This page was last updated at 3:30 p.m. Pacific, January 15, 2021. To view changes to the model and explanation of methods, please visit our policy briefings page.
IHME's COVID-19 projections were developed in response to requests from the University of Washington School of Medicine and other US hospital systems and state governments working to determine when COVID-19 would overwhelm their ability to care for patients. The forecasts show demand for hospital services, daily and cumulative deaths due to COVID-19, rates of infection and testing, and the impact of social distancing, organized by country and state (for select locations).
Find answers to frequently asked questions about our COVID-19 projections model.
