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Research Articles


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Chart of risk-attributable cancer DALYs
August 18, 2022
The global burden of cancer attributable to risk factors, 2010–19: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019
Research Article

We analysed results from the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2019 to inform cancer control planning efforts globally.

Chart of relative risk from mental illness compared to other causes
August 11, 2022
All-cause and cause-specific mortality among people with severe mental illness in Brazil’s public health system, 2000–15: a retrospective study
Research Article

We aimed to estimate all-cause and cause-specific relative risk (RR) and excess mortality rate (EMR) in a nationwide cohort of inpatients with severe mental illness compared with inpatients without severe mental illness in a middle income country, Brazil.

Chart of lower respiratory infections by risk factors
August 11, 2022
Age-sex differences in the global burden of lower respiratory infections and risk factors, 1990–2019: results from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019
Research Article

We assessed the burden and trends of LRIs and risk factors across all age groups by sex, for 204 countries and territories.

August 1, 2022
Varied health spending growth across US states was associated with income, price levels, and Medicaid expansion, 2000-19
Research Article

Contemporary estimates of state health spending are valuable for tracking divergent expenditure trajectories in the US and assessing the associated factors.

chart of contraception use by age and marital status
July 21, 2022
Measuring contraceptive method mix, prevalence, and demand satisfied by age and marital status in 204 countries and territories, 1970–2019: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019
Research Article

We present estimates of the contraceptive prevalence rate (CPR), modern contraceptive prevalence rate (mCPR), demand satisfied, and the method of contraception used for both partnered and unpartnered women for 5-year age groups in 204 countries and territories between 1970 and 2019.

July 15, 2022
Burden of diabetes and hyperglycaemia in adults in the Americas, 1990–2019: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019
Research Article

High prevalence of diabetes has been reported in the Americas, but no comprehensive analysis of diabetes burden and related factors for the region is available. We aimed to describe the burden of type 1 and type 2 diabetes and that of hyperglycaemia in the Americas from 1990 to 2019.

July 14, 2022
Population-level risks of alcohol consumption by amount, geography, age, sex, and year: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2020
Research Article

Small amounts of alcohol might lower the risk of some health outcomes but increase the risk of others, suggesting that the overall risk depends, in part, on background disease rates, which vary by region, age, sex, and year.

map of United States
July 7, 2022
County-level variation in the prevalence of visual acuity loss or blindness in the US
Research Article

We provide estimates of visual acuity loss and blindness in the US by county.

July 6, 2022
Estimates, trends, and drivers of the global burden of type 2 diabetes attributable to PM2·5 air pollution, 1990–2019: an analysis of data from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019
Research Article

 In view of the high and increasing prevalence of diabetes, we aimed to quantify the burden of type 2 diabetes attributable to PM2·5 originating from ambient and household air pollution.

July 5, 2022
Health care spending effectiveness: estimates suggest that spending improved US health from 1996 to 2016
Research Article

We report US spending-effectiveness ratios, using comprehensive estimates of health care spending from the Disease Expenditure Project and DALYs from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017.

map of vaccine hesitancy by county in the United States
June 29, 2022
The vaccine-hesitant moment
Research Article

Multiple surveys that were conducted to examine the sentiments concerning coronavirus disease 19 (Covid-19) vaccination have exposed new levels of volatility around vaccine hesitancy, particularly when the hesitancy is powered by digital media platforms.

June 29, 2022
Adolescent transport and unintentional injuries: a systematic analysis using the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019
Research Article

We sought to report comprehensive trends in injury-related mortality and morbidity for adolescents aged 10–24 years during the past three decades.

map of Norway
June 29, 2022
Changes in life expectancy and disease burden in Norway, 1990–2019: an analysis of the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019
Research Article

Using data from the Global Burden of Disease Study (GBD) 2019, we examined regional differences in development and current state of health across Norwegian counties.

June 28, 2022
Life Expectancy for White, Black, and Hispanic Race/Ethnicity in U.S. States: Trends and Disparities, 1990 to 2019
Research Article

We measured life expectancy at birth, by sex and year, for subgroups of people reporting Hispanic, non-Hispanic Black, or non-Hispanic White race/ethnicity.

June 20, 2022
Global, regional, and national burden of hepatitis B, 1990–2019: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019
Research Article

We estimated the global, regional, and national prevalence of hepatitis B virus (HBV), as well as mortality and disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) due to HBV, as part of the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2019. 

map of the United States highlighting change in life expectancy between 2000 and 2019 per county
June 16, 2022
Life expectancy by county, race, and ethnicity in the USA, 2000–19: a systematic analysis of health disparities
Research Article

This analysis estimated life expectancy for five racial–ethnic groups, in 3,110 US counties over 20 years, to describe spatial–temporal variations in life expectancy and disparities between racial–ethnic groups.

June 14, 2022
Forecasting the Trajectory of the COVID-19 Pandemic under Plausible Variant and Intervention Scenarios: A Global Modelling Study
Research Article

This paper samples across a range of potential variant-level characteristics to provide global forecasts of infections, hospitalisations, and deaths in the face of high (but waning) levels of past immunity, and evaluates a range of interventions that may diminish the impact of future waves.

June 10, 2022
Development assistance for human resources for health, 1990–2020
Research Article

The objective of this study is to examine progress on implementing the Global Strategy by updating previous analyses that estimated and examined official development assistance targeted towards human resources for health.

June 2, 2022
Public health utility of cause of death data: applying empirical algorithms to improve data quality
Research Article

We identify the pattern of garbage-coded deaths in the world and present the methods used to determine their redistribution to generate more plausible cause of death assignments.

May 25, 2022
Endline assessment of a community-based program on hypertension and diabetes management in Brazil
Research Article

In this independent prospective evaluation, we used both quantitative and qualitative data to assess the potential impact of the Brazil HealthRise programs on improving clinical and health outcomes for hypertension and diabetes patients in Teófilo Otoni and Vitoria da Conquista. We hypothesized that participation in the Brazil HealthRise program could lead to reduced biomarker readings and increase the proportion of individuals meeting treatment targets for both conditions.

chart showing many countries with physician density below UHC effective coverage index
May 23, 2022
Measuring the availability of human resources for health and its relationship to universal health coverage: estimates for 204 countries and territories from 1990 to 2019
Research Article

We aimed to use comparable and standardised data sources to estimate human resources for health (HRH) densities globally, and to examine the relationship between a subset of HRH cadres and UHC effective coverage performance.

chart showing decrease in child growth failure since 1990
May 20, 2022
Current dichotomous metrics obscure trends in severe and extreme child growth failure
Research Article

Our analysis presents the first ever estimates of entire distributions of stunting, wasting, and underweight for each of 204 countries and territories from 1990 to 2020 for children less than 5 years old by age group and sex.

map showing number of mentions per country of vaccine misinformation
May 14, 2022
Vaccines and the social amplification of risk
Research Article

The trends in vaccine confidence and resistance have implications for updating the social amplification of risk framework (SARF); in turn, SARF has practical implications for guiding efforts to alleviate vaccine hesitancy and to mitigate harms from intentional and unintentional vaccine scares.

April 22, 2022
Estimated health outcomes and costs of COVID-19 prophylaxis with monoclonal antibodies among unvaccinated household contacts in the US
Research Article

We aimed to estimate the health outcomes and net cost of implementing postexposure prophylaxis (PEP) with monoclonal antibodies (mAbs) against household exposure to COVID-19.

April 8, 2022
Estimating global, regional, and national daily and cumulative infections with SARS-CoV-2 through Nov 14, 2021: a statistical analysis
Research Article

 In this study, we aimed to provide a novel approach to estimating past SARS-CoV-2 infections, combining data from reported cases, reported deaths, excess deaths attributable to COVID-19, hospitalizations, and seroprevalence surveys

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