IHME's COVID-19 projections were developed in response to requests from the University of Washington School of Medicine and other US hospital systems and state governments working to determine when COVID-19 would overwhelm their ability to care for patients. The forecasts show demand for hospital services, daily and cumulative deaths due to COVID-19, rates of infection and testing, and the impact of social distancing and mask use.
The results are shown by country and state (for select locations), with periodic updates detailed here alongside weekly policy briefings for each location. Our estimates show both reported deaths, which is the number of deaths officially reported as COVID-19, and excess deaths related to COVID-19, which is all deaths estimated as attributed to COVID-19, including unreported deaths. To learn more about our methods, please see our special analysis. Please find additional COVID-19 resources here and contact us with any questions.
Interact with the data visualization
- Use the latest version of Chrome, Safari, Edge, or Firefox.
- Use Ctrl+0 to reset the browser zoom. Sometimes having the browser zoomed in or out interferes with the layout or a few mouse-dependent properties.
- If the visualization isn't loading or looks distorted, try clearing your cache. See http://www.wikihow.com/Clear-Your-Browser's-Cache for pointers.
Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME). COVID-19 Projections. Seattle, WA: IHME, University of Washington, 2020. Available from https://covid19.healthdata.org/projections (Accessed [INSERT DATE])