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Latest GBD results: 2019


Published in The Lancet in October 2020, GBD 2019 provides for the first time an independent estimation of population, for each of 204 countries and territories and the globe, using a standardized, replicable approach, as well as a comprehensive update on fertility and migration. GBD 2019 incorporates major data additions and improvements, and methodological refinements. Mortality and life expectancy estimates have expanded to a total of 990 locations at the most detailed level, and new causes have been added to the fatal and non-fatal cause lists, for a total of 369 diseases and injuries. Two new risk factors (high and low non-optimal temperatures) and 54 new risk-outcome pairs have also been added. Produced with the input of over 5,000 collaborators from 152 countries and territories, GBD 2019 also includes estimates at the subnational level for five new countries (Italy, Nigeria, Pakistan, the Philippines, and Poland) in addition to the countries for which subnational estimates have been published in previous editions of the GBD study (Russia, Brazil, China, India, Indonesia, Japan, Kenya, Mexico, South Africa, Sweden, the UK, and the US).

This page summarizes all available resources from the capstone publications of the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2019 study.

News Release

Latest global disease estimates reveal perfect storm of rising chronic diseases and public health failures fuelling COVID-19 pandemic

Capstone Research Articles

Full articles are available for download at The Lancet: https://www.thelancet.com/gbd

Population and Fertility

  • Fertility, mortality, migration, and population scenarios for 195 countries and territories from 2017 to 2100: a forecasting analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study

Universal Health Coverage

  • Measuring universal health coverage based on an index of effective coverage of health services in 204 countries and territories, 1990–2019: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019

Diseases and Injuries

  • Global burden of 369 diseases and injuries, 1990–2019: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019

Risk Factors

  • Global burden of 87 risk factors in 204 countries and territories, 1990–2019: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019

Demographics

  • Global age-sex-specific fertility, mortality, healthy life expectancy (HALE), and population estimates in 204 countries and territories, 1950–2019: a comprehensive demographic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019

Five Key Insights from GBD 2019

  • Five insights from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019

Download the Data

Download all estimates and find other data-related resources associated with GBD 2019 publications on the Global Health Data Exchange (GHDx): http://ghdx.healthdata.org/gbd-2019 

GBD Results Tool

This query tool allows download of full GBD results data in CSV format.

What's included:

  • All GBD causes, risks, impairments, injuries by nature, and sequela aggregates
  • Measures: deaths, years of life lost (YLLs), years lived with disability (YLDs), disability-adjusted life years (DALYs), prevalence, incidence, life expectancy, healthy life expectancy (HALE), maternal mortality ratio (MMR), and summary exposure value (SEV)
  • Metrics (units): number, rate, percent, years
  • Years: 1990-2019; annual results for all measures
  • All GBD age groups
  • Sexes: males, females, both sexes
  • Locations: GBD super-regions, regions, countries, select subnational units, and custom regions (WHO regions, World Bank Income Levels, and more)

Data Input Sources Tool

The Data Input Sources Tool allows users to explore GBD 2019 input data sources and retrieve relevant metadata.

Data Visualizations

Use these visualizations to interact with the latest GBD 2019 estimates, comparing causes, injuries, and risks across time, age, and place.

GBD Compare

Analyze updated data about the world’s health levels and trends from 1990 to 2019 in this interactive tool using estimates from the GBD study. 

CoD Viz

You can examine more than 350 causes in both adjusted and pre-adjusted numbers, rates, and percentages for 204 countries and territories with this tool. 

Epi Viz

With this interactive tool, you can explore data inputs and epidemiological estimates from the GBD 2019 project.

Mortality Viz

Walk through the estimation process for mortality trends for children and adults for 204 countries and territories using the mortality visualization. 

Country Profiles

The Country Profiles provide an overview of findings from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD). They are based on over 80,000 different data sources used by researchers to produce the most scientifically rigorous estimates possible. These profiles are meant to be freely downloaded and distributed.

Two-page Summaries

Use this page to explore key findings, global trends, what's new, and important highlights for each of the GBD causes studied in 2019.

Multimedia

Explore infographics and videos related to the results of GBD 2019.


GBD

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