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Global Burden of Disease (GBD)

The GBD study is the largest and most comprehensive effort to quantify health loss across places and over time, so health systems can be improved and disparities eliminated.

607 billion+ highly standardized and comprehensive estimates measure health outcomes and systems.
459 health outcomes and risk factors provide a powerful basis for insights on global health trends and challenges.
204 countries and territories, plus dozens of subnational locations show trends at regional, national, and local levels.
12,000 individuals from over 160 countries and territories collaborate in vetting GBD data sources and estimates.

GBD 2021 capstone publications

Capstone publications provide a broad view of the findings from each round of GBD.

Scientific Publication

Global burden and strength of evidence for 88 risk factors in 204 countries and 811 subnational locations, 1990–2021

Scientific Publication

Burden of disease scenarios for 204 countries and territories, 2022–2050

Scientific Publication

Global incidence, prevalence, years lived with disability (YLDs), disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs), and healthy life expectancy (HALE) for 371 diseases and injuries in 204 countries and territories and 811 subnational locations, 1990–2021

Scientific Publication

Global burden of 288 causes of death and life expectancy decomposition in 204 countries and territories and 811 subnational locations, 1990–2021

Scientific Publication

Global fertility in 204 countries and territories, 1950-2021, with forecasts to 2100

Scientific Publication

Global age-sex-specific mortality, life expectancy, and population estimates in 204 countries and territories and 811 subnational locations, 1950–2021, and the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic

All GBD publications

Scientific Publication

Global, regional, and national progress towards the 2030 global nutrition targets and forecasts to 2050

Scientific Publication

Burden of disease scenarios by state in the USA, 2022–50

Scientific Publication

The burden of diseases, injuries, and risk factors by state in the USA, 1990–2021

Scientific Publication

Global, regional, and national burden of HIV/AIDS, 1990–2021, and forecasts to 2050, for 204 countries and territories

Scientific Publication

Global, regional, and national stillbirths at 20 weeks’ gestation or longer in 204 countries and territories, 1990–2021

Scientific Publication

Forecasting the effects of smoking prevalence scenarios on years of life lost and life expectancy from 2022 to 2050

Scientific Publication

Global, regional, and national burden of stroke and its risk factors, 1990–2021

Scientific Publication

Global burden of bacterial antimicrobial resistance 1990–2021: a systematic analysis with forecasts to 2050