In 2015, member states of the United Nations adopted the ambitious Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs), which included 17 global goals that targeted economic and social development. Goal 3, “to ensure healthy lives and promote well-being for all at all ages,” targets specifically marked progress in universal health coverage; improved access to safe, effective, and affordable medicines; and the end of the HIV, malaria, and tuberculosis epidemics by 2030. Although these goals can spur innovation, social and political commitment, and a drive to achieve greater health gains for less money, financial support is necessary to achieve them.
Biography
Christopher J.L. Murray, MD, DPhil, is Professor and Chair of Health Metrics Sciences at the University of Washington and Director of the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME). His career has focused on improving population health worldwide through better evidence. A physician and health economist, his work has led to the development of a range of new methods and empirical studies to strengthen health measurement, analyze the performance of health care systems, understand the drivers of health, and produce forecasts of the future state of health. He has led critical analyses during the COVID-19 pandemic to understand its impact on health systems and the population as a whole, and the effectiveness of policy interventions to mitigate it.
Dr. Murray’s most recent work on COVID-19 demonstrates his and IHME’s ability to bridge the science-policy divide through consistent engagement with collaborators around the world. When the COVID-19 pandemic emerged, IHME rapidly pivoted to develop a bespoke data-driven modeling approach to COVID-19 for all affected countries, resulting in the world’s most comprehensive and accurate series of long-range forecasts and scenarios. The White House, European Commission, many governments in Latin America, Asia, the Middle East, and Europe, and regional organizations such as WHO EURO, PAHO, and Africa CDC use IHME COVID-19 forecasts and policy scenarios as a reliable, trusted source of evidence.
Dr. Murray is the founding Director of IHME, an independent research institution at the University of Washington that provides rigorous and comparable measurement of the world’s most important health problems and evaluates the strategies used to address them through the application of innovative scientific methods. The resultant policy-relevant evidence base informs decision-makers from local to global levels about the current state and future direction of population health and the resources and successful policies needed to improve it.
Dr. Murray leads the Global Burden of Disease, Injuries, and Risk Factors (GBD) enterprise, the single largest epidemiological enterprise of its kind in the world. He is an architect and co-author of the original GBD framework, a systematic effort to quantify the comparative magnitude of health loss due to diseases, injuries, and risk factors by age, sex, and geography over time. The GBD Collaboration is now a network of 7,700 scientists and decision-makers from 156 countries who together generate annually updated estimates. The GBD has standardized analytic methods to generate assessments for more than 350 diseases and injuries and 87 risk factors for over 200 countries and 800 states and provinces within them. The most recent of the updates, GBD 2019, presents estimates of all-cause mortality, deaths by cause, years of life lost, years lived with disability, and disability-adjusted life years by country, age, and sex from 1990 to 2019.
From 1998 to 2003, Dr. Murray worked at the World Health Organization (WHO), where he served as the Executive Director of the Evidence and Information for Policy Cluster. He later became Director of the Harvard Initiative for Global Health and the Harvard Center for Population and Development Studies, as well as the Richard Saltonstall Professor of Public Policy at the Harvard School of Public Health (2003–2007).
He has authored more than 500 journal articles and authored or edited 16 books. Dr. Murray holds Bachelor of Arts and Science degrees from Harvard University, a DPhil in International Health Economics from Oxford University, and a medical degree from Harvard Medical School. He is an elected member of the National Academy of Medicine (NAM) and the 2018 co-recipient of the John Dirks Canada Gairdner Global Health Award.
GBD 2021 Low Back Pain Collaborators. Global, regional, and national burden of low back pain, 1990–2020, its attributable risk factors, and projections to 2050: a systematic analysis of the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021. The Lancet Rheumatology. 22 May 2023. doi: 10.1016/S2665-9913(23)00098-X
Abbasi-Kangevari M, Malekpour M-R, Masinaei M, et al. Effect of air pollution on disease burden, mortality, and life expectancy in North Africa and the Middle East: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019. The Lancet Planetary Health. May 2023. doi: 10.1016/S2542-5196(23)00053-0.
GBD 2019 Chronic Respiratory Diseases Collaborators. Global burden of chronic respiratory diseases and risk factors, 1990–2019: an update from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019. eClinicalMedicine. 25 April 2023. doi: 10.1016/j.eclinm.2023.101936.
Bollyky TJ, Castro E, Aravkin AY, et al. Assessing COVID-19 pandemic policies and behaviours and their economic and educational trade-offs across US states from Jan 1, 2020, to July 31, 2022: an observational analysis. The Lancet. 23 March 2023. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(23)00461-0.
COVID-19 Forecasting Team. Forecasting the trajectory of the COVID-19 pandemic into 2023 under plausible variant and intervention scenarios: a global modelling study. MedRxiv. 8 March 2023. doi: 10.1101/2023.03.07.23286952.
COVID-19 Forecasting Team. Past SARS-CoV-2 infection protection against re-infection: a systematic review and meta-analysis. The Lancet. 16 February 2023. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(22)02465-5.
Castaldelli-Maia JM, Wang Y-P, Brunoni et al. Burden of disease due to amphetamines, cannabis, cocaine, and opioid use disorders in South America, 1990–2019: a systematic analysis of the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019. The Lancet Psychiatry. 24 January 2023. doi: 10.1016/S2215-0366(22)00339-X.
Global Burden of Disease 2021 Health Financing Collaborator Network. Global investments in pandemic preparedness and COVID-19: tracking development assistance and domestic spending on health between 1990 and 2026. The Lancet Global Health. 24 January 2023. doi: 10.1016/S2214-109X(23)00007-4.
GBD 2019 Pakistan Collaborators. The state of health in Pakistan and its provinces and territories, 1990–2019: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019. The Lancet Global Health. 18 January 2023. doi:
Reiner RC, LBD Triple Burden Collaborators, Hay SI. The overlapping burden of the three leading causes of disability and death in sub-Saharan African children. Nature Communications. 6 December 2022. doi: 10.1038/s41467-022-34240-6.
Ma J, Vongpradith A, Ledesma JR. Progress towards the 2020 milestones of the end TB strategy in Cambodia: estimates of age and sex specific TB incidence and mortality from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019. BMC Infectious Diseases. 3 December 2022. doi: 10.1186/s12879-022-07891-5.
GBD 2019 Antimicrobial Resistance Collaborators. Global mortality associated with 33 bacterial pathogens in 2019: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019. The Lancet. 21 November 2022. doi: 10.1016/
S0140-6736(22)02185-7.
GBD 2019 Snakebite Envenomation Collaborators. Global mortality of snakebite envenoming between 1990 and 2019. Nature. 25 October 2022. doi: 10.1038/s41467-022-33627-9.
GBD 2019 Benign Prostatic Hyperplasia Collaborators. The global, regional, and national burden of benign prostatic hyperplasia in 204 countries and territories from 2000 to 2019: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019. The Lancet Healthy Longevity. 20 October 2022. doi: 10.1016/S2666-7568(22)00213-6.
European Antimicrobial Resistance Collaborators. The burden of bacterial antimicrobial resistance in the WHO European region in 2019: a cross-country systematic analysis. The Lancet Public Health. 13 October 2022. doi: 10.1016/S2468-2667(22)00225-0
GBD 2019 Indonesia Subnational Collaborators. The state of health in Indonesia’s provinces, 1990–2019: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019. The Lancet Global Health. 11 October 2022. doi: 10.1016/S2214-109X(22)00371-0.
Stanaway JD, Afshin A, Ashbaugh C. Health effects associated with vegetable consumption: a Burden of Proof study. Nature Medicine. 10 October 2022. doi: 10.1038/s41591-022-01970-5.
Zheng P, Afshin A, Biryukov S, et al. The Burden of Proof studies: assessing the evidence of risk. Nature Medicine. 10 October 2022. doi: 10.1038/s41591-022-01973-2.
Razo C, Welgan CA, Johnson CO, et al. Effects of elevated systolic blood pressure on ischemic heart disease: a Burden of Proof study. Nature Medicine. 10 October 2022. 10.1038/s41591-022-01974-1.
Dai X, Gil GF, Reitsma MB, et al. Health effects associated with smoking: a Burden of Proof study. Nature Medicine. 10 October 2022. doi: 10.1038/s41591-022-01978-x.
Global Burden of Disease Long COVID Collaborators. Estimated global proportions of individuals with persistent fatigue, cognitive, and respiratory symptom clusters following symptomatic COVID-19 in 2020 and 2021. JAMA. 10 October 2022. doi: 10.1001/jama.2022.18931.
Lescinsky H, Afshin A, Ashbaugh C, et al. Health effects associated with consumption of unprocessed red meat: a Burden of Proof study. Nature Medicine. 10 October 2022. doi: 10.1038/s41591-022-01968-z.
GBD 2019 Healthcare Access and Quality Collaborators. Assessing performance of the Healthcare Access and Quality Index, overall and by select age groups, for 204 countries and territories, 1990–2019: a systematic analysis from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019. The Lancet Global Health. 6 October 2022. doi: 10.1016/S2214-109X(22)00429-6.
Local Burden of Disease Household Air Pollution Collaborators. Mapping development and health effects of cooking with solid fuels in low-income and middle-income countries, 2000–18: a geospatial modelling study. The Lancet Global Health. 1 October 2022. doi: 10.1016/S2214-109X(22)00332-1.
Zou Z, Liu G, Hay SI, et al. Time trends in tuberculosis mortality across the BRICS: an age-period-cohort analysis for the GBD 2019. eClinicalMedicine. 16 September 2022. doi: 10.1016/j.eclinm.2022.101646.
GBD 2019 Cancer Risk Factor Collaborators. The global burden of cancer attributable to risk factors, 2010–19: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019. The Lancet. 18 August 2022. doi:
GBD 2019 LRI Collaborators. Age–sex differences in the global burden of lower respiratory infections and risk factors, 1990–2019: results from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019. The Lancet Infectious Diseases. 11 August 2022. doi: 10.1016/S1473-3099(22)00510-2.
Johnson EK, Wojtesta MA, Crosby SW, et al. Varied health spending growth across US states was associated with income, price levels, and Medicaid expansion, 2000-19. Health Affairs. 1 August 2022. doi: 10.1377/hlthaff.2021.01834.
Haakenstad A, Angelino O, Irvine CMS, et al. Measuring contraceptive method mix, prevalence, and demand satisfied by age and marital status in 204 countries and territories, 1970–2019: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019. The Lancet. 21 July 2022. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(22)00936-9.
GBD 2020 Alcohol Collaborators. Population-level risks of alcohol consumption by amount, geography, age, sex, and year: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2020. The Lancet. 14 July 2022. doi:10.1016/S0140-6736(22)00847-9.
Weaver MR, Joffe J, Ciarametaro et al. Health care spending effectiveness: estimates suggest that spending improved US health from 1996 to 2016. Health Affairs. 5 July 2022. doi: 10.1377/hlthaff.2021.01515.
Larson HJ, Gakidou E, Murray CJL. The vaccine-hesitant moment. New England Journal of Medicine. 29 June 2022. doi:10.1056/NEJMra2106441.
Clarsen B, Nylenna M, Klitkou ST, et al. Changes in life expectancy and disease burden in Norway, 1990–2019: an analysis of the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019. The Lancet Public Health. 29 June 2022. doi: 10.1016/S2468-2667(22)00092-5.
Catherine O. Johnson, Alexandra S. Boon-Dooley, Nicole K. DeCleene, et al; Life Expectancy for White, Black, and Hispanic Race/Ethnicity in U.S. States: Trends and Disparities, 1990 to 2019. Ann Intern Med. [Epub 28 June 2022]. doi:10.7326/M21-3956.
Janko MM, Joffe J, Michael D, et al. Cost-effectiveness of rotavirus vaccination in children under five years of age in 195 countries: A meta-regression analysis. Vaccine. 21 June 2022. doi: 10.1016/j.vaccine.2022.05.042.
GBD 2019 Hepatitis B Collaborators. Global, regional, and national burden of hepatitis B, 1990–2019: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019. The Lancet Gastroenterology & Hepatology. 20 June 2022. doi: 10.1016/S2468-1253(22)00124-8.
GBD US Health Disparities Collaborators. Life expectancy by county, race, and ethnicity in the USA, 2000–19: a systematic analysis of health disparities. The Lancet. 16 June 2022. doi: 10.1016/ S0140-6736(22)00876-5.
Jr, Robert C. Reiner and Collins, James K. and Forecasting Team, COVID-19 and Murray, Christopher JL, Forecasting the Trajectory of the COVID-19 Pandemic under Plausible Variant and Intervention Scenarios: A Global Modelling Study (May 24, 2022). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=4126660 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4126660.
Johnson, S.C., Cunningham, M., Dippenaar, I.N. et al. Public health utility of cause of death data: applying empirical algorithms to improve data quality. BMC Med Inform Decis Mak 21, 175 (2021). https://doi.org/10.1186/s12911-021-01501-1
Monasta L, Alicandro G, Pasovic M, et al. Redistribution of garbage codes to underlying causes of death: a systematic analysis on Italy and a comparison with most populous Western European countries based on the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019. European Journal of Public Health. 1 June 2022. doi: 10.1093/eurpub/ckab194.
GBD 2019 Human Resources for Health Collaborators. Measuring the availability of human resources for health and its relationship to universal health coverage: estimates for 204 countries and territories from 1990 to 2019. The Lancet. 23 May 2022. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(22)00532-3.
Fitzgerald R, Manguerra H, Kassebaum NJ, et al. Current dichotomous metrics obscure trends in severe and extreme child growth failure. Science Advances. 20 May 2022. doi: 10.1126/sciadv.abm8954.
COVID-19 Cumulative Infection Collaborators. Estimating global, regional, and national daily and cumulative infections with SARS-CoV-2 through Nov 14, 2021: a statistical analysis. The Lancet. 8 April 2022. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(22)00484-6.
GBD 2019 Iran Collaborators. Health system performance in Iran: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019. The Lancet. 6 April 2022. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(21)02751-3.
GBD 2019 Ethiopia Subnational-Level Disease Burden Initiative Collaborators. Progress in health among regions of Ethiopia, 1990–2019: a subnational country analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019. The Lancet. 13 March 2022. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(21)02868-3.
COVID-19 Excess Mortality Collaborators. Estimating excess mortality due to the COVID-19 pandemic: a systematic analysis of COVID-19-related mortality, 2020–21. The Lancet. 10 March 2022. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(21)02796-3.
The Gender Equality Metrics team and the COVID-19 Forecasting team at Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation. Quantifying the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic on gender equality in health, social, and economic indicators. The Lancet. 2 March 2022. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(22)00008-3.
COVID-19 Forecasting Team. Variation in the COVID-19 infection–fatality ratio by age, time, and geography during the pre-vaccine era: a systematic analysis. The Lancet. 24 February 2022. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(21)02867-1.
GBD 2019 Diabetes Mortality Collaborators. Diabetes mortality and trends before 25 years of age: an analysis of the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019. The Lancet Diabetes & Endocrinology. 7 February 2022. doi: 10.1016/S2213-8587(21)00349-1.
COVID-19 National Preparedness Collaborators. Pandemic preparedness and COVID-19: an exploratory analysis of infection and fatality rates, and contextual factors associated with preparedness in 177 countries, from Jan 1, 2020, to Sept 30, 2021. The Lancet. 1 February 2022. doi:10.1016/S0140-6736(22)00172-6.
Antimicrobial Resistance Collaborators. Global burden of bacterial antimicrobial resistance in 2019: a systematic analysis. The Lancet. 20 January 2022. doi:10.1016/S0140-6736(21)02724-0.
Achoki T, Sartorius B, Watkins D, et al. Health trends, inequalities and opportunities in South Africa’s provinces, 1990–2019: findings from the Global Burden of Disease 2019 Study. Journal of Epidemiology & Community Health. 19 January 2022. doi: 10.1136/jech-2021-217480.
GBD 2019 Dementia Forecasting Collaborators. Estimation of the global prevalence of dementia in 2019 and forecasted prevalence in 2050: an analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019. The Lancet Public Health. 6 January 2022. doi: 10.1016/ S2468-2667(21)00249-8.
Global Burden of Disease 2019 Cancer Collaboration. Cancer Incidence, Mortality, Years of Life Lost, Years Lived With Disability, and Disability-Adjusted Life Years for 29 Cancer Groups From 2010 to 2019. JAMA Oncology. 30 December 2021. doi: 10.1001/jamaoncol.2021.6987.
Rosettie KL, Joffe JN, Sparks GW, Aravkin A, Chen S, Compton K, Ewald SB, Mathew EB, Michael D, Pedroza Velandia P, Miller-Petrie MB, Stafford L, Zheng P, Weaver MR, Murray CJL. Cost-effectiveness of HPV vaccination in 195 countries: A meta-regression analysis. PLoS ONE. 20 December 2021. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0260808.
GBD 2019 Adolescent Young Adult Cancer Collaborators. The global burden of adolescent and young adult cancer in 2019: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019. The Lancet Oncology. 03 December 2021. doi: 10.1016/S1470-2045(21)00581-7.
GBD 2019 Adolescent Mortality Collaborators. Global, regional, and national mortality among young people aged 10–24 years, 1950–2019: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019. The Lancet. 30 October 2021. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(21)01546-4.
GBD 2019 Police Violence US Subnational Collaborators. Fatal police violence by race and state in the USA, 1980-2019: a network meta-regression. The Lancet. 30 September 2021. doi: 10.016/S0140-6736(21)01609-3
GBD 2019 HIV Collaborators. Global, regional, and national sex-specific burden and control of the HIV epidemic, 1990–2019, for 204 countries and territories: the Global Burden of Diseases Study 2019. The Lancet HIV. 27 September 2021. doi: 10.1016/S2352-3018(21)00152-1.
GBD 2019 Tuberculosis Collaborators. Global, regional, and national sex differences in the global burden of tuberculosis by HIV status, 1990–2019: results from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019. The Lancet Infectious Diseases. 23 September 2021. doi: 10.1016/S1473-3099(21)00449-7.
Global Burden of Disease 2020 Health Financing Collaborator Network. Tracking development assistance for health and for COVID-19: a review of development assistance, government, out-of-pocket, and other private spending on health for 204 countries and territories, 1990–2050. The Lancet. 22 September 2021. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(21)01258-7.
Kyu HH, Jahagirdar D, Cunningham M, Walters M, Brewer E, Novotney A, Wool E, Dippennar I, Sharara F, Han C, Balassyano S, Bertolacci G, Murray CJL, Naghavi M. Accounting for misclassified and unknown cause of death data in vital registration systems for estimating trends in HIV mortality. Journal of the International AIDS Society. 21 September 2021. doi: 10.1002/jia2.25791.
GBD 2019 Stroke Collaborators. Global, regional, and national burden of stroke and its risk factors, 1990–2019: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019. The Lancet Neurology. 3 September 2021. doi: 10.1016/S1474-4422(21)00252-0.
GBD 2019 Fractures Collaborators. Global, regional, and national burden of bone fractures in 204 countries and territories, 1990–2019: a systematic analysis from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019. The Lancet Healthy Longevity. 19 August 2021. doi: 10.1016/S2666-7568(21)00172-0.
Burkart KG, Brauer M, Aravkin AY, Godwin WW, Hay SI, He J, Iannucci VC, Larson SL, Lim SS, Liu J, Murray CJL, Zheng P, Zhou M, Stanaway JD. Estimating the cause-specific relative risks of non-optimal temperature on daily mortality: a two-part modelling approach applied to the Global Burden of Disease Study. The Lancet. 19 August 2021. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(21)01700-1.
Dieleman JL, Murray CJL, Chen C, Crosby SW, Liu A, McCracken D, Pollock IA, Sahu M, Tsakalos G, Dwyer-Lindgren L, Haakenstad A, Mokdad AH, Roth GA, Scott KW. US Health Care Spending by Race and Ethnicity, 2002-2016. JAMA. 17 August 2021. doi: 10.1001/jama.2021.9937.
GBD 2019 Under-5 Mortality Collaborators. Global, regional, and national progress towards Sustainable Development Goal 3.2 for neonatal and child health: all-cause and cause-specific mortality findings from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019. The Lancet. 17 August 2021. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(21)01207-1.
GBD 2019 Respiratory Tract Cancers Collaborators. Global, regional, and national burden of respiratory tract cancers and associated risk factors from 1990 to 2019: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019. The Lancet Respiratory Medicine. 16 August 2021. doi: 10.1016/S2213-2600(21)00164-8.
Schneider MT, Chang AY, Crosby SW, Gloyd S, Harle AC, Lim S, Lozano R, Micah AE, Tsakalos G, Su Y, Murray CJL, Dieleman JL. Trends and outcomes in primary health care expenditures in low-income and middle-income countries, 2000–2017. BMJ Global Health. 12 August 2021. doi: 10.1136/bmjgh-2021-005798.
India State-Level Disease Burden Initiative Neurological Disorders Collaborators. The burden of neurological disorders across the states of India: the Global Burden of Disease Study 1990–2019. The Lancet Global Health. 13 July 2021. doi:10.1016/S2214-109X(21)00164-9.
GBD 2020, Release 1, Vaccine Coverage Collaborators. Measuring routine childhood vaccination coverage in 204 countries and territories, 1980–2019: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2020, Release 1. The Lancet. 14 July 2021. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(21)00984-3.
Weaver MR, Nandakumar V, Joffe J, Barber RM, Fullman N, Singh A, Sparks GW, Yearwood J, Lozano R, Murray CJL, Ngo D. Variation in Health Care Access and Quality Among US States and High-Income Countries With Universal Health Insurance Coverage. JAMA Network Open. 28 June 202 doi: 10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2021.14730.
Bollyky TJ, Murray CJL, Reiner RC. Epidemiology, not geopolitics, should guide COVID-19 vaccine donations. The Lancet. 8 June 2021. doi:10.1016/ S0140-6736(21)01323-4.
GBD 2019 Chewing Tobacco Collaborators. Spatial, temporal, and demographic patterns in prevalence of chewing tobacco use in 204 countries and territories, 1990–2019: a systematic analysis from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019. The Lancet Public Health. 27 May 2021. doi: 10.1016/S2468-2667(21)00065-7.
GBD 2019 Tobacco Collaborators. Spatial, temporal, and demographic patterns in prevalence of smoking tobacco use and attributable disease burden in 204 countries and territories, 1990–2019: a systematic analysis from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019. The Lancet. 27 May 2021. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(21)01169-7.
Dieleman JL. Kaldjian AS, Sahu M, Chen C, Liu A, Chapin A, Woody Scott K, Aravkin S, Zheng P, Mokdad A, Murray CJL, Schulman K, Milstein A. Estimating health care delivery system value for each US state and testing key associations. Health Services Research. 24 May 2021. doi: 10.1111/1475-6773.13676.
Friedman J, Liu P, Troeger CE, Carter A, Reiner RC, Barber RM, Collins J, Lim SS, Pigott DM, Vos T, Hay SI, Murray CJL, Gakidou E. Predictive performance of international COVID-19 mortality forecasting models. Nature Communications. 10 May 2021. doi: 10.1038/s41467-021-22457-w.
GA Roth, S Emmons-Bell, HM Alger, et al. Trends in Patient Characteristics and COVID-19 In-Hospital Mortality in the United States During the COVID-19 Pandemic. JAMA Netw Open. 3 May 2021. doi: 10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2021.8828.
Zheng P, Barber R, Sorensen R, Murray C, Aravkin A. Trimmed Constrained Mixed Effects Models: Formulations and Algorithms. Journal of Computational and Graphical Statistics. 4 January 2021. doi: 10.1080/10618600.2020.1868303.
Local Burden of Disease Vaccine Coverage Collaborators. Mapping routine measles vaccination in low- and middle-income countries. Nature. 16 December 2020. doi: 10.1038/s41586-020-03043-4.
Roth GA, Mensah GA, Johnson CO, et al. Global Burden of Cardiovascular Diseases and Risk Factors, 1990–2019. Journal of the American College of Cardiology. 9 December 2020. doi: 10.1016/j.jacc.2020.11.010.
GBD 2017 US Neurological Disorders Collaborators. Burden of Neurological Disorders Across the US From 1990-2017. JAMA Neurology. 2 November 2020. doi: 10.1001/jamaneurol.2020.4152.
IHME COVID-19 Forecasting Team. Modeling COVID-19 scenarios for the United States. Nature Medicine. 23 October 2020. doi:10.1038/s41591-020-1132-9.
GBD 2019 Diseases and Injuries Collaborators. Global burden of 369 diseases and injuries, 1990–2019: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019. The Lancet. 17 October 2020. doi:10.1016/S0140-6736(20)30925-9.
GBD 2019 Risk Factors Collaborators. Global burden of 87 risk factors in 204 countries and territories, 1990–2019: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019. The Lancet. 17 October 2020. doi:10.1016/S0140-6736(20)30752-2.
GBD 2019 Demographics Collaborators. Global age-sex-specific fertility, mortality, healthy life expectancy (HALE), and population estimates in 204 countries and territories, 1950–2019: a comprehensive demographic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019. The Lancet. 17 October 2020. doi:10.1016/S0140-6736(20)30977-6.
GBD 2019 Viewpoint Collaborators. Five insights from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019. The Lancet. 17 October 2020. doi:10.1016/S0140-6736(20)31404-5.
Deribe K, Simpson H, Pullan RL, Bosco MJ, Wanji S, Weaver ND, Murray CJL, Newport MJ, Hay SI, Davey G, Cano J. Predicting the environmental suitability and population at risk of podoconiosis in Africa. PLoS Neglected Tropical Diseases. 27 August 2020. doi:10.1371/journal.pntd.0008616.
GBD 2019 Universal Health Coverage Collaborators. Measuring universal health coverage based on an index of effective coverage of health services in 204 countries and territories, 1990–2019: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019. The Lancet. 27 August 2020. doi:10.1016/S0140-6736(20)30750-9.
Local Burden of Disease WaSH Collaborators. Mapping geographical inequalities in access to drinking water and sanitation facilities in low-income and middle-income countries, 2000–17. The Lancet Global Health. August 2020. doi:10.1016/S2214-109X(20)30278-3.
Murray CJL, Alamro NMS, Hwang H, Lee U. Digital public health and COVID-19. The Lancet Public Health. 10 August 2020. doi: 10.1016/S2468-2667(20)30187-0.
Local Burden of Disease Diarrhoea Collaborators. Mapping geographic inequalities in oral rehydration therapy coverage in low- and middle-income countries, 2000–17. The Lancet Global Health. August 2020. doi:10.1016/S2214-109X(20)30230-8.
Cork MA, Wilson KF, Perkins S, et al. Mapping male circumcision for HIV prevention efforts in sub-Saharan Africa. BMC Medicine. 7 July 2020. doi:10.1186/s12916-020-01635-5.
Vollset SE, Goren E, Yuan C-W, et al. Fertility, mortality, migration, and population scenarios for 195 countries and territories from 2017 to 2100: a forecasting analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study. The Lancet. 14 July 2020. doi:10.1016/S0140-6736(20)30677-2.
India State-Level Disease Burden Initiative CGF Collaborators. Mapping of variations in child stunting, wasting and underweight within the states of India: the Global Burden of Disease Study 2000–2017. EClinicalMedicine. 12 May 2020. doi:10.1016/j.eclinm.2020.100317.
India State-Level Disease Burden Initiative Child Mortality Collaborators. Subnational mapping of under-5 and neonatal mortality trends in India: the Global Burden of Disease Study 2000–17. The Lancet. 11 May 2020. doi:10.1016/S0140-6736(20)30471-2.
Local Burden of Disease Diarrhoea Collaborators. Mapping geographical inequalities in childhood diarrhoeal morbidity and mortality in low-income and middle-income countries, 2000–17: analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017. The Lancet. 6 May 2020. doi:10.1016/S0140-6736(20)30114-8.
Global Burden of Disease Health Financing Collaborator Network. Health sector spending and spending on HIV/AIDS, tuberculosis, and malaria, and development assistance for health: progress towards Sustainable Development Goal 3. The Lancet. 23 April 2020. doi:10.1016/S0140-6736(20)30608-5.
Su Y, Baena IG, Harle AC, Crosby SW, Micah AE, Siroka A, Sahu M, Tsakalos G, Murray CJL, Floyd K, Dieleman JL. Tracking total spending on tuberculosis by source and function in 135 low-income and middle-income countries, 2000–17: a financial modelling study. The Lancet Infectious Diseases. 23 April 2020. doi:10.1016/S1473-3099(20)30124-9.
LBD Double Burden of Malnutrition Collaborators. Mapping local patterns of childhood overweight and wasting in low- and middle-income countries between 2000 and 2017. Nature Medicine. 20 April 2020. doi:10.1038/s41591-020-0807-6.
IHME COVID-19 health service utilization forecasting team. Forecasting COVID-19 impact on hospital bed-days, ICU-days, ventilator days and deaths by US state in the next 4 months. MedRxiv. 26 March 2020. doi:10.1101/2020.03.27.20043752.
Dieleman JL, Cao J, Chapin A, Chen C, Li Z, Liu A, Horst C, Kaldjian A, Matyasz T, Scott KW, Bui AL, Campbell M, Duber HC, Dunn AC, Flaxman AD, Fitzmaurice C, Naghavi M, Sadat N, Shieh P, Squires E, Yeung K, Murray CJL. US Health Care Spending by Payer and Health Condition, 1996–2016. JAMA. 3 March 2020. doi:10.1001/jama.2020.0734.
GBD Chronic Kidney Disease Collaboration. Global, regional, and national burden of chronic kidney disease, 1990–2017: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017. The Lancet. 13 February 2020. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(20)30045-3.
Zimmerman MS, Smith AGC, Sable CA, et al. Global, regional, and national burden of congenital heart disease, 1990–2017: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017. The Lancet Child & Adolescent Health. 21 January 2020; doi: 10.1016/S2352-4642(19)30402-X.
Rudd KE, Johnson SC, Agesa KM, et al. Global, regional, and national sepsis incidence and mortality, 1990–2017: analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study. The Lancet. 16 January 2020; doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(19)32989-7.
James SL, Lucchesi LR, Bisignano C, et al. The global burden of falls: global, regional, and national estimates of morbidity and mortality from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017. Injury Prevention. 15 January 2020; doi: 10.1136/injuryprev-2019-043286.
Local Burden of Disease Child Growth Failure Collaborators. Mapping child growth failure across low- and middle-income countries. Nature. 8 January 2020. doi:10.1038/s41586-019-1878-8.
Local Burden of Disease Educational Attainment Collaborators. Mapping disparities in education across low- and middle-income countries. Nature. 25 December 2019. doi:10.1038/s41586-019-1872-1.
India State-Level Disease Burden Initiative Mental Disorders Collaborators. The burden of mental disorders across the states of India: the Global Burden of Disease Study 1990–2017. The Lancet Psychiatry. 20 December 2019. doi:10.1016/S2215-0366(19)30475-4.
India State-Level Disease Burden Initiative Road Injury Collaborators. Mortality due to road injuries in the states of India: the Global Burden of Disease Study 1990–2017. The Lancet Public Health. 20 December 2019. doi:10.1016/S2468-2667(19)30246-4.
Deribe K, Simpson H, Cano J, Pigott DM, Weaver ND, Cromwell EA, Brady OJ, Pullan RL, Noor Am, Argaw D, Murray CJL, Brooker SJ, Hay SI, Newport MJ, Davey G. Mapping the global distribution of podoconiosis: Applying an evidence consensus approach. PLoS Neglected Tropical Diseases. 2 December 2019. doi:10.1371/journal.pntd.0007925.
GBD 2017 Lower Respiratory Infections Collaborators. Quantifying risks and interventions that have affected the burden of lower respiratory infections among children younger than 5 years: an analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017. The Lancet Infectious Diseases. 30 October 2019. doi:10.1016/S1473-3099(19)30410-4.
GBD 2017 Diarrhoeal Disease Collaborators. Quantifying risks and interventions that have affected the burden of diarrhoea among children younger than 5 years: an analysis of the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017. The Lancet Infectious Diseases. 30 October 2019. doi:10.1016/S1473-3099(19)30559-6.
GBD 2017 Colorectal Cancer Collaborators. The global, regional, and national burden of colorectal cancer and its attributable risk factors in 195 countries and territories, 1990–2017: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017. The Lancet Gastroenterology & Hepatology. 21 October 2019. doi:10.1016/S2468-1253(19)30345-0.
Local Burden of Disease 2017 Child Mortality Collaborators. Mapping 123 million neonatal, infant, and child deaths between 2000 and 2017. Nature. 16 October 2019. doi:10.1038/s41586-019-1545-0.
Micah AE, Zhao Y, Chen CS, Zlavog BS, Tsakalos G, Chapin A, Gloyd S, Jonas J, Lee PH, Liu S, Ng MTA, Phillips MR, Rubagotti E, Tang K, Tang S, Younis M, Zhang Y, Murray CJL, Dieleman JL. Tracking development assistance for health from China, 2007–2017. BMJ Global Health. 8 October 2019. doi:10.1136/bmjgh-2019-001513.
Reiner RC, Welgan CA, Casey DC, et al. Identifying residual hotspots and mapping lower respiratory infection morbidity and mortality in African children from 2000 to 2017. Nature Microbiology. 30 September 2019. doi:10.1038/s41564-019-0562-y.
Global Burden of Disease Cancer Collaboration. Global, Regional, and National Cancer Incidence, Mortality, Years of Life Lost, Years Lived With Disability, and Disability-Adjusted Life-Years for 29 Cancer Groups, 1990 to 2017. JAMA Oncology. 27 September 2019;5(12):1-21. doi:10.1001/jamaoncol.2019.2996.
GBD 2017 Non-Typhoidal Salmonella Invasive Disease Collaborators. The global burden of non-typhoidal salmonella invasive disease: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017. The Lancet Infectious Diseases. 24 September 2019. doi:10.1016/S1473-3099(19)30418-9.
Leilei MDD, Pengpeng Y, Haagsma JA, Ye J, Yuan W, Yuliang E, Xiao D, Xin G, Cuirong J, Linhong W, Bannick MS, Mountjoy-Venning WC, Hawley CN, Liu Z, Smith M, James SL, Vos T, Murray CJL. The burden of injury in China, 1990–2017: findings from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017. The Lancet Public Health. 1 September 2019; 4(9):449-461. doi:10.1016/S2468-2667(19)30125-2.
GBD 2017 HIV Collaborators. Global, regional, and national incidence, prevalence, and mortality of HIV, 1980–2017, and forecasts to 2030, for 195 countries and territories: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study 2017. The Lancet HIV. 14 August 2019. doi:10.1016/S2352-3018(19)30196-1.
GBD 2017 Childhood Cancer Collaborators. The global burden of childhood and adolescent cancer in 2017: an analysis of the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017. The Lancet Oncology. 29 July 2019. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/S1470-2045(19)30339-0
Bhattacharjee NV, Schaeffer LE, Marczak LB, et al. Mapping exclusive breastfeeding in Africa between 2000 and 2017. Nature Medicine. 22 July 2019. doi:10.1038/s41591-019-0525-0.
Dieleman JL, Cowling K, Agyepong IA, et al. The G20 and development assistance for health: historical trends and crucial questions to inform a new era. The Lancet. 27 June 2019. doi:10.1016/S0140-6736(19)31333-9.
Zhou M, Wang H, Zeng X, et al. Mortality, morbidity, and risk factors in China and its provinces, 1990–2017: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017. The Lancet. 24 June 2019. doi:10.1016/S0140-6736(19)30427-1.
Weiss DJ, Lucas TCD, Nguyen M, et al. Mapping the global prevalence, incidence, and mortality of Plasmodium falciparum, 2000–17: a spatial and temporal modelling study. The Lancet. 19 June 2019. doi:10.1016/S0140-6736(19)31097-9.
Battle KE, Lucas TCD, Nguyen M, et al. Mapping the global endemicity and clinical burden of Plasmodium vivax, 2000–17: a spatial and temporal modelling study. The Lancet. 19 June 2019. doi:10.1016/S0140-6736(19)31096-7
Dwyer-Lindgren L, Cork MA, Sligar A, et al. Mapping HIV prevalence in sub-Saharan Africa between 2000 and 2017. Nature. 15 May 2019. doi:10.1038/s41586-019-1200-9.
GBD 2017 Child and Adolescent Health Collaborators. Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors in Child and Adolescent Health, 1990 to 2017. JAMA Pediatrics. 29 April 2019. doi:10.1001/jamapediatrics.2019.0337.
Global Burden of Disease Health Financing Collaborator Network. Past, present, and future of global health financing: a review of development assistance, government, out-of-pocket, and other private spending on health for 195 countries, 1995–2050. The Lancet. 24 April 2019. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(19)30841-4
Haakenstad A, Moses MW, Tao T, Tsakalos G, Zlavog B, Kates J, Wexler A, Murray CJL, Dieleman JL. Potential for additional government spending on HIV/AIDS in 137 low-income and middle-income countries: an economic modelling study. The Lancet HIV. 24 April 2019. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/S1473-3099(19)30165-3
Haakenstad A, Harle AC, Tsakalos G, Micah AE, Tao T, Anjomshoa M, Cohen J, Fullman N, Hay S, Mestrovic T, Mohammed S, Mousavi SM, Nixon MR, Pigott D, Tran K, Murray CJL, Dieleman JL. Tracking spending on malaria by source in 106 countries, 2000–16: an economic modelling study. The Lancet Infectious Disease. 24 April 2019. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/S1473-3099(19)30165-3
Mosser JF, Gagne-Maynard W, Rao PC, et al. Mapping diphtheria-pertussis-tetanus vaccine coverage in Africa, 2000–2016: a spatial and temporal modelling study. The Lancet. 5 April 2019. doi:10.1016/S0140-6736(19)30226-0.
GBD 2017 Diet Collaborators. Health effects of dietary risks in 195 countries, 1990–2017: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017. The Lancet. 2 April 2019. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(19)30041-8.
Deribe K, Mbituyumuremyi A, Bosco MJ, et al. Geographical distribution and prevalence of podoconiosis in Rwanda: a cross-sectional country-wide survey. The Lancet Global Health. 26 March 2019. doi:10.1016/S2214-109X(19)30072-5.
GBD 2016 Neurology Collaborators. Global, regional, and national burden of neurological disorders, 1990–2016: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016. The Lancet Neurology. 14 March 2019. doi:10.1016/S1474-4422(18)30499-X.
GBD 2016 Stroke Collaborators. Global, regional, and national burden of stroke, 1990–2016: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016. The Lancet Neurology. 11 March 2019. doi:10.1016/S1474-4422(19)30034-1.
Brady OJ, Osgood-Zimmerman A, Kassebaum NJ, et al. The association between Zika virus infection and microcephaly in Brazil 2015–2017: An observational analysis of over 4 million births. PLoS Medicine. 5 March 2019. doi:10.1371/journal.pmed.1002755.
Mokdad AH, Mensah GA, Krish V, Glenn SD, Miller-Petrie MK, Lopez AD, Murray CJL. Global, Regional, National, and Subnational Big Data to Inform Health Equity Research: Perspectives from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017. Ethnicity & Disease. 21 Feb 2019; 29(1):159-172. doi:10.18865/ed.29.S1.159.
GBD 2016 Brain and Other CNS Cancer Collaborators. Global, regional, and national burden of brain and other CNS cancer, 1990–2016: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016. The Lancet Neurology. 20 Feb 2019. doi:10.1016/S1474-4422(18)30468-X.
GBD 2017 Typhoid and Paratyphoid Collaborators. The global burden of typhoid and paratyphoid fevers: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017. The Lancet Infectious Diseases. 18 Feb 2019. doi:10.1016/ S1473-3099(18)30685-6.
GBD 2016 Epilepsy Collaborators. Global, regional, and national burden of epilepsy, 1990–2016: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016. The Lancet Neurology. 14 Feb 2019. doi:10.1016/S1474-4422(18)30454-X.
Naghavi M., on behalf of the Global Burden of Disease Self-Harm Collaborators. Global, regional, and national burden of suicide mortality 1990 to 2016: systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016. BMJ. 6 Feb 2019; 364:I94. doi:10.1136/bmj.l94.
GBD 2016 Multiple Sclerosis Collaborators. Global, regional, and national burden of multiple sclerosis 1990–2016: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016. The Lancet Neurology. 21 Jan 2019. doi:10.1016/ S1474-4422(18)30443-5.
GBD 2016 Lifetime Risk of Stroke Collaborators. Global, Regional, and Country-Specific Lifetime Risks of Stroke, 1990 and 2016. The New England Journal of Medicine. 19 Dec 2018. doi:10.1056/NEJMoa1804492.
Liang J, Li X, Kang C, et al. Maternal mortality ratios in 2852 Chinese counties, 1996–2015, and achievement of Millennium Development Goal 5 in China: a subnational analysis of the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016. The Lancet. 13 Dec 2018. doi:10.1016/S0140-6736(18)31712-4.
GBD 2017 Influenza Collaborators. Mortality, morbidity, and hospitalisations due to influenza lower respiratory tract infections, 2017: an analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017. The Lancet Respiratory Medicine. 12 Dec 2018. doi:10.1016/S2213-2600(18)30496-X.
Moses MW, Pedroza P, Baral R, et al. Funding and services needed to achieve universal health coverage: applications of global, regional, and national estimates of utilisation of outpatient visits and inpatient admissions from 1990 to 2016, and unit costs from 1995 to 2016. The Lancet Public Health. 11 Dec 2018. doi:10.1016/S2468-2667(18)30263-9.
India State-Level Disease Burden Initiative Air Pollution Collaborators. The impact of air pollution on deaths, disease burden, and life expectancy across the states of India: the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017. The Lancet Planetary Health. 5 Dec 2018. doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/S2542-5196(18)30261-4
GBD 2016 Meningitis Collaborators. Global, regional, and national burden of meningitis, 1990–2016: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016. The Lancet Neurology. 1 Dec 2018;17(12):1061–82. doi:10.1016/S1474-4422(18)30387-9.
GBD Tuberculosis Collaborators. Global, regional, and national burden of tuberculosis, 1990–2016: results from the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors 2016 Study. The Lancet Infectious Diseases. 1 Dec 2018. doi:10.1016/S1473-3099(18)30625-X.
GBD 2016 Dementia Collaborators. Global, regional, and national burden of Alzheimer's disease and other dementias, 1990–2016: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016. The Lancet Neurology. 26 Nov 2018. doi:10.1016/S1474-4422(18)30403-4.
GBD 2016 Traumatic Brain Injury and Spinal Cord Injury Collaborators. Global, regional, and national burden of traumatic brain injury and spinal cord injury, 1990–2016: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016. The Lancet Neurology. 26 Nov 2018. doi:10.1016/S1474-4422(18)30415-0.
GBD 2017 Population and Fertility Collaborators. Population and fertility by age and sex for 195 countries and territories, 1950–2017: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017. The Lancet. 8 Nov 2018;392:1995-2051. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(18)32278-5.
GBD 2017 Mortality Collaborators. Global, regional, and national age-sex-specific mortality and life expectancy, 1950–2017: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017. The Lancet. 8 Nov 2018;392:1684-735. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(18)31891-9.
GBD 2017 Causes of Death Collaborators. Global, regional, and national age-sex-specific mortality for 282 causes of death in 195 countries and territories, 1980–2017: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017. The Lancet. 8 Nov 2018;392:1736-88. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(18)32203-7.
GBD 2017 Disease and Injury Incidence and Prevalence Collaborators. Global, regional, and national incidence, prevalence, and years lived with disability for 354 diseases and injuries for 195 countries and territories, 1990–2017: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017. The Lancet. 8 Nov 2018;392:1789–858. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(18)32279-7.
GBD 2017 DALYs and HALE Collaborators. Global, regional, and national disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) for 359 diseases and injuries and healthy life expectancy (HALE) for 195 countries and territories, 1990–2017: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017. The Lancet. 8 Nov 2018;392:1859–922. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(18)32335-3.
GBD 2017 Risk Factor Collaborators. Global, regional, and national comparative risk assessment of 84 behavioural, environmental and occupational, and metabolic risks or clusters of risks for 195 countries and territories, 1990–2017: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017. The Lancet. 8 Nov 2018;392:1923-94. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(18)32225-6.
GBD 2017 SDG Collaborators. Measuring progress from 1990 to 2017 and projecting attainment to 2030 of the health-related Sustainable Development Goals for 195 countries and territories: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017. The Lancet. 8 Nov 2018; 392:2091–138. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(18)32281-5.
GBD 2016 Motor Neuron Disease Collaborators. Global, regional, and national burden of motor neuron diseases 1990–2016: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016. The Lancet Neurology. 5 Nov 2018. doi:10.1016/S1474-4422(18)30404-6.
GBD 2016 Alcohol and Drug Use Collaborators. The global burden of disease attributable to alcohol and drug use in 195 countries and territories, 1990–2016: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016. The Lancet Psychiatry. 1 Nov 2018. doi:10.1016/S2215-0366(18)30337-7.
Wiens KE, Woyczynski LP, Ledesma JR, Ross JM, Zenteno-Cuevas R, Goodridge A, Ullah I, Mathema B, Siawaya JFL, Biehl MH, Ray SE, Bhattacharjee NV, Henry NJ, Reiner RC, Kyu HH, Murray CJL, Hay SI. Global variation in bacterial strains that cause tuberculosis disease: a systematic review and meta-analysis. BMC Medicine. 30 Oct 2018;16(1):196. doi:10.1186/s12916-018-1180-x.
Achoki T, Miller-Petrie MK, Glenn SD, et al. Health disparities across the counties of Kenya and implications for policy makers, 1990–2016: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016. The Lancet Global Health. 25 October 2018. doi:10.1016/S2214-109X(18)30472-8.
Steel N, Ford JA, Newton JN, et al. Changes in health in the countries of the UK and 150 English Local Authority areas 1990–2016: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016. The Lancet. 24 Oct 2018. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/.
GBD 2016 Headache Collaborators . Global, regional, and national burden of migraine and tension-type headache, 1990–2016: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016. The Lancet Neurology. 1 Nov 2018; 17(11):954-976. doi: 10.1016/S1474-4422(18)30322-3.
Foreman KJ, Marquez N, Dolgert A, et al. Forecasting life expectancy, years of life lost, and all-cause and cause-specific mortality for 250 causes of death: reference and alternative scenarios for 2016–40 for 195 countries and territories using data from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016. The Lancet. 16 October 2018. doi:10.1016/S0140-6736(18)31694-5.
GBD 2016 Parkinson's Disease Collaborators. Global, regional, and national burden of Parkinson’s disease, 1990–2016: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016. The Lancet Neurology. 1 October 2018. doi:10.1016/S1474-4422(18)30295-3.
Khalil IA, Troeger C, Blacker BF, et al. Morbidity and mortality due to shigella and enterotoxigenic Escherichia coli diarrhoea: the Global Burden of Disease Study 1990–2016. The Lancet Infectious Diseases. 25 September 2018. doi:10.1016/S1473-3099(18)30475-4.
Lim SS, Updike RL, Kaldjian AS, Barber RM, Cowling K, York H, Friedman J, Xu R, Whisnant JL, Taylor HJ, Leever AT, Roman Y, Bryant MF, Dieleman J, Gakidou E, Murray CJL. Measuring human capital: a systematic analysis of 195 countries and territories, 1990–2016. The Lancet. 24 September 2018. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(18)31941-X.
Reiner RC, Graetz N, Casey, DC, et al. Variation in childhood diarrheal morbidity and mortality in Africa, 2000–2015. New England Journal of Medicine. 2018 Sept 19.
GBD 2016 Lower Respiratory Infections Collaborators. Estimates of the global, regional, and national morbidity, mortality, and aetiologies of lower respiratory infections in 195 countries, 1990–2016: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016. The Lancet Infectious Diseases. 19 September 2018. doi:10.1016/S1473-3099(18)30407-9.
GBD 2016 Diarrhoeal Disease Collaborators. Estimates of the global, regional, and national morbidity, mortality, and aetiologies of diarrhoea in 195 countries: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016. The Lancet Infectious Diseases. 19 September 2018. doi:10.1016/S1473-3099(18)30424-9.
India State-Level Disease Burden Initiative CVD Collaborators. The changing patterns of cardiovascular diseases and their risk factors in the states of India: the Global Burden of Disease Study 1990–2016. The Lancet Global Health. 12 September 2018. doi:10.1016/S2214-109X(18)30407-8.
India State-Level Disease Burden Initiative Diabetes Collaborators. The increasing burden of diabetes and variations among the states of India: the Global Burden of Disease Study 1990–2016. The Lancet Global Health. 12 September 2018. doi:10.1016/S2214-109X(18)30387-5.
India State-Level Disease Burden Initiative CRD Collaborators. The burden of chronic respiratory diseases and their heterogeneity across the states of India: the Global Burden of Disease Study 1990–2016. The Lancet Global Health. 12 September 2018. doi:10.1016/S2214-109X(18)30409-1
India State-Level Disease Burden Initiative Cancer Collaborators. The burden of cancers and their variations across the states of India: the Global Burden of Disease Study 1990–2016. The Lancet Oncology. 12 September 2018. doi:10.1016/S1470-2045(18)30447-9.
India State-Level Disease Burden Initiative Suicide Collaborators. Gender differentials and state variations in suicide deaths in India: the Global Burden of Disease Study 1990–2016. The Lancet Public Health. 12 September 2018. doi:10.1016/S2468-2667(18)30138-5.
GBD 2016 Russia Collaborators. The burden of disease in Russia from 1980 to 2016: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016. The Lancet. 30 Aug 2018. doi:10.1016/S0140-6736(18)31485-5
GBD 2016 Injury Collaborators. Global Mortality From Firearms, 1990-2016. JAMA. 28 Aug 2018; 320(8):792-814. doi:10.1001/jama.2018.10060.
GBD 2016 Alcohol Collaborators. Alcohol use and burden for 195 countries and territories, 1990–2016: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016. The Lancet. 23 Aug 2018. doi:10.1016/S0140-6736(18)31310-2
Troeger C, Khalil IA, Rao PC, et al. Rotavirus vaccination and the global burden of rotavirus diarrhea among children younger than 5 years. JAMA Pediatrics. 13 Aug 2018. doi:10.1001/jamapediatrics.2018.1960
Schmidhuber J, Sur P, Fay K, Huntley B, Salama J, Lee A, Cornaby L, Horino M, Murray C, Afshin A. The Global Nutrient Database: availability of macronutrients and micronutrients in 195 countries from 1980 to 2013. The Lancet Planetary Health. 3 August 2018. doi: 10.1016/S2542-5196(18)30170-0.
Massahikhaleghi P, Tehrani-Banihashemi A, Saeedzai SA, Hossaini SM, Hamedi SA, Moradi-Lakeh M, Naghavi M, Murray CJL, Mokdad AH. Burden of diseases and injuries in Afghanistan, 1990–2016: Findings From the Global Burden of Disease 2016 Study. Archives of Iranian Medicine. 1 Aug 2018; 21(8):324–34. Retrieved from http://www.aimjournal.ir/Abstract/aim-1928
GBD 2016 Brazil Collaborators. Burden of disease in Brazil, 1990–2016: a systematic subnational analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016. The Lancet. 20 July 2018. doi:10.1016/S0140-6736(18)31221-2.
Soriano JB, Rojas-Rueda D, Alonso J, Antó JM, et al. The burden of disease in Spain: Results from the Global Burden of Disease 2016. Medicina Clínica. 20 Jul 2018; doi:10.1016/j.medcli.2018.05.011.
Mboi N, Surbakti IM, Trihandini I, et al. On the road to universal health care in Indonesia, 1990–2016: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016. The Lancet. 28 June 2018. doi:10.1016/S0140-6736(18)30595-6.
Hay SI, Rao PC, Dolecek C, Day NPJ, Stergachis A, Lopez AD, Murray CJL. Measuring and mapping the global burden of antimicrobial resistance. BMC Medicine. 4 Jun 2018; 16:78. doi.org:10.1186/s12916-018-1073-z.
Hay SI, Rao PC, Dolecek C, Day NPJ, Stergachis A, Lopez AD, Murray CJL. Measuring and mapping the global burden of antimicrobial resistance. BMC Medicine. 4 June 2018. doi:10.1186/s12916-018-1073-z.
Global Burden of Disease Cancer Collaboration. Global, regional, and national cancer incidence, mortality, years of life lost, years lived with disability, and disability-adjusted life years for 29 cancer groups, 1990 to 2016. JAMA Oncology. 2 June 2018. doi:10.1001/jamaoncol.2018.2706
GBD 2016 Healthcare Access and Quality Collaborators. Measuring performance on the Healthcare Access and Quality Index for 195 countries and territories and selected subnational locations: a systematic analysis from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016. The Lancet. 23 May 2018.
Flaxman AD, Joseph JC, Murray CJL, Riley ID, Lopez AD. Performance of InSilicoVA for assigning causes of death to verbal autopsies: multisite validation study using clinical diagnostic gold standards. BMC Medicine. 19 Apr 2018; 16:56. doi: https://doi.org/10.1186/s12916-018-1039-1
Global Burden of Disease Health Financing Collaborator Network. Trends in future health financing and coverage: future health spending and universal health coverage in 188 countries, 2016–40. The Lancet. 17 Apr 2018.
Global Burden of Disease Health Financing Collaborator Network. Spending on health and HIV/AIDS: domestic health spending and development assistance in 188 countries, 1995–2015. The Lancet. 17 Apr 2018.
US Burden of Disease Collaborators. The State of US Health, 1990-2016: Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Among US States. JAMA. 10 April 2018; 319(14):1-33. doi:10.1001/jama.2018.0158
El Bcheraoui C, Mokdad AH, Dwyer-Lindgren L, Bertozzi-Villa A, Stubbs RW, Morozoff C, Shirude S, Naghavi M, Murray CJL. Trends and patterns of differences in infectious disease mortality among US counties, 1980–2014. JAMA. 27 March 2018; 319(12):1248-1260. doi:10.1001/jama.2018.2089
Kyu HH, Stein CE, Boschi Pinto C, et al. Causes of death among children aged 5–14 years in the WHO European Region: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016. The Lancet Child & Adolescent Health. 2018 Mar 19. doi: 10.1016/S2352-4642(18)30095-6.
Dwyer-Lindgren L, Bertozzi-Villa A, Stubbs RW, Morozoff C, Shirude S, Unützer J, Naghavi M, Murray CJLM. Trends and Patterns of Geographic Variation in Mortality from Substance Use Disorders and Intentional Injuries Among US Counties, 1980-2014. JAMA.
Graetz N, Friedman J, Osgood-Zimmerman A, et al. Mapping local variation in educational attainment across Africa. Nature. 28 Feb 2018. doi:10.1038/nature25761
Osgood-Zimmerman A, Millear AI, Stubbs RW, et al. Mapping child growth failure in Africa between 2000 and 2015. Nature. 28 Feb 2018. doi:10.1038/nature25760
GBD Tuberculosis Collaborators. The global burden of tuberculosis: results from the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors (GBD) 2015 Study. Lancet Infectious Diseases. 2018; 18(3):261-284. PMCID: PMC5831985
India State-level Disease Burden Initiative Collaborators. Nations within a nation: variations in epidemiological transition across the states of India, 1990–2016 in the Global Burden of Disease Study. The Lancet. 13 Nov 2017. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(17)32804-0
Dieleman JL, Squires E, Bui AL, Campbell M, Chapin A, Hamavid H, Horst C, Li Z, Matyasz T, Reynolds A, Sadat N, Schneider MT, Murray CJL. Factors associated with increases in US health care spending, 1996–2013. JAMA. 7 Nov 2017; 318(17):1668-1678. doi:10.1001/jama.2017.15927.
Dieleman JL, Squires E, Bui AL, Campbell M, Chapin A, Hamavid H, Horst C, Li Z, Matyasz T, Reynolds A, Sadat N, Schneider MT, Murray CJL. Factors associated with increases in US health care spending, 1996–2013. JAMA. 7 Nov 2017; 318(17):1668-1678. doi:10.1001/jama.2017.15927.
Pigott DM, Deshpande A, Letourneau I, et al. Local, national, and regional viral haemorrhagic fever pandemic potential in Africa: a multistage analysis. The Lancet. 11 Oct 2017.
Global Burden of Disease Liver Cancer Collaboration. The burden of primary liver cancer and underlying etiologies from 1990 to 2015 at the global, regional, and national level. JAMA Oncology. 5 Oct 2017. doi:10.1001/jamaoncol.2017.3055.
Golding N, Burstein R, Longbottom J, et al. Mapping under-5 and neonatal mortality in Africa, 2000–15: a baseline analysis for the Sustainable Development Goals. The Lancet
Dwyer-Lindgren L, Bertozzi-Villa A, Stubbs RW, Morozoff C, Shirude S, Naghavi M, Mokdad AH, Murray CJL. Trends and patterns of differences in chronic respiratory disease mortality among US counties, 1980–2014. JAMA. 25 Sept 2017; 318(12):1136-1149. doi:10.1001/jama.2017.11747.
GBD 2015 Neurological Disorders Collaborator Group. Global, regional, and national burden of neurological disorders during 1990–2015: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2015. The Lancet Neurology. 17 Sept 2017. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/S1474-4422(17)30299-5.
GBD 2016 Mortality Collaborators. Global, regional, and national under-5 mortality, adult mortality, age-specific mortality, and life expectancy, 1970–2016: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016. The Lancet. 14 Sept 2017: 390;1084–1150.
GBD 2016 Causes of Death Collaborators. Global, regional, and national age-sex specific mortality for 264 causes of death, 1980–2016: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016. The Lancet. 14 Sept 2017: 390;1151–210.
GBD 2016 DALYs and HALE Collaborators. Global, regional, and national disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) for 333 diseases and injuries and healthy life expectancy (HALE) for 195 countries and territories, 1990–2016: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016. The Lancet. 14 Sept 2017: 390;1260-344.
GBD 2016 Disease and Injury Incidence and Prevalence Collaborators. Global, regional, and national incidence, prevalence, and years lived with disability for 328 diseases and injuries for 195 countries, 1990–2016: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016. The Lancet. 14 Sept 2017: 390; 1211–59.
GBD 2016 Risk Factors Collaborators. Global, regional, and national comparative risk assessment of 84 behavioural, environmental and occupational, and metabolic risks or clusters of risks, 1990–2016: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016. The Lancet. 14 Sept 2017: 390;1345-1422.
GBD 2016 SDG Collaborators. Measuring progress and projecting attainment on the basis of past trends of the health-related Sustainable Development Goals in 188 countries: an analysis from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016. The Lancet. 12 Sept 2017: 390; 1423–59.
Dwyer-Lindgren L, Stubbs RW, Bertozzi-Villa A, Morozoff C, Callender C, Finegold SB, Shirude S, Flaxman AD, Laurent A, Kern E, Duchin JS, Fleming D, Mokdad AH, Murray CJL. Variation in life expectancy and mortality by cause among neighborhoods in King County, WA, USA, 1990–2014: a census tract-level analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2015. Lancet Public Health. 5 Sept 2017.
GBD 2015 LRI Collaborators. Estimates of the global, regional, and national morbidity, mortality, and aetiologies of lower respiratory tract infections in 195 countries: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2015. The Lancet Infectious Diseases. 23 Aug 2017. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/S1473-3099(17)30396-1
Watkins DA, Johnson CO, Colquhoun SM, et al. Global, Regional, and National Burden of Rheumatic Heart Disease, 1990–2015. The New England Journal of Medicine. 23 Aug 2017; 377(8):713-22. doi: 10.1056/NEJMoa1603693
GBD 2015 Chronic Respiratory Disease Collaborators. Global, regional, and national deaths, prevalence, disability-adjusted life years, and years lived with disability for chronic obstructive pulmonary disease and asthma, 1990–2015: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2015. The Lancet Respiratory Medicine. 16 Aug 2017.
GBD 2015 Eastern Mediterranean Region Collaborators. Burden of cancer in the Eastern Mediterranean Region, 2005–2015: findings from the Global Burden of Disease 2015 study. International Journal of Public Health. 7 Aug 2017.
GBD 2015 Eastern Mediterranean Region Collaborators. Burden of cardiovascular diseases in the Eastern Mediterranean Region, 1990–2015: findings from the Global Burden of Disease 2015 study. International Journal of Public Health. 7 Aug 2017.
GBD 2015 Eastern Mediterranean Region Collaborators. Diabetes mellitus and chronic kidney disease in the Eastern Mediterranean Region: findings from the Global Burden of Disease 2015 study. International Journal of Public Health. 7 Aug 2017.
GBD 2015 Eastern Mediterranean Region Collaborators. Burden of diarrhea in the Eastern Mediterranean Region, 1990–2015: findings from the Global Burden of Disease 2015 study. International Journal of Public Health. 7 Aug 2017.
GBD 2015 Eastern Mediterranean Region Collaborators. Trends in HIV/AIDS morbidity and mortality in Eastern Mediterannean countries, 1990-2015: findings from the Global Burden of Disease 2015 study. International Journal of Public Health. 7 Aug 2017.
GBD 2015 Eastern Mediterranean Region Collaborators. Intentional injuries in the Eastern Mediterranean Region, 1990–2015: findings from the Global Burden of Disease 2015 study. International Journal of Public Health. 7 Aug 2017.
GBD 2015 Eastern Mediterranean Region Collaborators. Burden of lower respiratory infections in the Eastern Mediterranean Region, 1990–2015: findings from the Global Burden of Disease 2015 study. International Journal of Public Health. 7 Aug 2017.
GBD 2015 Eastern Mediterranean Region Collaborators. Maternal mortality and morbidity burden in the Eastern Mediterranean Region: findings from the Global Burden of Disease 2015 study. International Journal of Public Health. 7 Aug 2017.
GBD 2015 Eastern Mediterranean Region Collaborators. The burden of mental disorders in the Eastern Mediterranean region, 1990–2015: findings from the global burden of disease 2015 study. International Journal of Public Health. 7 Aug 2017.
GBD 2015 Eastern Mediterranean Region Collaborators. Transport injuries and deaths in the Eastern Mediterranean Region: findings from the Global Burden of Disease 2015 study. International Journal of Public Health. 7 Aug 2017.
GBD 2015 Eastern Mediterranean Region Collaborators. Neonatal, infant, and under-5 mortality and morbidity burden in the Eastern Mediterranean Region: findings from the Global Burden of Disease 2015 study. International Journal of Public Health. 7 Aug 2017.
GBD 2015 Eastern Mediterranean Region Collaborators. Burden of vision loss in the Eastern Mediterranean region, 1990–2015: findings from the Global Burden of Disease 2015 study. International Journal of Public Health. 7 Aug 2017.
GBD 2015 Eastern Mediterranean Region Collaborators. Danger ahead: the burden of diseases, injuries, and risk factors 3 in the Eastern Mediterranean Region, 1990–2015. International Journal of Public Health. 7 Aug 2017.
GBD 2015 Eastern Mediterranean Region Collaborators. Adolescent health in the Eastern Mediterranean Region: findings from the Global Burden of Disease 2015 study. International Journal of Public Health. 7 Aug 2017.
GBD 2015 Eastern Mediterranean Region Collaborators. Burden of obesity in the Eastern Mediterranean Region: findings from the Global Burden of Disease 2015 study. International Journal of Public Health. 7 Aug 2017.
Nomura S, Sakamoto H, Glenn S, et al. Population health and regional variations of disease burden in Japan, 1990–2015: a systematic subnational analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2015. The Lancet. 19 Jul 2017 doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(17)31544-1.
The GBD 2015 Obesity Collaborators. Health effects of overweight and obesity in 195 countries over 25 years. New England Journal of Medicine. 12 Jun 2017. DOI: 10.1056/NEJMoa1614362
GBD Diarrheal Diseases Collaborators. Estimates of global, regional, and national morbidity, mortality, and aetiologies of diarrheal diseases: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2015. The Lancet Infectious Diseases. 2017 Jun 1. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/PII
GBD 2015 Healthcare Access and Quality Collaborators. Healthcare Access and Quality Index based on mortality from causes amenable to personal healthcare in 195 countries and territories, 1990–2015: a novel analysis from the Global Burden of Disease 2015 study. The Lancet. 2017 May 18.
Global, regional, and national burden of cardiovascular diseases for 10 causes, 1990 to 2015. Journal of the American College of Cardiology. 17 May 2017. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jacc.2017.04.052.
Roth GA, Dwyer-Lindgren, Bertozzi-Villa A, Stubbs RW, Morozoff C, Naghavi M, Mokdad AH, Murray CJL. Trends and patterns of geographic variation in cardiovascular mortality among US counties, 1980–2014. JAMA. 2017 May 16.
Dwyer-Lindgren L, Bertozzi-Villa A, Stubbs RW, Morozoff C, Mackenbach JP, van Lenthe FJ, Mokdad AH, Murray CJL. Inequalities in life expectancy among US counties, 1980 to 2014. JAMA Internal Medicine. 8 May 2017. doi:10.1001/jamainternmed.2017.0918.
Global Burden of Disease Health Financing Collaborator Network. Future and potential spending on health 2015–2040: development assistance for health, and government, prepaid private, and out-of-pocket health spending in 184 countries. The Lancet. 19 April 2017. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(17)30873-5
Global Burden of Disease Health Financing Collaborator Network. Evolution and patterns of global health financing 1995–2014: development assistance for health, and government, prepaid private, and out-of-pocket health spending in 184 countries. The Lancet. 19 April 2017. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(17)30874-7
Thomas B, Matsushita K, Abate KH, et al. Global cardiovascular and renal outcomes of reduced GFR. JASN. 2017 Apr 13. doi: 10.1681/ASN.2016050562.
Cohen A, Brauer M, Burnett R, et al. Estimates and 25-year trends of the global burden of disease attributable to ambient air pollution: an analysis of data from the Global Burden of Disease study 2015. The Lancet. 2017 Apr.
GBD 2015 Tobacco Collaborators. Smoking prevalence and attributable disease burden in 195 countries and territories, 1990–2015: a systematic analysis from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2015. The Lancet. 2017 April 7;14:48. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(17)30819-X
The Global Burden of Disease Child and Adolescent Health Collaboration. Child and adolescent health from 1990 to 2015: Findings from the Global Burden of Disease, Injuries, and Risk Factors 2015 Study. JAMA Pediatrics. 2017;171(6):1-21. doi:10.1001/jamapediatrics.2017.0250.
Kyu HH, Mumford JE, Stanaway JD, Barber RM, Hancock JR, Vos T, Murray CJL, Naghavi M. Mortality from tetanus between 1990 and 2015: findings from the global burden of disease study 2015. BMC Public Health. 2017 Feb 8. doi: 10.1186/s12889-017-4111-4.
Kassebaum NJ, Smith AGC, Bernabe E, et al. Global, regional, and national prevalence, incidence, and disability-adjusted life years for oral conditions for 195 countries, 1990–2015: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors. Journal of Dental Research. 2017 Apr;96(4):380–387.
Mokdad AH, Dwyer-Lindgren L, Fitzmaurice C, Stubbs RW, Bertozzi-Villa A, Morozoff C, Charara R, Allen C, Naghavi M, Murray CJL. Trends and patterns of disparities in cancer mortality among US counties, 1980–2014. JAMA. 2017;317(4):388-406. doi:10.1001/jama.2016.20324.
Mokdad AH, Dwyer-Lindgren L, Fitzmaurice C, Stubbs RW, Bertozzi-Villa A, Morozoff C, Charara R, Allen C, Naghavi M, Murray CJL. Trends and patterns of disparities in cancer mortality among US counties, 1980–2014. JAMA. 2017;317(4):388-406. doi:10.1001/jama.2016.20324.
Charara R, Forouzanfar M, Naghavi M, et al. The burden of mental disorders in the Eastern Mediterranean Region, 1990–2013. PLOS ONE. 2017 Jan 17. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0169575.
Forouzanfar MH, Liu P, Roth GA, et al. Global burden of hypertension and systolic blood pressure of at least 110 to 115 mmHg, 1990–2015. JAMA. 2017 Jan 10;317(2):165-182. doi:10.1001/jama.2016.19043.
Dieleman JL, Baral R, Birger M, et al. US spending on personal health care and public health, 1996–2013. JAMA. 2016 Dec 17.
Bui AL, Dieleman JL, Hamavid H, Birger M, Chapin A, Duber HC, Horst C, Reynolds A, Squires E, Chung PJ, Murray CJL. Spending on children’s personal health care in the United States, 1996–2013. JAMA Pediatrics. 2016 Dec 27. doi:10.1001/jamapediatrics.2016.4086.
Dwyer-Lindgren L, Bertozzi-Villa A, Stubbs RW, Morozoff C, Kutz MJ, Huynh C, Barber RM, Shackelford KA, Mackenbach JP, van Lenthe FJ, Flaxman AD, Naghavi M, Mokdad AH, Murray CJL. US county-level trends in mortality rates for major causes of death, 1980–2014. JAMA. 2016 Dec. doi: 10.1001/jama.2016.13645.
Global Burden of Disease Cancer Collaboration. Global, regional, and national cancer incidence, mortality, years of life lost, years lived with disability, and disability-adjusted life years for 32 cancer groups, 1990 to 2015: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease study. JAMA Oncology. 2016 Dec 3. doi:10.1001/jamaoncol.2016.5688.
Yin P, Wang H, Vos T, Li Y, Liu S, Liu Y, Liu J, Wang L, Naghavi M, Murray CJL, Zhou M. A subnational analysis of mortality and prevalence of COPD in China from 1990 to 2013. Chest. 2016 Dec; 150(6):1269-1280. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.chest.2016.08.1474
Khalil I, Colombara DV, Forouzanfar MH, et al. Burden of diarrhea in the Eastern Mediterranean Region, 1990-2013: Findings from the Global Burden of Disease study 2013. American Journal of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene. 2016 Dec;95(6):1319–1329.
Gething PW, Casey DC, Weiss DJ, et al. Mapping Plasmodium falciparum Mortality in Africa between 1990 and 2015. The New England Journal of Medicine. 2016 Oct 10. DOI: 10.1056/NEJMoa1606701
GBD 2015 Risk Factors Collaborators. Global, regional, and national comparative risk assessment of 79 behavioral, environmental and occupational, and metabolic risks or clusters of risks, 1990–2015: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2015. The Lancet. 2016 Oct 7; 388:1659–1724.
GBD 2015 Risk Factors Collaborators. Global, regional, and national comparative risk assessment of 79 behavioral, environmental and occupational, and metabolic risks or clusters of risks, 1990–2015: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2015. The Lancet. 2016 Oct 7; 388:1659–1724.
GBD 2015 Child Mortality Collaborators. Global, regional, national, and selected subnational levels of stillbirths, neonatal, infant, and under-5 mortality, 1980–2015: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2015. The Lancet. 2016 Oct 7; 388:1725–1774.
GBD 2015 DALYs and HALE Collaborators. Global, regional, and national disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) for 315 diseases and injuries and healthy life expectancy (HALE), 1990–2015: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2015. The Lancet. 2016 Oct 7; 388:1603–1658.
GBD 2015 Maternal Mortality Collaborators. Global, regional, and national levels of maternal mortality, 1990–2015: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2015. The Lancet. 2016 Oct 7; 388:1775–1812.
GBD 2015 Mortality and Causes of Death Collaborators. Global, regional, and national life expectancy, all-cause mortality, and cause-specific mortality for 249 causes of death, 1980–2015: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2015. The Lancet. 2016 Oct 7; 388:1459–1544.
GBD 2015 Disease and Injury Incidence and Prevalence Collaborators. Global, regional, and national incidence, prevalence, and years lived with disability for 310 diseases and injuries, 1990–2015: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2015. The Lancet. 2016 Oct 7; 388:1545–1602.
Gómez-Dantés H, Fullman N, Lamadrid-Figueroa H, et al. Dissonant health transition in the states of Mexico, 1990–2013: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2013. The Lancet. 2016 5 October.
Lim SS, Allen K, Bhutta ZA, et al. Measuring the health-related Sustainable Development Goals in 188 countries: a baseline analysis from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2015. The Lancet. 2016 Sep 21. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(16)31467-2.
Mokdad AH, Forouzanfar MH, Daoud F, et al. Health in times of uncertainty in the Eastern Mediterranean Region, 1990–2013: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2013. The Lancet Global Health. 2016 Aug. doi: 10.1016/S2214-109X(16)30168-1.
Kyu HH, Bachman VF, Alexander LT, Mumford JE, Afshin A, Estep K, Veerman JL, Delwiche K, Iannarone ML, Moyer ML, Cercy K, Vos T, Murray CJL, Forouzanfar MH. Physical activity and risk of breast cancer, colon cancer, diabetes, ischemic heart disease, and ischemic stroke events: systematic review and dose-response meta-analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2013. the BMJ. 9 Aug 2016; 354:i3857. doi: 10.1136/bmj.i3857
Di Giorgio L, Moses MW, Fullman N, et al. The potential to expand antiretroviral therapy by improving health facility efficiency: evidence from Kenya, Uganda, and Zambia. BMC Medicine. 2016 20 July. doi: 10.1186/s12916-016-0653-z.
Wang H, Wolock TM, Carter A, et al. Estimates of global, regional, and national incidence, prevalence, and mortality of HIV, 1980–2015: the Global Burden of Disease Study 2015. The Lancet HIV. 2016 Jul 19. doi: 10.1016/S2352-3018(16)30087-X.
Feigin VL, Roth GA, Naghavi M, et al. Global burden of stroke and risk factors in 188 countries, during 1990–2013: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2013. The Lancet Neurology. 2016 Jun 9. doi: 10.1016/S1474-4422(16)30073-4.
Mokdad AH, Forouzanfar MH, Daoud F, et al. Global burden of diseases, injuries, and risk factors for young people’s health during 1990–2013: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2013. The Lancet. 2016 May 9. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(16)00648-6.
Messina JP, Kraemer MUG, Brady OJ, Pigott DM, Shearer FM, Weiss DJ, Golding N, Ruktanonchai W, Gething PW, Cohn E, Brownstein JS, Khan K, Tatem AJ, Jaenisch T, Murray CJL, Marinho F, Scott TW, Hay SI. Mapping global environmental suitability for Zika virus. eLife. 2016 Apr 19. doi: 10.7554/eLife.15272.
Dieleman JL, Templin T, Sadat N, Reidy P, Chapin A, Foreman K, Haakenstad A, Evans T, Murray CJL, Kurowski C. National spending on health by source for 184 countries between 2013 and 2040. The Lancet. 2016 Apr 13. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(16)30167-2.
Dieleman JL, Schneider MT, Haakenstad A, Singh L, Sadat N, Birger M, Reynolds A, Templin T, Hamavid H, Chapin A, Murray CJL. Development assistance for health: past trends, associations, and the future of international financial flows for health. The Lancet. 2016 Apr 13. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(16)30168-4.
Schneider MT, Birger M, Haakenstad A, Singh L, Hamavid H, Chapin A, Murray CJL, Dieleman JL. Tracking development assistance for HIV/AIDS: the international response to a global epidemic. AIDS. 2016 Apr 13. doi: 10.1097/QAD.0000000000001081.
Gómez-Dantés H, Lamadrid-Figueroa H, Cahuana-Hurtado L, Silverman-Retana O, Montero P, González-Robledo MC, Fitzmaurice C, Pain A, Allen C, Dicker DJ, Hamavid H, López A, Murray C, Naghavi M, Lozano R. The burden of cancer in Mexico, 1990-2013. Salud Pública de México. 2016 Mar.
Stanaway JD, Shepard DS, Undurraga EA, et al. The global burden of dengue: an analysis from the Global Burden of Disease study 2013. The Lancet Infectious Diseases. 2016 Feb 10. doi: 10.1016/S1473-3099(16)00026-8.
Di Giorgio L, Flaxman AD, Moses MW, Fullman N, Hanlon M, Conner RO, Wollum A, Murray CJL. Efficiency of health care production in low-resource settings: a Monte-Carlo simulation to compare the performance of Data Envelopment Analysis, Stochastic Distance Functions, and an ensemble model. PLOS ONE. 2016 Jan 26. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0147261.
Kyu HH, Pinho C, Wagner JA, et al. Global and national burden of diseases and injuries among children and adolescents between 1990 and 2013: Findings from the Global Burden of Disease 2013 study. JAMA Pediatrics. 2015 Jan 25. doi: 10.1001/jamapediatrics.2015.4276.
Krishnamurthi RV, deVeber G, Feigin VL, et al. Stroke prevalence, mortality and disability-adjusted life years in children and youth aged 0–19 years: Data from the global and regional burden of stroke 2013. Neuroepidemiology. 2015 Oct 28;45:177-189. doi: 10.1159/000441087.
Karimkhani C, Trikha R, Aksut B, et al. Identifying gaps for research prioritization: global burden of external causes of injury as reflected in the Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews. Injury, International Journal of the Care of the Injured. 2016 Jan 12. doi:10.1016/j.injury.2015.12.019.
Serina P, Riley I, Stewart A, et al. A shortened verbal autopsy instrument for use in routine mortality surveillance systems. BMC Medicine. 2015 Dec 16; 13:302. doi:10.1186/s12916-015-0528-8.
Serina P, Riley I, Stewart A, et al. Improving performance of the Tariff Method for assigning causes of death to verbal autopsies. BMC Medicine. 2015 Dec 8; 13:291. doi: 10.1186/s12916-015-0527-9.
Haagsma JA, Graetz N, Bolliger I, et al. The global burden of injury: incidence, mortality, disability-adjusted life years and time trends from the Global Burden of Disease study 2013. Injury Prevention. 2015 Dec 3. doi: 10.1136/injuryprev-2015-041616.
Burstein R, Fleming T, Haagsma J, Salomon JA, Vos T, Murray CJL. Estimating distributions of health state severity for the Global Burden of Disease study. Population Health Metrics. 2015 Nov 18; 13(31). doi: 10.1186/s12963-015-0064-y.
Feigin VL, Krishnamurthi RV, Parmar P, et al. Update on the global burden of ischemic and hemorrhagic stroke in 1990–2013: the GBD 2013 study. Neuroepidemiology. 2015 Oct 28;45:161-176. doi:10.1159/000441085.
Feigin VL, Mensah GA, Norrving B, Murray CJL, Roth GA, GBD 2013 Stroke Panel Experts Group. Atlas of the global burden of stroke (1990–2013): the GBD 2013 study. Neuroepidemiology. 2015 Oct 28;45:230-236. doi: 10.1159/000441106.
Barker-Collo S, Bennett DA, Krishnamurthi RV, Parmar P, Feigin VL, Naghavi M, Forouzanfar MH, Johnson CO, Nguyen G, Mensah GA, Vos T, Murray CJL, Roth GA, GBD 2013 Writing Group and GBD 2013 Stroke Panel Experts Group. Sex differences in stroke incidence, prevalence, mortality and disability-adjusted life years: Results from the Global Burden of Disease study 2013. Neuroepidemiology. 2015 Oct 28;45:203-214. doi:10.1159/000441103.
Krishnamurthi RV, Moran AE, Feigin VL, et al. Stroke prevalence, mortality and disability-adjusted life years in adults aged 20–64 years in 1990–2013: Data from the Global Burden of Disease 2013 study. Neuroepidemiology. 2015;45:190-202. doi:10.1159/000441098.
Roth GA, Huffman MD, Moran AE, Feigin V, Mensah GA, Naghavi M, Murray CJL. Global and regional patterns in cardiovascular mortality from 1990 to 2013. Circulation. 2015 Oct 27;132:1667-1678.
Zhou M, Wang H, Zhu J, et al. Cause-specific mortality for 240 causes in China during 1990–2013: a systematic subnational analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2013. The Lancet. 2015 Oct 26. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(15)00551-6.
Wang Y, Li X, Zhou M, et al. Under-5 mortality in 2,851 Chinese counties, 1996–2012: a subnational assessment of achieving MDG 4 goals in China. The Lancet. 2015 Oct 25. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(15)00554-1.
Salomon JA, Haagsma JA, Davis A, Maertens de Noordhout C, Polinder S, Havelaar AH, Cassini A, Devleesschauwer B, Kretzschmar M, Speybroeck N, Murray CJL, Vos T. Disability weights for the Global Burden of Disease 2013 study. The Lancet. 2015 Oct 19. doi:10.1016/S2214-109X(15)00069-8.
Roth GA, Johnson CO, Nguyen G, Naghavi M, Feigin VL, Murray CJL, Forouzanfar MH, Vos T. Methods for estimating the global burden of cerebrovascular diseases. Neuroepidemiology. 2015 Oct 18;45:146-151. doi: 10.1159/000441083.
Flaxman AD, Serina PT, Hernandez B, Murray CJL, Riley I, Lopez A. Measuring causes of death in populations: a new metric that corrects cause-specific mortality fractions for chance. Population Health Metrics. 2015 Oct 12; 13:28. doi:10.1186/s12963-015-0061-1.
Lim SS, Carnahan E, Nelson EC, Gillespie CW, Mokdad AH, Murray CJL, Fisher ES. Validation of a new predictive risk model: measuring the impact of the major modifiable risks of death for patients and populations. Population Health Metrics. 2015 Oct 1; 13:27. doi: 10.1186/s12963-015-0059-8.
Roth GA, Nguyen G, Forouzanfar MH, Mokdad AH, Naghavi M, Murray CJL. Estimates of global and regional premature cardiovascular mortality in 2025. Circulation. 2015 Sep 25; 132:1270-1282. doi: 10.1161/CIRCULATIONAHA.115.016021.
Newton JN, Briggs ADM, Murray CJL, et al. Changes in health in England, with analysis by English regions and areas of deprivation, 1990–2013: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2013. The Lancet. 2015 Sep 15. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(15)00195-6.
Forouzanfar MH, Alexander L, Anderson HR, et al. Global, regional, and national comparative risk assessment of 79 behavioral, environmental and occupational, and metabolic risks or clusters of risks in 188 countries, 1990-2013: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2013. The Lancet. 2015 Sep 11. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(15)61455-6.
Bhatt S, Weiss DJ, Cameron E, Bisanzio D, Mappin B, Dalrymple U, Battle KE, Moyes CL, Henry A, Eckhoff PA, Wenger EA, Briët O, Penny MA, Smith TA, Bennett A, Yukich J, Eisele TP, Griffin JT, Fergus CA, Lynch M, Lindgren F, Cohen JM, Murray CJL, Smith DL, Hay SI, Cibulskis RE, Gething PW. The effect of malaria control on Plasmodium falciparum in Africa between 2000 and 2015. Nature. 2015 Oct 8; 526:207–211. doi: 10.1038/nature15535.
Murray CJL, Barber RM, Foreman KJ, et al. Global, regional, and national disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) for 306 diseases and injuries and healthy life expectancy (HALE) for 188 countries, 1990–2013: quantifying the epidemiological transition. The Lancet. 2015 Aug 27. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(15)61340-X.
Thomas B, Wulf S, Bikbov B, Perico N, Cortinovis M, de Vaccaro KC, Flaxman A, Peterson H, Delossantos A, Haring D, Mehrotra R, Himmelfarb J, Remuzzi G, Murray C, Naghavi M. Maintenance dialysis throughout the world in years 1990 and 2010. Journal of the American Society of Nephrology. 2015 Jul 24. doi: 10.1681/ASN.2014101017.
Dieleman JL, Graves C, Johnson E, Templin T, Birger M, Hamavid H, Freeman M, Leach-Kemon K, Singh L, Haakenstad A, Murray CJL. Sources and focus of health development assistance, 1990–2014. JAMA. 2015 Jun 16. 313(23):2359-2368. doi:10.1001/jama.2015.5825.
Pigott DM, Howes RE, Wiebe A, Battle KE, Golding N, Gething PW, Dowell SF, Farag TH, Garcia AJ, Kimball AM, Krause LK, Smith CH, Brooker SJ, Kyu HH, Vos T, Murray CJL, Moyes CL, Hay SI. Prioritizing infectious disease mapping. PLOS Neglected Tropical Diseases. 2015 Jun 10. doi: 10.1371/journal.pntd.0003756.
Global Burden of Disease Study 2013 Collaborators. Global, regional, and national incidence, prevalence, and years lived with disability for 301 acute and chronic diseases and injuries in 188 countries, 1990–2013: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2013. The Lancet. 2015 June 8. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(15)60692-4.
Global Burden of Disease Cancer Collaboration. The global burden of cancer 2013. JAMA Oncology. 2015 May 28. doi: 10.1001/jamaoncol.2015.0735.
Dwyer-Lindgren L, Flaxman AD, Ng M, Hansen GM, Murray CJL, Mokdad AH. Drinking patterns in US counties from 2002 to 2012. American Journal of Public Health. 2015 April 23; e1-e8. doi:10.2105/AJPH.2014.302313.
Feigin VL, Krishnamurthi R, Bhattacharjee R, et al. New strategy to reduce the global burden of stroke. Stroke. 2015 April 16; 46. doi: 10.1161/STROKEAHA.115.008222.
Roth GA, Forouzanfar MH, Moran AE, Barber R, Nguyen G, Feigin VL, Naghavi M, Mensah GA, Murray CJL. Demographic and epidemiologic drivers of global cardiovascular mortality. The New England Journal of Medicine. 2015 Apr 2; 372:1333-1341. doi: 10.1056/NEJMoa1406656.
Mensah GA, Roth GA, Sampson UKA, Moran AE, Feigin VL, Forouzanfar MH, Naghavi M, Murray CJL. Mortality from cardiovascular diseases in sub-Saharan Africa, 1990-2013: a systematic analysis of data from the Global Burden of Disease study 2013: cardiovascular topic. Cardiovascular Journal Africa. 2015 Apr. doi: 10.5830/CVJA-2015-036.
Kassebaum NJ, Bernabé E, Dahiya M, Bhandari B, Murray CJL, Marcenes W. Global burden of untreated caries: a systematic review and metaregression. Journal of Dental Research. 2015 March 4. doi: 10.1177/0022034515573272.
Cravo Oliviera T, Gakidou E, Vos T, Higashi H, Murray CJL. A systematic approach to produce robust, comparable, and timely cost-effectiveness estimates for a set of interventions: proof of concept in two low-income countries. Annals of Global Health. 2015; 81:64–65.
James SL, Romero M, Ramírez-Villalobos D, Gómez S, Pierce K, Flaxman A, Serina P, Stewart A, Murray CJL, Gakidou E, Lozano R, Hernandez B. Validating estimates of prevalence of non-communicable diseases based on household surveys: the symptomatic diagnosis study. BMC Medicine. 2015 Jan 26; 13:15. doi:10.1186/s12916-014-0245-8.
Kassebaum NJ, Lopez AD, Murray CJL, Lozano R. A comparison of maternal mortality estimates from GBD 2013 and WHO. The Lancet. 2014; 384:2209–2210.
Naghavi M, Wang H, Lozano R, et al. Global, regional, and national age-sex specific all-cause and cause-specific mortality for 240 causes of death, 1990–2013: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2013. The Lancet. 2014 Dec 17. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(14)61682-2.
Abad H, Maria J, Tyrovolas S, Garin N, Diaz-Torne C, Carmona L, Riera L, Perez-Ruiz F, Murray C. The burden of disease in Spain: results from the Global Burden of Disease study 2010. BioMed Central. 2014 Dec 5. doi: 10.1186/s12916-014-0236-9.
Memish ZA, Jaber S, Mokdad AH, AlMazroa MA, Murray CJL, Al Rabeeah AA, et al. Burden of disease, injuries, and risk factors in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, 1990–2010. Preventing Chronic Disease. 2014; 11:140176. doi: 10.5888/pcd11.140176.
Kassebaum NJ, Bernabé E, Dahiya M, Bhandari B, Murray CJL, Marcenes W. Global burden of severe periodontitis in 1990-2010: a systematic review and meta-regression. Journal of Dental Research. 2014 Sept 26. doi: 10.1177/0022034514552491.
Di Giorgio L, Murray CJ, Hanlon M, Conner R, Wollum A. An innovative approach to measuring efficiency of health service provision in developing countries. Annals of Global Health. 2014 Sept 25. doi: 10.1016/j.aogh.2014.08.129.
Ng M, Fullman N, Dieleman JL, Flaxman AD, Murray CJL, Lim SS. Effective coverage: a metric for monitoring universal health coverage. PLoS Medicine. 2014 Sept 22. doi: 10.1371/journal.pmed.1001730.
Mokdad AA, Lopez AD, Shahraz S, Lozano R, Mokdad AH, Stanaway J, Murray CJL, Naghavi M. Liver cirrhosis mortality in 187 countries between 1980 and 2010: a systematic analysis. BMC Medicine. 2014; 12:145.
Kumar S, Dansereau E, Murray C. Does distance matter for institutional delivery in rural India? Applied Economics. 2014 Aug 30; 46(33). doi: 10.1080/00036846.2014.950836.
Hotez PJ, Alvarado M, Basàñez M-G, et al. The Global Burden of Disease Study 2010: Interpretation and implications for the neglected tropical diseases. PLoS Neglected Tropical Diseases. 2014 Jul 24; 8(7): e2865. doi:10.1371/journal.pntd.0002865
Murray CJL, Ortblad KF, Guinovart C, et al. Global, regional, and national incidence and mortality for HIV, tuberculosis, and malaria during 1990–2013: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2013. The Lancet. 2014 July 23. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(14)60844-8.
Karimkhani C, Boyers LN, Margolis DJ, Naghavi M, Hay RJ, Williams HC, Naldi L, Coffeng LE, Weinstock MA, Dunnick CA, Pederson H, Vos T, Murray CJL, Dellavalle RP. Comparing cutaneous research funded by the National Institute of Arthritis and Musculoskeletal and Skin Diseases with 2010 Global Burden of Disease results. PLOS ONE. 2014 Jul 4. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0102122.
Kassebaum NJ, Bernabé E, Dahiya M, Bhandari B, Murray CJL, Marcenes W. Global burden of severe tooth loss: a systematic review and meta-analysis. Journal of Dental Research. 2014 July; 93(7). doi: 10.1177/0022034514537828.
Ng M, Fleming T, Robinson M, et al. Global, regional, and national prevalence of overweight and obesity in children and adults during 1980–2013: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2013. The Lancet. 2014 May. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(14)60460-8.
Phillips DE, Lozano R, Naghavi M, Atkinson C, Gonzalez-Medina D, Mikkelsen L, Murray CJL, Lopez AD. A composite metric for assessing data on mortality and causes of death: the vital statistics performance index. Population Health Metrics. 2014 May 14. doi: 10.1186/1478-7954-12-14.
Forouzanfar MH, Sepanlou SG, Shahraz S, Dicker D, Naghavi P, Pourmalek F, Mokdad A, Lozano R, Vos T, Asadi-Lari M, Sayyari A, Murray CJL, Naghavi M. Evaluating causes of death and morbidity in Iran, Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study 2010. Archives of Iranian Medicine. 2014 May; 17(05).
Naghavi M, Shahraz S, Sepanlou S, Dicker D, Naghavi P, Pourmalek F, Mokdad A, Lozano R, Vos T, Asadi-Lari M, Sayyari A, Murray CJL, Forouzanfar MH. Health transition in Iran toward chronic diseases based on results of Global Burden of Disease 2010. Archives of Iranian Medicine. 2014 May; 17(05).
Shahraz S, Forouzanfar MH, Sepanlou SG, Dicker D, Naghavi P, Pourmalek F, Mokdad A, Lozano R, Vos T, Asadi-Lari M, Sayyari A, Murray CJL, Naghavi M. Population health and burden of disease profile of Iran among 20 countries in the region: from Afghanistan to Qatar and Lebanon. Archives of Iranian Medicine. 2014 May; 17(05).
Wang H, Liddell CA, Coates MM, et al. Global, regional, and national levels of neonatal, infant, and under-5 mortality during 1990–2013: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2013. The Lancet. 2014 May 2. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(14)60497-9.
Kassebaum NJ, Bertozzi-Villa A, Coggeshall MS, et al. Global, regional, and national levels and causes of maternal mortality during 1990–2013: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2013. The Lancet. 2014 May 2. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(14)60696-6.
Dieleman JL, Graves CM, Templin T, Johnson E, Baral R, Leach-Kemon K, Haakenstad AM, Murray CJL. Global health development assistance remained steady in 2013 but did not align with recipients’ disease burden. Health Affairs. 2014 Apr. doi: 10.1377/hlthaff.2013.1432.
Dwyer-Lindgren L, Mokdad AH, Srebotnjak T, Flaxman AD, Hansen GM, Murray CJL. Cigarette smoking prevalence in US counties: 1996-2012. Population Health Metrics. 2014.
Moran AE, Forouzanfar MH, Roth G, Mensah G, Ezzati M, Murray CJL, Naghavi M. Temporal trends in ischemic heart disease mortality in 21 world regions, 1980-2010: the Global Burden of Disease 2010 Study. Circulation. 2014 Feb 26. doi: 10.1161/CIRCULATIONAHA.113.004042.
Moran AE, Forouzanfar MH, Roth G, Mensah GA, Ezzati M, Flaxman A, Murray CJL, Naghavi M. The global burden of ischemic heart disease in 1990 and 2010: the Global Burden of Disease 2010 Study. Circulation. 2014 Feb 26. doi: 10.1161/CIRCULATIONAHA.113.004046.
Mokdad AH, Jaber S, Abdel Aziz MI, et al. The state of health in the Arab world, 1990–2010: an analysis of the burden of diseases, injuries, and risk factors. The Lancet. 2014 Jan 20. DOI: 10.1016/S0140-6736(13)62189-3.
Murray CJL, Lozano R, Flaxman AD, et al. Using verbal autopsy to measure causes of death: the comparative performance of existing methods. BMC Medicine. 2014 Jan 9; 12(5). doi:10.1186/1741-7015-12-5
Ng M, Freeman MK, Fleming TD, Robinson M, Dwyer-Lindgren L, Thomson B, Wollum A, Sanman E, Wulf S, Lopez AD, Murray CJL, Gakidou E. Smoking prevalence and cigarette consumption in 187 countries, 1980-2012. Journal of the American Medical Association. 2014; 311(2):183-192. Doi:10.1001/jama.2013.284692.
Hay RJ, Johns NE, Williams HC, Bolliger IW, Delavalle B, Margolis DJ, Marks R, Naldi L, Weinstock MA, Wulf SK, Michaud C, Murray CJL, Naghavi M. The global burden of skin disease in 2010: an analysis of the prevalence and impact of skin conditions. Journal of Investigative Dermatology. 2013 Nov 12. doi: 10.1038/jid.2013.446.
Whiteford HA, Degenhardt L, Rehm J, Baxter AJ, Ferrari AJ, Erskine HE, Charlson FJ, Norman RE, Flaxman AD, Johns N, Burstein R, Murray CJL, Vos T. Global burden of disease attributable to mental and substance use disorders: findings from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2010. The Lancet. 2013 Nov 9; 382:1575-1586. doi:10.1016/S0140-6736(13)61611-6.
Ferrari AJ, Charlson FJ, Norman RE, Patten SB, Freedman G, Murray CJL, Vos T, Whiteford HA. Burden of depressive disorders by country, sex, age, and year: findings from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2010. PLoS Medicine. 2013; 10(11):e1001547. DOI: 10.1371/journal.pmed.1001547.
Krishnamurthi RV, Feigin VL, Forouzanfar MH, et al. Global and regional burden of first-ever ischaemic and haemorrhagic stroke during 1990-2010: findings from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2010. The Lancet Global Health. 2013 Nov; 1(5): e259-e281. DOI: 10.1016/S0140-6736(08)61345-8.
Hagopian, A, Flaxman AD, Takaro TK, Esa Al Shatari SA, Rajaratnam J, Becker S, Levin-Rector A, Galway L, Hadi Al-Yasseri BJ, Weiss WM, Murray CJ, Burnham G. Mortality in Iraq associated with the 2003-2011 war and occupation: Findings from a national cluster sample survey by the University Collaborative Iraq Mortality Study. PLOS Medicine. 2013 Oct; (10)10: e1001533. DOI:10.1371/journal.pmed.1001533.
Kassebaum NJ, Jasrasaria R, Naghavi M, Wulf SK, Johns N, Lozano R, Regan M, Weatherall D, Chou DP, Eisele TP, Flaxman SR, Pullan RL, Brooker SJ, Murray CJL. A systematic analysis of global anemia burden from 1990 to 2010. Blood. 2013 Dec. DOI: 10.1182/blood-2013-06-508325.
Degenhardt L, Whiteford HA, Ferrari AJ, Baxter AJ, Charlson FJ, Hall WD, Freedman G, Burstein R, Johns N, Engell RE, Flaxman A, Murray CJL, Vos T. Global burden of disease attributable to illicit drug use and dependence: findings from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2010. The Lancet. 2013 Aug 29. DOI: 10.1016/S0140-6736(13)61530-5.
Ortblad KF, Lozano R, Murray CJL. The burden of HIV: insights from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2010. AIDS. 2013; 27:2003–2017.
Murray CJL, Lopez AD. Measuring the Global Burden of Disease. New England Journal of Medicine. 2013; 369:448-457.
Ng M, Gakidou E, Murray CJL, Lim SS. A comparison of missing data procedures for addressing selection bias in HIV sentinel surveillance data. Population Health Metrics. 2013; 11:12.
Wang H, Schumacher AE, Levitz CE, Mokdad AH, Murray CJL. Left behind: widening disparities for males and females in US county life expectancy, 1985-2010. Population Health Metrics. 2013; 11:8.
Dwyer-Lindgren L, Freedman GD, Engell RE, Fleming TR, Lim SS, Murray CJL, Mokdad AH. Prevalence of physical activity and obesity in US counties, 2001-2011: a road map for action. Population Health Metrics. 2013; 11:7.
Murray CJL, Abraham J, Ali MK, et al. The state of US health, 1990-2010: burden of diseases, injuries, and risk factors [published online July 10, 2013]. Journal of the American Medical Association. DOI: 10.1001/jama.2013.13805.
Yang G, Wang Y, Zeng Y, et al. Rapid health transition in China, 1990–2010: findings from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2010. The Lancet. 2013 June 8; 381:1987–2015.
Marcenes W, Kassebaum NJ, Bernabé E, Flaxman A, Naghavi M, Lopez A, Murray CJL. Global burden of oral conditions in 1990-2010: a systematic analysis. Journal of Dental Research. 2013 May 29; 92(7): 592-597. doi: 10.1177/0022034513490168.
Olives C, Myerson R, Mokdad AH, Murray CJL, Lim SS. Prevalence, awareness, treatment, and control of hypertension in United States counties, 2001-2009. PLoS ONE. 2013;8(4);e60308.
Murray CJL, Richards MAR, Newton JN ,et al. UK health performance: findings of the Global Burden of Disease Study 2010. The Lancet.2013 March 5; http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(13)60355-4.
Verguet S, Lim SS, Murray CJL, Gakidou E, Salomon J. Incorporating loss to follow-up in estimates of survival among HIV-infected individuals in sub-Saharan Africa enrolled in antiretroviral therapy programs. Journal of Infectious Diseases. 2013;207:72-79.
Salomon JA, Wang H, Freeman MK, Vos T, Flaxman AD, Lopez AD, Murray CJL. Healthy life expectancy for 187 countries, 1990–2010: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden Disease Study 2010. The Lancet. 2012 Dec 13; 380: 2144–2162.
Salomon JA, Vos T, Hogan DR, Gagnon M, et al. Common values in assessing health outcomes from disease and injury: disability weights measurement study for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2010. The Lancet. 2012 Dec 13; 380: 2129–2143.
Murray CJL, Vos T, Lozano R, et al. Disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) for 291 diseases and injuries in 21 regions, 1990–2010: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2010. The Lancet. 2012 Dec 13; 380: 2197–2223.
Lozano R, Naghavi M, Foreman K, et al. Global and regional mortality from 235 causes of death for 20 age groups in 1990 and 2010: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2010. The Lancet. 2012 Dec 13; 380: 2095–2128.
Lim SS, Vos T, Flaxman AD, et al. A comparative risk assessment of burden of disease and injury attributable to 67 risk factors and risk factor clusters in 21 regions, 1990–2010: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2010. The Lancet. 2012 Dec 13; 380: 2224–2260.
Vos T, Flaxman AD, Naghavi M, et al. Years lived with disability (YLDs) for 1160 sequelae of 289 diseases and injuries, 1990–2010: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2010. The Lancet. 2012 Dec 13; 380: 2163–2196.
Wang H*, Dwyer-Lindgren L, Lofgren KT, Rajaratnam JK, Marcus JR, Levin-Rector A, Levitz C, Lopez AD, Murray CJL. Age-specific and sex-specific mortality in 187 countries, 1970–2010: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2010. The Lancet. 2012 Dec 13; 380: 2071–2094.
*Corresponding author
Straney LD, Lim SS, Murray CJL. Disentangling the effects of risk factors and clinical care on subnational variation in early neonatal mortality in the United States. PLoS ONE. 2012;7(11):e49399. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0049399.
Kumar S, Dansereau E, Murray C. Does distance matter for institutional delivery in rural India: an instrumental variable approach. Social Science Research Network. 2012.
James SL, Gubbins P, Murray CJL, Gakidou E. Developing a comprehensive time series of GDP per capita for 210 countries from 1950 to 2015. Population Health Metrics. 2012; 10:12.
Murray CJL, Rosenfeld LC, Lim SS, Andrews KG, Foreman KJ, Haring D, Fullman N, Naghavi M, Lozano R, Lopez AD. Global malaria mortality between 1980 and 2010: a systematic analysis. The Lancet. 2012; 379:413-431.
Foreman KJ, Lozano R, Lopez AD, Murray CJL. Modeling causes of death: an integrated approach using CODEm. Population Health Metrics. 2012; 10:1.
Leach-Kemon K, Chou DP, Schneider MT, Tardif A, Dieleman JL, Brooks BPC, Hanlon M, Murray CJL. The global financial crisis has led to a slowdown in growth of funding to improve health in many developing countries. Health Affairs. 2012; DOI: 10.1377/hlthaff.2011.1154.
Farzadfar F, Murray CJL, Gakidou E , Bossert T, Namdaritabar H, Alikhani S, Moradi G, Delavari A, Jamshidi H, Ezzati M. Effectiveness of diabetes and hypertension management by rural primary health-care workers (Behvarz workers) in Iran: a nationally representative observational study. The Lancet. 2011; DOI:10.1016/S0140-6736(08)61345-8.
Farzadfar F, Danaei G, Namdaritabar H, Rajaratnam JK, Marcus JR, Khosravi A, Alikhani S, Murray CJL, Ezzati M. National and subnational mortality effects of metabolic risk factors and smoking in Iran: a comparative risk assessment. Population Health Metrics. 2011; 9:55.
Ng M, Gakidou E, Levin-Rector A, Khera A, Murray CJL, Dandona L. Assessment of population-level effect of Avahan, an HIV-prevention initiative in India. The Lancet. 2011; DOI:10.1016/S0140-6736(11)61390-1.
Lozano R, Wang H, Foreman KJ, Rajaratnam JK, Naghavi M, Marcus JR, Dwyer-Lindgren L, Lofgren KT, Phillips D, Atkinson C, Lopez AD, Murray CJL. Progress towards Millennium Development Goals 4 and 5 on maternal and child mortality: an updated systematic analysis. The Lancet. 2011; 378:1139-1165.
Forouzanfar MH, Foreman KJ, Delossantos AM, Lozano R, Lopez AD, Murray CJL, Naghavi M. Breast and cervical cancer in 187 countries between 1980 and 2010: a systematic analysis. The Lancet. 2011; DOI:10.1016/S0140-6736(11)61351-2.
Lim SS, Fullman N, Stokes A, Ravishankar N, Masiye F, Murray CJL, Gakidou E. Net benefits: a multicountry analysis of observational data examining associations between insecticide-treated mosquito nets and health outcomes. PLoS Medicine. September 2011; 8(9): e1001.
Murray CJL, Lozano R, Flaxman AD, Vahdatpour A, Lopez AD. Robust metrics for assessing the performance of different verbal autopsy cause assignment methods in validation studies. Population Health Metrics. 2011; 9:28.
Flaxman AD, Vahdatpour A, Green S, James SL, Murray CJL, the Population Health Metrics Research Consortium (PHMRC). Random Forests for verbal autopsy analysis: multisite validation study using clinical diagnostic gold standards. Population Health Metrics. 2011; 9:29.
Lozano R, Freeman MK, James SL, Campbell B, Lopez AD, Flaxman AD, Murray CJL, the Population Health Metrics Research Consortium (PHMRC). Performance of InterVA for assigning causes of death to verbal autopsies: multisite validation study using clinical diagnostic gold standards. Population Health Metrics. 2011; 9:50.
Flaxman AD, Vahdatpour A, James SL, Birnbaum JK, Murray CJL, and the Population Health Metrics Research Consortium (PHMRC). Direct estimation of cause-specific mortality fractions from verbal autopsies: multisite validation study using clinical diagnostic gold standards. Population Health Metrics. 2011; 9:35.
Lozano R, Lopez AD, Atkinson C, Naghavi M, Flaxman AD, Murray CJL, the Population Health Metrics Research Consortium (PHMRC). Performance of physician-certified verbal autopsies: multisite validation study using clinical diagnostic gold standards. Population Health Metrics. 2011; 9:32.
Murray CJL, James SL, Birnbaum JK, Freeman MK, Lozano R, Lopez AD, and the Population Health Metrics Research Consortium (PHMRC). Simplified Symptom Pattern Method for verbal autopsy analysis: multisite validation study using clinical diagnostic gold standards. Population Health Metrics. 2011; 9:30.
Murray CJL, Lopez AD, Black R, et al. Population Health Metrics Research Consortium gold standard verbal autopsy validation study: design, implementation, and development of analysis datasets. Population Health Metrics. 2011; 9:27.
James SL, Flaxman AD, Murray CJL, the Population Health Metrics Research Consortium (PHMRC). Performance of the Tariff Method: validation of a simple additive algorithm for analysis of verbal autopsies. Population Health Metrics. 2011; 9:31.
Murray CJL. Why is Japanese life expectancy so high? The Lancet. 2011; doi:10.1016/S0140-6736(11)61221.
Kulkarni SC, Levin-Rector A, Ezzati M, Murray CJL. Falling behind: life expectancy in US counties from 2000 to 2007 in an international context. Population Health Metrics. 2011; 9:16.
Murray CJL, Anderson B, Burstein R, Leach-Kemon K, Schneider M, Tardif A, Zhang R. Development assistance for health: trends and prospects. The Lancet. 2011; doi:10.1016/S0140-6736(10)62356-2.
Birnbaum JK, Murray CJL, Lozano R. Exposing misclassified HIV/AIDS deaths in South Africa. Bulletin of the World Health Organization. 2011; 89:278-285.
Ahern RM, Lozano R, Naghavi M, Foreman K, Gakidou E, Murray CJL. Improving the public health utility of global cardiovascular mortality data: the rise of ischemic heart disease. Population Health Metrics. 2011; 9:8.
Gakidou E, Mallinger L, Abbott-Klafter J, Guerrero R, Villalpando S, Ridaura RL, Aekplakorn W, Naghavi M, Lim S, Lozano R, Murray CJL. Management of diabetes and associated cardiovascular risk factors in seven countries: a comparison of data from national health examination surveys. Bulletin of the World Health Organization. 2011; 89:172-183.
Srebotnjak T, Mokdad AH, Murray CJL. A novel framework for validating and applying standardized small area measurement strategies. Population Health Metrics. 2010; 8:26.
Gakidou E, Cowling K, Lozano R, Murray CJL. Increased educational attainment and its effect on child mortality in 175 countries between 1970 and 2009: a systematic analysis. The Lancet. 2010 Sept 18; 376(9745):959-974. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(10)61257-3.
Flaxman AD, Fullman N, Otten MW Jr., Menon M, Cibulskis RE, Ng M, Murray CJL, Lim SS. Rapid scaling-up of insecticide-treated bed net coverage in Africa and its relationship with development assistance for health: A systematic synthesis of supply, distribution, and household survey data. PLoS Medicine. 2010 August 17; 7(8): e1000328.
Rajaratnam JK, Marcus JR, Flaxman AD, Wang H, Levin-Rector A, Dwyer L, Costa M, Lopez AD, Murray CJL. Neonatal, postneonatal, childhood, and under-5 mortality for 187 countries, 1970–2010: a systematic analysis of progress towards Millennium Development Goal 4. The Lancet. 2010 May 24; 375:1988–2008.
Rajaratnam JK, Marcus JR, Levin-Rector A, Chalupka AN, Wang H, Dwyer L, Costa M, Lopez AD, Murray CJL. Worldwide mortality in men and women aged 15–59 years from 1970 to 2010: a systematic analysis. The Lancet. 2010 Apr 30; 375:1704–1720.
Lu C, Schneider MT, Gubbins P, Leach-Kemon K, Jamison D, Murray CJL. Public financing of health in developing countries: a cross-national systematic analysis. The Lancet. 2010 Apr 17; 375:1375–1387.
Obermeyer Z, Rajaratnam JK, Park CH, Gakidou E, Hogan MC, Lopez AD, Murray CJL. Measuring adult mortality using sibling survival: a new analytical method and new results for 44 countries, 1974–2006. PLoS Medicine. 2010 Apr 13; 7(4):e1000260.
Rajaratnam JK, Tran LN, Lopez AD, Murray CJL. Measuring under-five mortality: validation of new low-cost methods. PLoS Medicine. 2010 April 13; 7(4):e1000253.
Murray CJL, Rajaratnam JK, Marcus J, Laakso T, Lopez AD. What can we conclude from death registration? Improved methods for evaluating completeness. PLoS Medicine. 2010 Apr 13; 7(4):e1000262.
Hogan MC, Foreman KJ, Naghavi M, Ahn SY, Wang M, Makela SM, Lopez AD, Lozano R, Murray CJL. Maternal mortality for 181 countries, 1980-2008: a systematic analysis of progress towards Millennium Development Goal 5. The Lancet. 2010 May 8; 375:1609–1623. Published online first April 12, 2010.
Danaei G, Rimm EB, Oza S, Kulkarni C, Murray CJL, Ezzati M. The Promise of prevention: the effects of four preventable risk factors on national life expectancy and life expectancy disparities by race and county in the United States. PLoS Medicine. 2010 Mar 23; 7(3):e1000248.
Danaei G, Friedman AB, Oza S, Murray CJL, Ezzati M. Diabetes prevalence and diagnosis in US states: analysis of health surveys. Population Health Metrics. 2009 Sep 25; 7:16.
Ravishankar N, Gubbins P, Cooley RJ, Leach-Kemon K, Michaud CM, Jamison DT, Murray CJL. Financing of global health: tracking development assistance for health from 1990 to 2007. The Lancet. 2009 Jun 20; 373:2113–2124.
Ikeda N, Murray CJL, Salomon JA. Tracking population health based on self-reported impairments: trends in the prevalence of hearing loss in US adults, 1976-2006. American Journal of Epidemiology. 2009 May 18; 170(1):80–87.
Danaei G, Ding EL, Mozaffarian D, Taylor B, Rehm J, Murray CJL, Ezzati M. The Preventable Causes of Death in the United States: Comparative Risk Assessment of Dietary, Lifestyle, and Metabolic Risk Factors. PLoS Medicine. 2009 Apr 28, 2009; 6(4):e1000058.
Bleich SN, Özaltin E, Murray CJL. How does satisfaction with the health care system relate to patient experience? Bulletin of the World Health Organization. 2009 Mar 4;87:271–278.
Lu C, Chin B, Li G, Murray CJL. Limitations of methods for measuring out-of-pocket and catastrophic private health expenditures. Bulletin of the World Health Organization. 2009 Jan 29; 87:238–244.
Lim S, Stein D, Charrow A, Murray CJL. Tracking progress towards universal childhood immunisation and the impact of global initiatives: a systematic analysis of three-dose diphtheria, tetanus, and pertussis immunisation coverage. The Lancet. 2008 Dec 13; 372:2031–2046.
Ikeda N, Gakidou E, Hasegawa T, Murray CJL. Understanding the decline of mean systolic blood pressure in Japan: an analysis of pooled data from the National Nutrition Survey, 1986–2002. Bulletin of the World Health Organization. 2008; 86:978–988.
Bhalla K, Shahraz S, Naghavi M, Lozano R, Murray CJL. Estimating the distribution of external causes in hospital data from injury diagnosis. Accident Analysis and Prevention. 2008 Nov; 40(6):1822-1829.
Obermeyer Z, Murray CJL, Gakidou E. Fifty years of violent war deaths from Vietnam to Bosnia: Analysis of data from the World Health Survey programme. British Medical Journal. 2008; 336:1482.
Ezzati M, Friedman AB, Kulkarni SC, Murray CJL. The reversal of fortunes: Trends in county mortality and cross-county mortality disparities in the United States. PLoS Medicine. 2008 Apr 22; 5(4):e66.
Obermeyer Z, Abbott-Klafter J, Murray CJL. Has the DOTS strategy improved case finding or treatment success? An empirical assessment. PLoS One. 2008 Mar 5; 3(3):1721–1731.
Ezzati M, Oza S, Danaei G, Murray CJL. Trends and cardiovascular mortality effects of state-level blood pressure and uncontrolled hypertension in the United States. Circulation. 2008 Feb 19; 117(7):905–914.
Murray CJL, Lopez AD, Barofsky JT, Bryson-Cahn C, Lozano R. Estimating population cause-specific mortality fractions from in-hospital mortality: validation of a new method. PLoS Medicine. 2007 Nov 20; 4(11):e326.
Murray CJL, Lopez AD, Feehan DM, Peter ST, Yang G. Validation of the symptom pattern method for analyzing verbal autopsy data. PLoS Medicine. 2007 Nov 20; 4(11):e327.
Murray CJL, Laakso T, Shibuya K, Hill K, Lopez AD. Can we achieve Millennium Development Goal 4? New analysis of country trends and forecasts of under-5 mortality to 2015. The Lancet. 2007 Sept 22; 370:1040–1054.
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July 5, 2016
PLOS Blogs
Christopher Murray, Director of the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, discusses the Guidelines for Accurate and Transparent Health Estimates Reporting (GATHER) statement and the importance of ensuring accurate and transparent reporting of public health research.
October 29, 2015
Project Syndicate
Twenty-five years ago, the state of public health for large populations was like that of a doctor trying to treat a patient without a proper diagnosis. The diseases and injuries that cut lives short and caused widespread suffering were not rigorously tracked. To address this problem, Alan Lopez and Christopher Murray launched the Global Burden of Disease project (GBD) in 1990. Decision-makers need information about the world’s biggest health threats and how they have changed over time, across age groups, and by sex, so they can ensure that everyone has the opportunity to live the longest, healthiest life possible.
October 1, 2015
The Lancet
In the era of the Millennium Development Goals (MDGs), regular reporting of specific health indicators drew public and policy attention, and ultimately resources, to causes such as maternal and child health. On Sept 25–27, 2015, the UN Sustainable Development Summit was held in New York, NY, USA, leading to the adoption of the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) by the UN General Assembly. On the basis of the lessons learned from the MDGs, the indicators chosen for each SDG target will probably determine the amount of action and attention each target receives.
September 15, 2015
The Gates Notes
Bill Gates reviews Epic Measures, the story of IHME Director Christopher Murray and the evolution of the Global Burden of Disease study, written by journalist Jeremy N. Smith.
September 15, 2015
The Gates Notes
Later this month, leaders from around the world will gather at the United Nations in New York to agree on the world’s development agenda for the next 15 years—what they’re calling the Global Goals. With the help of three videos featuring IHME Director Christopher Murray, Bill Gates reflects on the progress made in the last 15 years, guided by the Millennium Development Goals, and looks toward the next 15.
July 14, 2015
UNAIDS
We have reached a defining moment in the AIDS response. Against all odds, we have achieved the AIDS targets of Millennium Development Goal 6. AIDS changed everything. In these pages are valuable insights and ground-breaking and heart-warming experiences from the innovative and exciting work that partners, communities and countries have done and are doing in the AIDS response. There are also heart-breaking stories about the challenges that still remain.
July 2, 2015
The Lancet
We propose a Lives Saved Scorecard to drive funding and policy attention to where it is most needed. The ideal scorecard would track all investments by donors and governments, the coverage of each life-saving intervention, the quality of interventions delivered, and the link to child deaths averted in a cross-country, comparable manner.
January 27, 2015
JAMA
The rapid scale-up of antiretroviral therapy (ART) has been one of the great achievements of global health in the last decade. But the efficiency and quality of ART programs in developing countries must improve to have maximum benefit for those in need.
January 8, 2013
PLoS Medicine
We reported that for every dollar a government received in development assistance for health, the government's domestic expenditure on health decreased by $0.46 (95% confidence interval: 0.24, 0.67). Subsequent research questioned those findings, including Batniji and Bendavid in PLOS Medicine who have since admitted mistakes in their statistical model. We argue that these subsequent studies fail to account for the complex, dynamic connection between domestic and foreign funding sources.
