Life expectancy forecasts, 1990–2040

GBD Foresight Visualization

Analyze forecasts and alternative better and worse scenarios from 2017 to 2040 for 250 causes of death, life expectancy, years of life lost (YLLs) as well as risk-attributable deaths and ...

GBD 2016 Study Highlights: Forecasting

Health forecasts and alternative future scenarios can influence long-term planning and investments. The study shows that people’s health can improve, but such improvement demands attention, resou...

How healthy will we be in 2040?

A new scientific study of forecasts and alternative scenarios for life expectancy and major causes of death in 2040 shows all countries are likely to experience at least a slight increase in lifesp...

Two IHME studies included on annual Altmetric 100

Two IHME papers are featured in the “Altmetric 100” for 2018, the annual listing by the UK-based data science firm of research that most captured the public’s interest.

Forecasting life expectancy, years of life lost, and all-cause and cause-specific mortality for 250 causes of death: reference and alternative scenarios for 2016–40 for 195 countries and territories using data from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016

Understanding potential trajectories in health and drivers of health is crucial to guiding long-term investments and policy implementation. This study provides a novel approach to modeling life exp...