·9%
(0·6
to 9·7)
–1·1%
(–4·8
to 3·2)
48·9%
(47·5
to 50·0)
34·5%
(33·2
to 35·4)
26·1%
(24·9
to 27·0)
19·9%
(18·8
to 20·8)
12·1%
(2·7
to 21·0)
2·0%
(–7·4
to 10·4)
19·6%
(13·2
to 23·6)
11·9%
(5·5
to 15·8)
Males
21·0%
(14·1
to 26·7)
7·5%
(0·8
to 12·8)
–18·1%
(–21·2
to –14·7)
–20·9%
(–23·8
to –17·7)
1·0%
(0·1
to 1·7)
–3·2%
(–4·0
to –2·5)
–6·6%
(–7·4
to –5·9)
–9·4%
(–10·1
to –8·7)
11·7%
(2·6
to 20·0)
0·0%
(–8·7
to 7·7)
0·5%
(–2·2
to 3·1)
–5·7%
(–8·7
to –3·4)
Numbers in parentheses are 95% uncertainty intervals.
Table 2: Global prevalence, incidence, deaths, YLLs, YLDs, and DALYs in counts and age-standardised rates for both sexes combined, females, and males, 2019, with percentage change between 2010 and 2019
Deaths YLLs YLDs DALYs
1990 58th 42nd 61st 59th
2010 89th 70th 59th 78th
2019 88th 71st 57th 77th
Table 3: Rank among Level 3 causes for global deaths, YLLs, YLDs, and DALYs in 1990, 2010, and 2019, for both sexes combined
Figure 1: Composition of DALYs by YLLs and YLDs for both sexes combined, 2019
No Legend
Figure 2: Age-standardised DALY rates for each location by SDI, both sexes combined, 2019
Figure 3: Composition of DALYs by YLLs and YLDs, age group, and sex, 2019
No Legend
Figure 4: Age-standardised DALY rates (per 100 000) by location, both sexes combined, 2019