More than a half million lives could be lost to COVID-19 by 28 February 2021 in the USA, suggests a modeling study published in Nature Medicine. The paper also estimates that universal mask use could prevent the worst effects of epidemic resurgences in many states and could save nearly 130,000 of those half million lives.
October 23, 2020
Nature Medicine: Universal US mask wearing could save nearly 130,000 lives by the end of February 2021
September 3, 2020
First COVID-19 Global Forecast: IHME Projects Three-Quarters of a Million Lives Could be Saved by January 1
In the first global projections of the COVID-19 pandemic by nation, the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) at the University of Washington’s School of Medicine is predicting nearly 770,000 lives worldwide could be saved between now and January 1 through proven measures such as mask-wearing and social distancing.
August 28, 2020
New modeling of the COVID-19 pandemic in India shows that while the disease will continue to pose a major public health threat, it may be possible to prevent more than 200,000 deaths by December 1, 2020, with widespread mask use and data-driven social distancing measures in the most affected states. The modeling, produced by the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) at the University of Washington, suggests that there is an opportunity to further limit the toll of COVID-19 in India and highlights the critical need for people to comply with face mask use, social distancing, and other COVID-19 prevention guidelines as advised by public health authorities.