The projections were last updated at 3:00 p.m. Pacific, September 16, 2021. This page contains summaries of the results for 230+ locations, special analyses, explanations of the methods, and other tools to help understand our COVID-19 projections.
Our projections now show both reported deaths, which is the number of deaths officially reported as COVID-19, and excess deaths related to COVID-19, which is all deaths estimated as attributed to COVID-19, including unreported deaths. To learn more about our methods, please see our special analysis.
This map uses survey data to show COVID-19 vaccine hesitancy in the US by county and ZIP code, as well as changes in hesitancy over time.
Read summaries of the latest results for 230+ locations, including WHO regions, national, and subnational locations.
IHME director and lead modeler Dr. Christopher J.L. Murray shares insights from our latest COVID-19 model run.
The COVID-19 pandemic resulted in disruptions to routine health services around the world like childhood vaccinations.
We explain a new feature of our COVID-19 modeling that relies on estimation of total mortality rather than officially reported deaths.
To project future COVID-19 trends, IHME uses the available data on vaccine efficacy, summarized here.