IHME in the news

The Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation estimates that only about 13 percent of cases are being detected. But the organization’s director, Christopher Murray, says the United States is still in good shape and not on track to experience a surge of omicron subvariants like that seen in Britain.

In an update of a 2015 estimate on premature deaths caused by pollution, the Lancet study said that data from the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries and Risk Factors Study 2019 (GBD) showed that pollution "remains responsible for approximately nine million deaths per year."

For their most recent study, published in the online journal Lancet Planetary Health, the authors analyzed 2019 data from the Global Burden of Disease, an ongoing study by the University of Washington that assesses overall pollution exposure and calculates mortality risk.

La investigación realizada antes de la pandemia y publicada el martes se basa en cálculos extraídos de la base de datos Global Burden of Disease y del Instituto de Sanimetría y Evaluación de Seattle.

The analysis is based on global health data collected by the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation at the University of Washington.

The new review, published in the journal Lancet Planetary Health, analysed data from the 2019 Global Burden of Disease project, the most recent available, and found air pollution caused almost 75% of the 9 million pollution deaths.

According to the Global Burden of Disease study, household air pollution accounted for more than 600,000 deaths in India in 2019.

According to a model from the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, which has made forecasts about the trajectory of COVID throughout the pandemic, COVID cases nationwide could remain elevated into July, especially in places where mask use and vaccinations are low.

In an interview earlier this month, Dr. Christopher Murray, who heads the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation at the University of Washington School of Medicine, told NBC News that “the fact that so many have died is still appalling.”

Cardiovascular Diseases are the leading cause of death in India, accounting for out of every 3 deaths in people aged above 40 years, as per the Global Burden of Disease study. 

Scientists at the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation at the University of Washington guessed there were more than 18 million COVID deaths from January 2020 to December 2021 in a recent study published in the journal Lancet.

“Those people should be exceedingly rare in the United States at this point,” said Christopher Murray, director of the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation at the University of Washington and who helps develop models that estimate how far the virus has spread.

Another modeler, epidemiologist Ali Mokdad of the University of Washington’s Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, said in an email Friday that a winter surge is likely. His organization, which has made long-term forecasts despite the many uncertainties, just produced a new forecast that shows a modest bump in cases through the end of May and then a decline until the arrival of winter.

In March, the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation counted 18.2 million excess deaths in the same time frame.

The estimate is lower than one from the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation at the University of Washington, which calculated in March that the pandemic had killed 18.2 million people, calling it the biggest mortality shock since the Spanish flu.