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chart showing many countries with physician density below UHC effective coverage index
May 23, 2022
Measuring the availability of human resources for health and its relationship to universal health coverage: estimates for 204 countries and territories from 1990 to 2019
Research Article

We aimed to use comparable and standardised data sources to estimate human resources for health (HRH) densities globally, and to examine the relationship between a subset of HRH cadres and UHC effective coverage performance.

chart showing decrease in child growth failure since 1990
May 20, 2022
Current dichotomous metrics obscure trends in severe and extreme child growth failure
Research Article

Our analysis presents the first ever estimates of entire distributions of stunting, wasting, and underweight for each of 204 countries and territories from 1990 to 2020 for children less than 5 years old by age group and sex.

map showing number of mentions per country of vaccine misinformation
May 14, 2022
Vaccines and the social amplification of risk
Research Article

The trends in vaccine confidence and resistance have implications for updating the social amplification of risk framework (SARF); in turn, SARF has practical implications for guiding efforts to alleviate vaccine hesitancy and to mitigate harms from intentional and unintentional vaccine scares.

April 22, 2022
Estimated health outcomes and costs of COVID-19 prophylaxis with monoclonal antibodies among unvaccinated household contacts in the US
Research Article

We aimed to estimate the health outcomes and net cost of implementing postexposure prophylaxis (PEP) with monoclonal antibodies (mAbs) against household exposure to COVID-19.

April 8, 2022
Estimating global, regional, and national daily and cumulative infections with SARS-CoV-2 through Nov 14, 2021: a statistical analysis
Research Article

 In this study, we aimed to provide a novel approach to estimating past SARS-CoV-2 infections, combining data from reported cases, reported deaths, excess deaths attributable to COVID-19, hospitalizations, and seroprevalence surveys

April 7, 2022
Cost-effectiveness of Vitamin A supplementation among children in three sub-Saharan African countries: An individual-based simulation model using estimates from Global Burden of Disease 2019
Research Article

In this study, we conducted a cost-effectiveness analysis of a Vitamin A Supplementation scale-up in Nigeria, Kenya, and Burkina Faso.

April 7, 2022
Global, regional, and national burden of colorectal cancer and its risk factors, 1990–2019: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019
Research Article

We examined the temporal patterns of the global, regional, and national burden of colorectal cancer and its risk factors in 204 countries and territories across the past three decades.

April 6, 2022
Health system performance in Iran: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019
Research Article

In this systematic analysis, we present the national and subnational estimates of the burden of disease in Iran using the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019.

April 4, 2022
Injury burden in individuals aged 50 years or older in the Eastern Mediterranean region, 1990–2019
Research Article

We aimed to examine injury-related morbidity and mortality among adults aged 50 years or older in 22 Eastern Mediterranean countries.

map of Europe showing prevalence of mental disorders by country
April 1, 2022
The burden of mental disorders, substance use disorders and self-harm among young people in Europe, 1990–2019: Findings from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019
Research Article

We estimated the burden of mental disorders, substance use disorders, and self-harm in people aged 10-24 in 31 European countries.

March 24, 2022
Burden of non-communicable diseases among adolescents aged 10–24 years in the EU, 1990–2019: a systematic analysis of the Global Burden of Diseases Study 2019
Research Article

NCD-related mortality has substantially declined among adolescents in the EU between 1990 and 2019, but the rising trend of YLL attributed to mental disorders and their YLD burden are concerning.

March 15, 2022
Population health outcomes in Nigeria compared with other west African countries, 1998–2019: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study
Research Article

We undertook a comprehensive assessment of the burden of disease in Nigeria and compared outcomes to other west African countries.

March 13, 2022
Progress in health among regions of Ethiopia, 1990–2019: a subnational country analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019
Research Article

The GBD 2019 Ethiopia subnational analysis aimed to measure the progress and disparities in health across nine regions and two chartered cities.

March 12, 2022
Global and regional spending on dementia care from 2000–2019 and expected future health spending scenarios from 2020–2050: An economic modelling exercise
Research Article

We modelled healthcare spending attributable to dementia from 2000 to 2019 and expected estimated future spending from 2020 to 2050 under multiple scenarios.

March 10, 2022
Estimating excess mortality due to the COVID-19 pandemic: a systematic analysis of COVID-19-related mortality, 2020–21
Research Article

Mortality  statistics  are  fundamental  to  public  health  decision  making.  Mortality  varies  by  time  and  location,  and  its  measurement  is  affected  by  well  known  biases  that  have  been  exacerbated  during  the  COVID-19 pandemic. This paper aims to estimate excess mortality from the COVID-19 pandemic in 191 countries and territories, and 252 subnational units for selected countries, from Jan 1, 2020, to Dec 31, 2021.

March 10, 2022
Global, regional, and national burden of diseases and injuries for adults 70 years and older: systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease 2019 Study
Research Article

We used data from the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study 2019 (GBD 2019) to estimate mortality and disability trends for the population aged ≥70 and evaluate patterns in causes of death, disability, and risk factors.

Chart of multivariate regression
March 2, 2022
Quantifying the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic on gender equality in health, social, and economic indicators
Research Article

Gender is emerging as a significant factor in the social, economic, and health effects of COVID-19; yet most existing studies have focused on its direct impact on health. Here we explore the indirect effects of COVID-19 on gender disparities globally.

chart of covid deaths by age
February 24, 2022
Variation in the COVID-19 infection–fatality ratio by age, time, and geography during the pre-vaccine era: a systematic analysis
Research Article

The infection–fatality ratio (IFR) is a metric that quantifies the likelihood of an individual dying once infected with a pathogen. Understanding the determinants of IFR variation for COVID-19, the disease caused by the SARS-CoV-2 virus, has direct implications for mitigation efforts with respect to clinical practice, non-pharmaceutical interventions, and the prioritisation of risk groups for targeted vaccine delivery.

chart from research article
February 23, 2022
Growing up and moving out: Migration and the demographic transition in low- and middle-income nations
Research Article

International migration has increased since 1990, with increasing numbers of migrants originating from low- and middle-income countries (LMICs). 

chart from research article
February 22, 2022
Cost-effectiveness of antenatal multiple micronutrients and balanced energy protein supplementation compared to iron and folic acid supplementation in India, Pakistan, Mali, and Tanzania: A dynamic microsimulation study
Research Article

We compared the cost-effectiveness of micronutrient supplementation and balanced energy protein with iron and folic acid to quantify their benefits in four countries with considerable prevalence of maternal undernutrition.

world map showing Eastern hemisphere
February 15, 2022
The global gap in treatment coverage for major depressive disorder in 84 countries from 2000–2019: A systematic review and Bayesian meta-regression analysis
Research Article

This study aims to provide a comprehensive review of the evidence and analytically quantify sources of heterogeneity to report updated estimates of major depressive disorder treatment coverage and gaps by location and treatment type between 2000 and 2019.

scatterplot of diabetes death rate
February 7, 2022
Diabetes mortality and trends before 25 years of age: an analysis of the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019
Research Article

We aimed to evaluate diabetes mortality and trends at ages younger than 25 years globally using data from the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2019.

figure showing association between trust and government corruption, and vaccine coverage and change in mobility
February 1, 2022
Pandemic preparedness and COVID-19: an exploratory analysis of infection and fatality rates, and contextual factors associated with preparedness in 177 countries, from Jan 1, 2020, to Sept 30, 2021
Research Article

We sought to understand the conditions associated with cross-country variation in COVID-19 infection and fatality rates, in order to guide investment in more effective preparedness and response for future pandemics.

map of percentage resistance to E.Coli bacteria
January 20, 2022
Global burden of bacterial antimicrobial resistance in 2019: a systematic analysis
Research Article

Antimicrobial resistance (AMR) poses a major threat to human health around the world. Previous publications have estimated the effect of AMR on incidence, deaths, hospital length of stay, and health-care costs for specific pathogen–drug combinations in select locations. To our knowledge, this study presents the most comprehensive estimates of AMR burden to date.

chart of progress towards sustainable development goals in provinces of South Africa
January 19, 2022
Health trends, inequalities and opportunities in South Africa’s provinces, 1990–2019: findings from the Global Burden of Disease 2019 Study
Research Article

Using data from the 2019 Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries and Risk Factors Study (GBD 2019), we evaluated national and provincial health trends and progress towards important Sustainable Development Goal targets from 1990 to 2019.

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